Wednesday, December 31, 2014

Margin Debt/GDP Off The Charts = Stock Market Crash Coming? Mike Maloney



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“Peak Gold Production” Hits In 2015


zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden on 12/30/2014 16:31
Several days ago we reported that as a result of persistently lower gold prices, driven down by a seemingly endless supply of paper gold (in the form of ETF selling and Bank of International Settlement “price discovery“) offsetting a seemingly unbridled appetite for physical gold, not only is one of the biggest marginal suppliers of gold – Chinese producers – about to take an extended hiatus, but first one and then many “developed” gold miners are about to throw in the towel.
As UBS’ Shanghai analyst Lin Haoxiang said, “Falling prices are cutting into some high-cost private mines in China, while some big miners chose to reduce costs by reducing jobs and capital investments.” As for the North American gold miner defaults, they have already started with Canada’s San Gold warning its creditors it is about to stuff them with a lot of unrepayable paper.
However the unwind plays out, it is becoming increasingly clear that just as the crude oil market is set for some violent times ahead as producers lock into the defection phase of the Prisoner’s Dilemma and flood the market with supply in an attempt to crush the weakest competition, so the gold market is set for many upheavals, the first of which, however, may be what Goldcorp defined in a recent slideshow as Peak Gold.
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Energen Corporation (NYSE: EGN)

Energen Corporation is engaged in the development and exploration of oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids in the continental United States. As of August 28, 2014, the company had approximately 775 million barrels of oil-equivalent proved, probable, and possible reserves, as well as 2.5 billion barrels of oil-equivalent contingent resources. Energen Corporation was founded in 1929 and is headquartered in Birmingham, Alabama.
Take a look at the 1-year chart of Energen (NYSE: EGN) below with my added notations:
1-year chart of Energen (NYSE: EGN)
EGN has been in a persistent downtrend since June. During the most recent 4 months the stock has formed an important trend line of resistance (black). Always remember, any (2) points can start a trend line, but it�s the 3rd test and beyond that confirm its importance. So, EGN obviously has an important trendline of resistance, which currently sits near $66.

The Tale of the Tape: EGN is currently stuck under a down trending resistance. A break above that resistance should mean higher prices, thus a long trade could be made. Short traders might look to enter a trade at the resistance with an expectation of a fall back down to the $55 support (blue).
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Collateral Damage: US Renewables, Shale Fall Victims to Slumping Oil



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Saudi Facing Largest Deficit In Its History

zerohedge.com / by Andy Tully via OilPrice.com / 12/30/2014 11:49
The nearly 50 percent plunge in the price of oil during the past six months is expected to leave oil-rich Saudi Arabia with its first budget deficit since 2011 and the largest in its history.
The budget, announced on Dec. 25, will include spending during fiscal 2015 of $229.3 billion, higher than in 2014, despite revenues estimated at only $190.7 billion, lower than in the current fiscal year. That would leave a deficit of $38.6 billion.
Oil prices have been dropping since June because of a market glut, caused in part because of prodigious oil extraction in the United States from shale formations.
As a result of this glut, OPEC was urged to cut production levels at its Nov. 27 meeting in Vienna in an effort to shore up prices, but wealthy members of the cartel, led by Saudi Arabia, decided to keep production at its nearly two-year-old level of 30 million barrels a day.
Saudi Oil Minister Ali al-Naimi has since explained that the OPEC strategy was to reclaim market share. Fracking has made the United States, once the cartel’s largest customer, nearly self-sufficient in oil. But fracking is expensive, and many believe it can’t be profitable if the price of oil falls much below its current level of around $60 per barrel.
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Tuesday, December 30, 2014

Lululemon Athletica inc. (NASDAQ: LULU)

lululemon athletica inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs, manufactures, and distributes athletic apparel and accessories for women, men, and female youth. It operates in three segments: Corporate-Owned Stores, Direct To Consumer, and Other. The company’s line of apparel include fitness pants, shorts, tops, and jackets for healthy lifestyle activities, such as yoga, running, and general fitness. Its fitness-related accessories comprise bags, socks, underwear, yoga mats, and water bottles. The company sells its products through a chain of corporate-owned and operated retail stores; direct to consumer through e-commerce Websites; and a network of wholesale channel, such as premium yoga studios, health clubs, and fitness centers.
Take a look at the 2-year chart of Lululemon (Nasdaq: LULU) below with my added notations:
2-year chart of Lululemon (Nasdaq: LULU)
A rounding bottom is a reversal pattern that is as simple as it sounds: After an extended sell-off, a stock ‘rolls upward’ from the left to right thus forming a potential bottom that, once formed, looks somewhat like a broad ‘U’.
LULU appears to have formed a rounding bottom price pattern (blue) from April until last week. As with any price pattern, a confirmation of the pattern is needed. LULU would confirm its pattern by breaking the $55 resistance (red) that has been created by the rounding bottom pattern.

The Tale of the Tape: LULU seems to have formed a rounding bottom. A long trade could be made on a break above $55 with a stop loss set below that level.
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Explosive Stocks Under $10

This screen is a bit of a departure from my normal stock screens.
Usually I require my screens to have a minimum price of $10 per share.
But I do at times scan for stocks under $10. And that's one of the screens I'm running for myself right now.
Penny Stocks
One dollar is a common threshold when screening for stocks. A lot of investors actively avoid penny stocks due to the speculative nature, the often wide bid/ask spreads, and the excessive volatility that is all too common in stocks under $1.00.
But some, of course, work out spectacularly well. And that's probably what keeps people interested in them. (more)

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Does Biotech Bearishness Lie Ahead?

The biotech sector experienced a big shock on Monday, December 22, just one trading day after new record intraday and closing highs had been reached by the four most-heavily-traded biotech ETFs: the iShares Nasdaq Biotechnology Index ETF (IBB), the SPDR S&P Biotech Index ETF (XBI), the Market Vectors Biotech ETF (BBH) and the First Trust NYSEARCA Biotechnology Index ETF (FBT).

GILDThe epicenter of Monday’s biotech-quake was Gilead Sciences (GILD). On October 10, the FDA approved the Gilead’s newest hepatitis C drug, Harvoni, a once-per-day tablet, which has been found to cure 90 percent of Hepatitis C patients within eight weeks. Harvoni does not require the use of ribavirin and interferon. Gilead’s predecessor hepatitis C drug, Sovaldi, would be used for 12 weeks at a cost of $84,000 per patient. Because Harvoni is used for only eight weeks, the cost per patient is $63,000. (more)

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Podcast: NatGas Oversupply Even Bigger Than Oil Glut

Sumit Roy & Drew Voros discuss why investors should stay away from natural gas for now. (length: 6:34)
HAI's podcast is posted every Monday and looks back at the previous week's moves in commodities. To share your thoughts on today's episode, or request topics for upcoming episodes, please feel free to email us at contact@hardassetsinvestor.com.

DOWNLOAD PODCAST

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WTI Hits $52 Handle As US Rig Count Tumbles To 8-Month Lows

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden on 12/29/2014 13:20
Just as T. Boone Pickens warned “watch the rig counts” last week, so the Baker Hughes rig count just collapsed for the 3rd week in a row to 8-month lows. This is the fastest 3-week drop since mid-2009. Crude prices were already weak but the news has flushed WTI to a $52 handle (not seen in the front-month contract since May 2009)
Rig count is tumbling…

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Monday, December 29, 2014

Gerald Celente - The Top economic Trends to expect in 2015



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3 Best Bargain Stocks for 2015

With the stock market rallying continuing for the fifth year in a row and the major indexes hitting new highs almost daily, you might think that there's few stocks left that are truly a bargain.
Valuations trended higher throughout 2014 even as earnings rose. The S&P 500 is trading with a forward P/E of 18 which isn't exactly "cheap." In fact, many would consider it down right expensive.
But even in a hot market, there are always stocks that are left behind. Some are ignored by investors because there is business trouble brewing at that particular company so they stay away. Others are in an out of favor industry or sector. (more)

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Novo Nordisk A/S (NYSE: NVO)

Novo Nordisk A/S engages in the discovery, development, manufacture, and marketing of pharmaceutical products primarily in Denmark. It operates in two segments, Diabetes Care and Biopharmaceuticals. The Diabetes Care segment covers insulins, GLP-1 analog, obesity, and oral antidiabetic drugs, as well as other protein related products comprising glucagon, protein related delivery systems, and needles. The Biopharmaceuticals segment offers products in the areas of haemophilia, growth hormone therapy, hormone replacement therapy, and inflammation.
Take a look at the 1-year chart of Novo (NYSE: NVO) with the added notations:
1-year chart of Novo (NYSE: NVO)
NVO has been trading sideways for almost all of 2014. In addition, since the beginning of April, the stock has found support at $42 (green) whenever that level has been approached. Now that the stock is there again, traders should be able to expect some sort of bounce. However, if the $42 support were to break, much lower prices should follow.

The Tale of the Tape: NVO has a key level of support at $42. A trader could enter a long position at $42 with a stop placed under the level. If the stock were to break below the support a short position could be entered instead.
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David Stockman – This Will Trigger The Next Lehman Moment & Bank Bail-Ins


kingworldnews.com / by Eric King / December 28, 2014
With more people becoming increasingly fearful because of moves in the West to legalize bank bail-ins, today David Stockman spoke with King World News about what is going to trigger the next Lehman moment that will usher in the age of bail-ins.
Eric King:  “David, what is the biggest danger facing the world?”
David Stockman:  “The biggest danger is that we have a totally artificial, unstable monetary system.  We’ve created massive amounts of credit that can’t be supported or repaid.  All of this makes for instability.
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US Weekly Economic Calendar

time (et) report period ACTUAL forecast previous
MONDAY, DEC. 29
  None scheduled        
TUESDAY,  DEC. 30
9 am Case-Shiller home price index Oct.   -- 4.8% y-o-y
10 am Consumer confidence index Dec.   93.8 88.7
WEDNESDAY, DEC. 31
8:30 am Weekly jobless claims Dec. 27   290,000 280,000 
9:45 am Chicago PMI Dec.   -- 60.8
10 am Pending home sales Nov.   -- -1.1%
THURSDAY, JAN. 1
  New Year's Day
None scheduled
       
FRIDAY, JAN. 2
9:45 am Markit PMI Dec.   -- 53.7
10 am ISM Dec.
57.0% 58.7%
10 am Construction spending Nov.   0.2% 1.1%
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Saturday, December 27, 2014

Don't Wait for Top Tick

In March 2009, both the Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF (NYSE ARCA: DIA) and the S&P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE ARCA: SPY) bottomed out, a culmination of the infamous 2007/2008 financial crisis for US equity markets.
DIA traded as low as $64.78 in that month, whereas SPY traded as low as $67.10; from then onwards, neither index has looked back, and one of the greatest bull markets in US stock history has ensued.
On Friday, DIA closed at $177.65 and SPY closed at $206.52. Yesterday, DIA closed at $179.36 and SPY closed at $207.47. To say that these indexes have had quite the run over the past six years is self evident.  (more)

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Top 10 Stocks for 2015

Early projections for 2015 are just starting to roll in. While forecasts vastly vary, they are so far ho-hum at best.
Investment powerhouse Goldman Sachs predicts the broad-based S&P 500 benchmark will end next year at 2,100. That’s less than a meager 2% above where the index currently sits. That projected paltry gain is the kind more typical from stodgy bonds, not stocks.
Deutsche Bank sees the S&P 500 climbing to 2,150 by the end of 2015, a modest 4% advance. (more)

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2015 Investing in the VIX, 3 VIX Funds to Own for 2015: iPath S&P VIX-Short-Term Futures ETN (NYSE: VXX), ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF (NYSE: UVXY), VelocityShares Daily 2x VIX Short Term ETN (NYSE: TVIX)

Historically, the Chicago Board Options Exchange Volatility Index — or VIX, for short — has been a bellwether benchmark for measuring the volatility of the U.S. financial markets.
Its formula is fairly simple: Take a mathematical estimate of how investors believe the S&P 100 Index option (OEX) will move in the next year using a calculation based on the disparity between current OEX put and call option prices.
In that equation, the VIX rises when put option purchases move upward and declines when call option activity is robust.
In general, a “read” on the VIX is the result of that formula over a 30-day trading period. A high VIX figure means traders fear a volatile market environment. (more)

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17 High-Yield Oil And Gas Pipeline Stocks

Oil & gas pipeline operators with highest dividend yields originally published at "long-term-investments.blogspot.com". Stocks from the basic material sector could complement your portfolio and hedge it against strong commodity price increases. One industry from the basic material sector with the highest yielding stocks is the oil and gas pipeline industry.

39 companies are linked to the industry of which 37 pay dividends. Combined they have a total market capitalization of USD 800 billion. Nearly 60 percent of the industry players have a yield over 5 percent and some have a really great dividend history. Thanks to the share gas boom it’s now possible that more pipeline infrastructure is needed. The average industry yield amounts to 4.72% and the P/E ratio is 33.40.
- See more at: http://long-term-investments.blogspot.ca/2013/03/17-Oil-And-Gas-Pipeline-Stocks-With-Highest-Dividend-Yield-To-Buy-Now.html#sthash.7s0xY9Mn.dpuf
Oil & gas pipeline operators with highest dividend yields originally published at "long-term-investments.blogspot.com". Stocks from the basic material sector could complement your portfolio and hedge it against strong commodity price increases. One industry from the basic material sector with the highest yielding stocks is the oil and gas pipeline industry.

39 companies are linked to the industry of which 37 pay dividends. Combined they have a total market capitalization of USD 800 billion. Nearly 60 percent of the industry players have a yield over 5 percent and some have a really great dividend history. Thanks to the share gas boom it’s now possible that more pipeline infrastructure is needed. The average industry yield amounts to 4.72% and the P/E ratio is 33.40.
- See more at: http://long-term-investments.blogspot.ca/2013/03/17-Oil-And-Gas-Pipeline-Stocks-With-Highest-Dividend-Yield-To-Buy-Now.html#sthash.7s0xY9Mn.dpuf
Oil & gas pipeline operators with highest dividend yields originally published at "long-term-investments.blogspot.com". Stocks from the basic material sector could complement your portfolio and hedge it against strong commodity price increases. One industry from the basic material sector with the highest yielding stocks is the oil and gas pipeline industry.

39 companies are linked to the industry of which 37 pay dividends. Combined they have a total market capitalization of USD 800 billion. Nearly 60 percent of the industry players have a yield over 5 percent and some have a really great dividend history. Thanks to the share gas boom it’s now possible that more pipeline infrastructure is needed. The average industry yield amounts to 4.72% and the P/E ratio is 33.40.
- See more at: http://long-term-investments.blogspot.ca/2013/03/17-Oil-And-Gas-Pipeline-Stocks-With-Highest-Dividend-Yield-To-Buy-Now.html#sthash.7s0xY9Mn.dpuf
Oil & gas pipeline operators with highest dividend yields originally published at "long-term-investments.blogspot.com". Stocks from the basic material sector could complement your portfolio and hedge it against strong commodity price increases. One industry from the basic material sector with the highest yielding stocks is the oil and gas pipeline industry.
39 companies are linked to the industry of which 37 pay dividends. Combined they have a total market capitalization of USD 800 billion. Nearly 60 percent of the industry players have a yield over 5 percent and some have a really great dividend history. Thanks to the share gas boom it’s now possible that more pipeline infrastructure is needed. The average industry yield amounts to 4.72% and the P/E ratio is 33.40.  (more)

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The 5 Best Sectors for 2015

Next year should see some interesting action in the stock market…
The news on the economic front has been good, and some economists are thinking about raising their fourth-quarter GDP estimates after solid wholesale trade reports and continuing low levels of jobless claims.
Even with a luke warm Thanksgiving, consumers are feeling pretty good as a result of the fall in gas prices that has put additional cash in their wallets. I do not think the Federal Reserve will be in any great hurry to raise rates. (more)

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2014 Review and 2015 Predictions



Miles FranklinPublished on Dec 23, 2014
On his weekly podcast, Andy Hoffman discusses plunging oil prices, gold and silver, the Swiss National Bank, the FOMC meeting last week, holiday retail sales and manipulation of all markets.
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Friday, December 26, 2014

NewLink Genetics Corp (NASDAQ: NLNK)

NewLink Genetics Corporation, a biopharmaceutical company, focuses on discovering, developing, and commercializing immunotherapeutic products to enhance treatment options for patients with cancer. Its portfolio includes biologic product candidates based on its HyperAcute immunotherapy technology, which is designed to stimulate the human immune system; and small-molecule product candidates that are focused on breaking the immune system’s tolerance to cancer by inhibiting the indoleamine-(2,3)-dioxygenase (IDO) pathway.
Take a look at the 1-year chart of NewLink (Nasdaq: NLNK) below with added notations:
1-year chart of NewLink (Nasdaq: NLNK)
NLNK has formed a clear resistance at $42 (red), which would also be a 10-month high breakout if the stock could manage to break above it. In addition, the stock is climbing a short term, up-trending support level (green) over the last 2 months. These two levels combined have NLNK stuck within a common chart pattern known as an ascending triangle. Eventually, the stock will have to break one of those levels.

The Tale of the Tape: NLNK has an uptrending support and a clear $42 resistance level to watch. A long trade could be made on a pullback to the support, or on a breakout above $42. A break below the uptrending support would be an opportunity to enter a short trade.
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5 Ways to Play Europe’s Bounce: Daimler AG (DDAIF.PK), Unilever (NYSE: UN), Deutsche Bank (NYSE: DB), Sanofi (NYSE: SNY),

Last week, I said that it was time for income investors to adjust their portfolios and adapt to the new reality of cheap oil.
For less-speculative investors, I recommended turning an eye to Europe. This week, I want to expand on that idea and highlight a number of enticing investments across the pond.
You see, most U.S. investors have very little money in Europe.  (more)

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Sony Hack Could Spur Double-Digit Profits in This Cyber Security Leader: FireEye (NASDAQ: FEYE)

The cyber attack on Sony Pictures has morphed into an international thriller to rival any Hollywood spy movie. New information is still leaking out on a daily basis, and this story could translate to even bigger growth for one industry.

Sources within Sony (NYSE: SNE) reported in late November that they had been hacked and received a message from a group calling itself the Guardians of Peace. In early December, several unreleased movies were leaked onto the Internet, along with emails containing 47,000 social security numbers and other information on employees of the company.  (more)

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GasLog Ltd (NYSE: GLOG)

GasLog Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, owns, operates, and manages vessels in the liquefied natural gas (LNG) market worldwide. It provides maritime services for the transportation of LNG and LNG vessel management services. As of April 10, 2014, the company’s fleet consisted of 18 wholly owned LNG carriers. It also had 9 LNG carriers operating under its technical management for third parties.
Take a look at the 1-year chart of GasLog (NYSE: GLOG) below with added notations:
1-year chart of GasLog (NYSE: GLOG)
GLOG has been trading sideways for the last 3 months, while forming a common pattern known as a rectangle. A minimum of (2) successful tests of the support and (2) successful tests of the resistance will give you the pattern. GLOG’s rectangle pattern has formed a $22 resistance (green) and a $16 support (red). At some point the stock will have to break one of the two levels created by the rectangle pattern.

The Tale of the Tape: GLOG is trading within a rectangle pattern. The possible long positions on the stock would be either on a pullback to $22, or on a breakout above $16. The ideal short opportunity would be on a break below $16.
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Bloomberg’s Commodity Index Drops To Lowest Since 2009: What Does It Mean?


zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden on 12/22/2014 12:31
Moments ago we learned that for all talk of a commodity “bottom”, the “energetic” dead cat has resumed its inverse bounce. To wit:
  • BLOOMBERG COMMODITY INDEX EXTENDS DROP TO LOWEST SINCE 2009
So what does that mean? The answer: it all depends on whose narrative one chooses to believe and/or which narrative the US Ministry of truth is promoting on any given day in order to boost confidence.
The main plotline now is simple: plunging commodity prices (just don’t call them deflation, “negative inflation” is much better) are a huge tax cut on the US consumer the pundits will have you know. And why not: so simple a Jonahtan Gruber could have come up with it.

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Tuesday, December 23, 2014

Oil Crash vs Gold Crash



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Circle Oil Plc Given Buy Rating at Westhouse Securities (LON:COP)

Circle Oil Plc (LON:COP)‘s stock had its “buy” rating reissued by analysts at Westhouse Securities in a research report issued to clients and investors on Monday. They currently have a GBX 31 ($0.48) price objective on the stock. Westhouse Securities’ target price points to a potential upside of 195.27% from the company’s current price.

COP has been the subject of a number of other recent research reports. Analysts at Investec reiterated a “buy” rating on shares of Circle Oil Plc in a research note on Tuesday, November 11th. They now have a GBX 60 ($0.94) price target on the stock. Separately, analysts at Liberum Capital reiterated a “buy” rating on shares of Circle Oil Plc in a research note on Thursday, November 6th. They now have a GBX 42 ($0.66) price target on the stock.

Shares of Circle Oil Plc (LON:COP) opened at 11.25 on Monday. Circle Oil Plc has a 1-year low of GBX 9.638 and a 1-year high of GBX 28.70. The stock’s 50-day moving average is GBX 14.83 and its 200-day moving average is GBX 19.26.
Circle Oil PLC (LON:COP) is an oil and gas exploration company.

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Bob Hoye – Financial Markets in Great Disorder



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Chart Points To Massive Slow Down: “This Is The Biggest Collapse In The ‘Trade’ Indicator Since Records Began”

by Mac Slavo
SHTF Plan

Prior to the crash of 2008 global trade was rocking. It was a boon for shipping companies around the world who are responsible for moving raw materials, commodities and consumer products from one country to another. Wall Street, of course, had devised a way to track all of this movement and often pointed to the Baltic Dry Index (BDI) as the primary indicator for health in the global trade business.
The index itself tracks the cost of transporting one metric ton of raw materials from one place to another.The numbers behind the BDI can essentially be translated into the cost of moving that cargo.
During the collapse in late 2008 we saw the Baltic Dry Index drop from over 9,000 points to under 1,000 in a matter of months.
Continue Reading at SHTFPlan.com…

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If You Only Use One Tactic in 2015, Use This

We talked earlier this week about the three bad investing habits that kill returns, and I asked you to let go of them in 2015.
I can almost guarantee you’ll be better off for it – and so will your brokerage account.

Now I want to show you what to do instead.
This first tactic is absolutely priceless…

Good Investing Habit No. 1: Have a Plan and Stick to It

If you only use one investing tactic, please use this one.
That’s because more than any other factor, discipline makes all the difference in preserving your capital and, more importantly, in growing it.
That’s where 99% of most investors fail and, in the process, doom themselves to subpar returns.  (more)
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Monday, December 22, 2014

Saudi Arabia Refuses To Cut Oil Output Even If Non-OPEC Members Do


zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden on 12/21/2014 12:45  
As even Reuters observes this morning when discussing the ongoing crude rout, “the market slide has triggered conspiracy theories, ranging from the Saudis seeking to curb the U.S. oil boom, to Riyadh looking to undermine Iran and Russia for their support of Syria.” It appears said theories will continue raging for a long time, because as Saudi Arabia’s oil minister who has been extensively in the news in the past couple (that means “two” as per Janet Yellen) of month explained, the biggest OPEC oil producer said on Sunday it would not cut output to prop up oil markets even if non-OPEC nations did so, in one of the toughest signals yet that the world’s top petroleum exporter plans to ride out the market’s biggest slump in years, and that the price of crude is not going up any time soon.
READ MORE
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Eaton Corp plc (NYSE: ETN)

Eaton Corporation plc operates as a power management company worldwide. Its Electrical Products segment offers electrical components, industrial components, residential products, single phase power quality, emergency lighting, fire detection, wiring devices, structural support systems, circuit protection, and lighting products. The company’s Electrical Systems and Services segment provides power distribution and assemblies, three phase power quality, hazardous duty electrical equipment, intrinsically safe explosion-proof instrumentation, utility power distribution, power reliability equipment, and services. The Hydraulics segment offers power products, controls and sensing products, and fluid conveyance products, as well as filtration systems solutions, heavy-duty drum and disc brakes, and golf grips. The Aerospace segment provides hydraulic power generation systems, controls and sensing products, fluid conveyance products, and fuel systems for commercial and military use. The Vehicle segment designs, manufactures, markets, and supplies drivetrain and powertrain systems, and critical components that reduce emissions and enhance fuel economy, stability, performance, and safety of cars, light trucks, and commercial vehicles.
Take a look at the 1-year chart of Eaton (NYSE: ETN) below with my added notations:
1-year chart of Eaton (NYSE: ETN)
ETN started off 2014 by trading mostly sideway, but eventually the stock fell of a cliff in July, and then again in September and October. However, ETN has rallied nicely since that October low. During the entire year, the stock has also made a habit of finding either support or resistance at $70 (purple). A break above that level now should mean higher prices for the stock.

The Tale of the Tape: ETN has a key level of resistance at $70. A long trade could be entered on a break through that level. However, if you are bearish on the stock, a short trade could be made on any rallies up to $70.
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This Week in Money with Guests: Ross Clark, Victor Adair, John Mauldin



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Lightstream Resources Given Average Rating of “Hold” by Brokerages (TSE:LTS)

Shares of Lightstream Resources (TSE:LTS) have been given a consensus recommendation of “Hold” by the twelve ratings firms that are presently covering the stock, AnalystRatings.Net reports. Five equities research analysts have rated the stock with a sell recommendation and six have assigned a hold recommendation to the company. The average 12-month target price among brokers that have issued a report on the stock in the last year is C$4.47.

Several analysts have recently commented on the stock. Analysts at TD Securities downgraded shares of Lightstream Resources from a “buy” rating to a “reduce” rating in a research note on Friday. They now have a C$0.70 price target on the stock, down previously from C$4.50. Separately, analysts at RBC Capital downgraded shares of Lightstream Resources to an “underperform” rating in a research note on Wednesday. Finally, analysts at RBC Capital downgraded shares of Lightstream Resources from a “sector perform” rating to an “underperform” rating in a research note on Wednesday.

Shares of Lightstream Resources (TSE:LTS) traded down 10.07% on Wednesday, hitting $1.25. 3,948,302 shares of the company’s stock traded hands. Lightstream Resources has a 52 week low of $1.18 and a 52 week high of $9.09. The stock has a 50-day moving average of $2.4 and a 200-day moving average of $5.36. The company’s market cap is $250.8 million.
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Three Bad Investing Habits to Dump in 2015

The latest research from DALBAR is very graphic…
Over the past 20 years, individual investors averaged a measly 2.53% a year, versus the S&P 500, which chalked up 9.02%. In other words, your average annual return was 6.49% less than what it could have been each year. Ouch.

So what’s going on?
When you look back over the last two decades, two things are readily apparent – a) that the markets have been rocky and b) that there’s plenty of blame to go around. The Fed, the big banks, bubbles, China, Washington, Wall Street, the ECB… it doesn’t matter. At some level, they’re all guilty.  (more)

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US Weekly Economic Calendar

time (et) report period ACTUAL CONSENSUS
forecast
previous
MONDAY, DEC. 22
10 am Existing home sales Nov.   5.18 mln 5.26 mln
TUESDAY,  DEC. 23
8:30 am GDP Q3   4.5% 3.9%
8:30 am Durable goods orders Nov.   43.4% 0.3%
9:55 am Consumer sentiment Dec.   -- 93.8
10 am Personal income Nov.   0.5% 0.2%
10 am Consumer spending Nov.   0.5% 0.2%
10 am Core inflation Nov.   -- 0.2%
10 am New home sales Nov.   458,000 458,000
WEDNESDAY, DEC. 24
8:30 am Weekly jobless claims Dec. 20   N/A N/A
THURSDAY, DEC. 25
  Christmas Day
None scheduled
       
FRIDAY, DEC. 26
  None scheduled
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Saturday, December 20, 2014

2015 & 2016 Will Be Among The Most Critical Years In Western Civilization

from King World News
Today an acclaimed money manager told King World News that “2015 and 2016 will be among the most critical years in Western civilization.” He also said that gold is going to regain it prominence in the monetary system and silver is headed into the stratosphere.
Stephen Leeb: “Above all I am focused on oil prices and its temporary negative effect on gold. But longer-term what is developing is phenomenally bearish for the West and bullish for the East. Several reports from brokerages, Goldman Sachs among them, have been released in recent days saying that if oil prices stay near current levels you could see a $1 trillion reduction in capital expenditures across the globe.
Continue Reading at KingWorldNews.com…

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Historical reminder on the mirage of central bank ‘control’ on markets



As Russia is re-learning this morning, Central Banks tinker at the edges of sentiment. Sometimes they are successful in swaying it one way and another–at least for a while. But in the end, their ‘bold’ interventions fail miserably, lurching from one crisis to the next, evaporating buckets of taxpayer dollars in the process.  See: Russian rate hike fails to stop the Ruble’s crash.
Here is a direct video link to a BBC documentary on the Sterling crash of September 1992 when the British government lost ‘control’.
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The 10 Best Stocks in Canada

Passive investors — those who only invest in index or mutual funds — are really at the whims of the market. Unfortunately, the market can be quite fickle as it can go from having a good year, to turning in lousy performance faster than your broker can send you the next quarterly statement. We saw this at the end of 2014 as tumbling oil prices took the resource-focused Canadian stock market down with it.
Canadian market
Thankfully, there is a much better way to invest than to be tossed and turned by the whims of the market. Simply invest in great stocks and hold them for the long term. We see this demonstrated by looking back at the great stocks of the past decade, where long-term holders saw returns of 1,000% or more, while the Canadian stock market, as measured by the S&P/TSX Composite, was only 56%.  (more)

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Four Safe Oil Stocks to Buy Today: DRQ, PSI.TO, DMLP, WPT

Oil stocks are down big over the past few months... and that has many investors looking to buy.
 
But if you buy the wrong ones, you could lose a lot of money. As we've shown you before, even many giant, well-known oil stocks have more room to fall.
 
Today, I'll show you several ways to find a safe, stable company in the oil sector. And four stocks that should weather the turbulence in the oil market well...
 
As regular Growth Stock Wire readers know, oil prices have collapsed. The price of West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil is down nearly 50% from its June high. And the decline in oil prices has destroyed oil stocks.
 
For example, Bakken producer Continental Resources is down 55% over the past four months. Shale producer Halcón Resources peaked at $7.50 in July. Today it trades near $2. (more)

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Follow Icahn's Lead to 40% Potential Upside in This Beleaguered Stock: Hertz Global Holdings (NYSE: HTZ)

Among the phrases that investors hate to hear, "accounting restatements" ranks near the top.

At a minimum, it means that a company maintained sloppy accounting standards. Worst case, it means that a fraud was perpetrated, such as a leading sales executive lying about contracts or a financial officer cooking the books.

Yet, there can be a silver lining. It can push shares well below intrinsic value to the point that upside results simply from new management cleaning up the mess. That's the setup in place for Hertz Global Holdings (NYSE: HTZ (more)

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Teradata Corporation (NYSE: TDC)

Teradata Corporation provides analytic data platforms, marketing and analytic applications, and related consulting services in the United States and internationally. Its analytic data platforms comprise software, hardware, and related business consulting and support services for data warehousing, active intelligence, big data analytics, and data discovery. The company’s products comprise Teradata Analytic Database Software that delivers near real-time intelligence; Teradata Workload-Specific Platforms; Teradata Aster Discovery Platform, which is pre-configured with Teradata Aster Database; and Teradata Logical Data Models that are blueprints for designing an integrated data warehouse.
Take a look at the 1-year chart of Teradata (NYSE: TDC) with the added notations:
1-year chart of Teradata (NYSE: TDC)
TDC has been trading sideways for all of 2014. In addition, since the beginning of February, the stock has found support at $40 (green) whenever that level has been approached. Now that the stock is there again, traders should be able to expect some sort of bounce. However, if the $40 support were to break, much lower prices should follow.

The Tale of the Tape: TDC has a key level of support at $40. A trader could enter a long position at $40 with a stop placed under the level. If the stock were to break below the support a short position could be entered instead.
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Soybeans Likely The Next Market to Take a Big Dump

A look at the January soybean chart indicates that prices are roughly the same price level as they were at the end of October. Taking out a couple of extreme sessions from both the upper end and the bottom end, January soybeans have been range bound between $10.20 and $10.50. Currently prices are near the low end of this range. Generally speaking, the market has been stronger than what we would have expected given the bearish fundamentals.
The USDA is providing some new information as "food for thought" moving into next year. In its baseline projections, the USDA recently indicated they'll be projecting soybean acreage next spring at 84.0 million acres, virtually identical to planted acreage this year. It further projects a slowdown in usage resulting in rising projected ending stocks pegged at 519 million bushels for the next crop year. This compares with recent projections of 410 million bushels carryout for the 2014/15 marketing year. (more)

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Friday, December 19, 2014

Universal Health Services, Inc. (NYSE: UHS)

Universal Health Services, Inc., through its subsidiaries, owns and operates acute care hospitals, behavioral health centers, surgical hospitals, ambulatory surgery centers, and radiation oncology centers. The company’s hospitals offer various services, including general and specialty surgery, internal medicine, obstetrics, emergency room care, radiology, oncology, diagnostic care, coronary care, pediatric services, pharmacy services, and/or behavioral health services.
Take a look at the 1-year chart of Universal (NYSE: UHS) below with my added notations:
1-year chart of Universal (NYSE: UHS)
UHS rallied nicely from April up until September before starting to trend lower into November. Since that November low, UHS has steadily rallied higher. Twice over the last 2 months the stock has resistance at $110 (blue), and that $110 has been a key price in the past as well. A break above $110 should mean a run back up to the 52-week high resistance at $115 (red).

The Tale of the Tape: UHS has a key level of resistance at $110. A long trade could be entered on a break through that level. However, if you are bearish on the stock, a short trade could be made on any rallies up to $110.
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2015 Predictions – Doom Is Always 6 Months Away



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Crude Prices Pump-And-Dump After Saudi “Temporary Problem” Comments

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden / 12/18/2014 10:17
Saudi Oil Minister al-Naimi says it is “difficult, if not impossible” for OPEC or Saudi to give up market share by cutting crude production, and data confirmed Saudi crude oil exports rose to 6.897mln bpd in October, up from 6.722mln bpd in September. This was then followed by the UAE Oil Minister confirming OPEC will not change output levels and has no intention of holding an emergency OPEC meeting. However, the crude complex got a boost by ignoring this and anchoring on al-Naimi’s comments that, as Bloomberg reports, the global oil markets are experiencing “temporary” instability caused mainly by a slowdown in the world economy, sabre-rattling that increased supply from regions outside OPEC (cough US cough), where oil-production costs are higher, is affecting the market.
Oil prices jumped from $56.50 to briefly break above $59 (as it did yesterday in its spike) before giving it all back…

READ MORE
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Insys Therapeutics Inc (NASDAQ: INSY)

Insys Therapeutics, Inc., a commercial-stage specialty pharmaceutical company, develops and commercializes supportive care products. It focuses on utilizing its proprietary formulation technologies to address the clinical shortcomings of existing commercial pharmaceutical products. The company markets Subsys, a proprietary sublingual fentanyl spray for breakthrough pain in opioid-tolerant cancer patients; and Dronabinol Oral Solution, a proprietary orally administered liquid formulation of dronabinol. It offers its Subsys through its incentive-based commercial sales force.
Take a look at the 1-year chart of Insys (Nasdaq: INSY) below with my added notations:
1-year chart of Insys (Nasdaq: INSY)
INSY peaked last March at $58 and lost over 60 percent of its value from there. The stock based out over the next (3) months, started to rally from there, and all the while has hit a very important level of resistance at around $42.50 (red). No matter what the market has or has not done since April, INSY has not been able to break through that area of resistance.

The Tale of the Tape: INSY has a key level of resistance at $42.50. A long trade could be entered on a break through that level. However, if you are bearish on the stock, a short trade could be made on any rallies up to $42.50.
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Bankers See $1 Trillion of Zombie Investments Stranded in the Oil Fields

There are zombies in the oil fields. 

After crude prices dropped 49 percent in six months, oil projects planned for next year are the undead -- still standing upright, but with little hope of a productive future. These zombie projects proliferate in expensive Arctic oil, deepwater-drilling regions and tar sands from Canada to Venezuela.

In a stunning analysis this week, Goldman Sachs found almost $1 trillion in investments in future oil projects at risk. They looked at 400 of the world's largest new oil and gas fields -- excluding U.S. shale -- and found projects representing $930 billion of future investment that are no longer profitable with Brent crude at $70. In the U.S., the shale-oil party isn't over yet, but zombies are beginning to crash it.

The chart below shows the break-even points for the top 400 new fields and how much future oil production they represent. Less than a third of projects are still profitable with oil at $70. If the unprofitable projects were scuttled, it would mean a loss of 7.5 million barrels per day of production in 2025, equivalent to 8 percent of current global demand.
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Thursday, December 18, 2014

Now Is the Right Time to Buy Google Stock: Here Is Why - GOOG

Investors are not very excited about Google (NASDAQ: GOOG  ) (NASDAQ: GOOGL  ) stock lately: Shares of the search powerhouse have fallen by 13% from their highs of the year, as the company delivered disappointing results for the last quarter and investors are becoming increasingly worried about the competitive risk that Facebook (NASDAQ: FB  ) represents.
On the other hand, Google is still a rock-solid player in the much promising online advertising industry, and current valuation looks like an attractive entry point in such a profitable growth company.
The challenges
The online advertising industry is inherently dynamic, and it's gone through important changes over the last several years. The mobile computing revolution is offering enormous potential for growth, as global consumers are spending an increasing amount of their time online via multiple screens. However, growing supply is having a negative impact on ad prices, which is a negative factor for Google. (more)

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Ellis Martin Report with Wellgreen’s Greg Johnson



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Is This Why The Stock Market Volatility Has Increased So Dramatically?

kingworldnews.com / December 17, 2014
With stocks and oil rallying, today King World News is pleased to feature a key chart that helps to explain why the volatility in the stock market has increased so dramatically. This piece also covers Russia’s troubles as well as what is happening in the crude oil markets.
Here is the Investors Intelligence report along with the all-important sentiment chart: The DJ and S&P 500 fell more than 3% last week while the NASDAQ and Russell 2000 lost 2%. Losses continued Monday as crude oil fell to $55/bbl. The US recovery remains strong but Russia moved to the forefront of troubled economies around the world. Many of our market indicators retreated with the averages and advisors continued to shift away from bullish stances. So far their worries are short term with mentions of the traditional seasonal strength between Christmas and New Years Day. 
READ MORE
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6 Reasons To Buy This Tech Stock Today: Red Hat: RHT

There's an expression that goes, "the higher the risk, the higher the reward." For example, some see risky micro-caps as one of the only ways to reap rapid big gains in a stock.
Well, what if you could get the big reward, without having to take on enormous risk? It’s not easy, but it’s not impossible either.
In fact, in his Top 10 Stocks newsletter, my colleague Dave Forest recently discussed the qualities that he looks for when in search of up-and-coming winners. Dave wrote: "The qualities that make businesses great inevitably come down to a few basic themes -- the kind of check-list items that we can reliably look for in stocks both famous and completely unknown, to determine whether they might suddenly deliver outperformance..."
Dave pointed out six basic themes that, when all are possessed by a company, make it a "must-buy."  (more)

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Should You Worry About Our Canadian Dollar Weakening?

Dear Fellow Fools,
In last week’s Take Stock we discussed the benefits of casting your gaze beyond the Canadian border for the equity portion of your portfolio. This may appear to pose some logistical issues that, for many, seem daunting.
We’d like to provide some insights into one of these potential issues and why, in our mind, it’s one you can easily dismiss.
The elephant in the room
It’s a given. If you invest in U.S. equities, you are likely to deal with currency fluctuations.
It’s also a given that we (or anyone else, in our opinion!) aren’t able to accurately predict currency moves, especially in the short term. (more)

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Enphase Energy Inc (NASDAQ: ENPH)

Enphase Energy, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs, develops, and sells microinverter systems for the solar photovoltaic industry. Its microinverter system consists of an Enphase microinverter and related accessories that convert direct current power to grid-compliant alternating current power; an Envoy communications gateway device that collects and transmits performance information from each solar module to the company’s hosted data center; and Enlighten Web-based software platform that collects and processes this information to enable customers to monitor and manage their solar power systems.
Take a look at the 1-year chart of Enphase (Nasdaq: ENPH) below with my added notations:
1-year chart of Enphase (Nasdaq: ENPH)
Over the last 3 months, ENPH has been consolidating within a couple of long-term price levels. First, ENPH has formed a clear support level at $10 (blue). In addition, the stock has also been forming a down trending resistance level (red). These two levels combined have ENPH stuck within a common chart pattern known as a descending triangle that will eventually have to break one way or another.

The Tale of the Tape: ENPH is currently trading within a large descending triangle. A long trade could be made on a break above the down trending resistance or a pullback to $10 support. A short trade could be made on ENPH if the stock breaks below the $10 support level.
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Wednesday, December 17, 2014

6 Oversold Oil Stocks that Offer Huge Upside Potential: SDCJF, MAUXF, CAZA, MQLXF, BXE, AXAS

This Oil shock is the opposite of the usual suspect. Most assume that the promised Oil shock was on the upside ( Goldman Sachs- 2007 when oil was $137/barrel was calling for $200 oil!) We all would take a fraction of that price today ( $59.00 midday low on Dec 11th for WTI).

Is there a conspiracy that created this commodity crash that has happened with such speed and magnitude that if your head is still on your shoulders it may need altering with either Scotch , Vodka or maybe heroine!

Food for thought: We all know that the current administration hates fossil fuels. We all know that Iran is building a "bomb" and that Russia has invaded Ukraine & finally that by next year we will be the world's largest Oil producer in the world ( horizontal drilling ). This of course is a very troubling development for the largest Oil producer in the Middle East, namely, Saudi Arabia .  (more)


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CEMIG: CIG Brazilian Bargain?

Shares of the country’s biggest electric utility Companhia Energetica de Minas Gerais (CIG), or CEMIG, have fared far worse.
It has given up almost 35% of its value since the start of September and now trades at 4.7 times the company’s trailing 12 months’ earnings and less than 1 times sales. At these levels, the American depositary receipt (ADR) yields more than 7%.
CEMIG has also added transmission infrastructure and renewable-energy resources in late October, securing antitrust approval to buy half of a giant 676.2-megawatt wind farm.
With a debt-to-assets ratio of 31.7%, excessive leverage isn’t a problem, either. Rather, CEMIG’s stock is cheap because of what Brazilian regulators may do to address the hydropower-dependent country’s worst drought in 80 years. (more)

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An Epic Blowout In Crude

The FED’s easy money has encouraged rampant energy speculation and over-investment, resulting in more than $500 billion in new loans and investments in just the past 4 years. And so long as Crude prices stayed comfortably above $90, investments made money and everyone was happy. But once energy prices started falling, the decline quickly became a negative loop-back effect because the very high levels of leverage could not tolerate the move. Whenever asset prices fall in a highly levered market, there is often a sudden lack of liquidity to absorb the speculators’ need to unwind leverage, leading to desperation and fire sales. In the case of energy, the sudden disappearance of “investors” highlights just how speculative the underlying market had become.

It’s not exactly a Black Swan event, since Crude and other assets occasionally move with incredible ferocity. But to a highly levered and speculative population who chose to ignore the risks as being far too improbable to worry about, it’s a situation where debt cannot be offloaded at any reasonable price. At $55 bbl Crude prices, much of the new debt simply does not work, meaning that significant energy company junk bond defaults will occur. Although this is obviously bad for the energy complex, it also has very real implications for broader systemic risk. (more)

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iRobot Corporation (NASDAQ: IRBT)

iRobot Corporation designs, develops, and markets robots for consumer, defense and security, telemedicine, and video collaboration markets worldwide. The company operates in two segments, Home Robots and Defense and Security Robots. It offers consumer products, including floor vacuuming and washing robots, floor sweeping robots, and pool and gutter cleaning robots. The company also provides defense and security products, such as ground robots comprising 510 PackBot line of small unmanned ground robots; the small unmanned ground vehicle multi-purpose ground robots; the 110 FirstLook small, light, and throwable robot; and the 710 Warrior multi-purpose robot for carrying heavy payloads. It markets its robots to consumers through chain stores and other national retailers, as well as through its on-line store; and to the U.S. military, and other government agencies.
Take a look at the 1-year chart of iRobot (Nasdaq: IRBT) below with my added notations:
1-year chart of iRobot (Nasdaq: IRBT)
For the most part, IRBT has been trading sideways for the last 7-8 months. During that stretch the stock has had a tendency of creating key price levels at the increments of $2. For example, the current level of support is $34 (blue), and that level has been prior support and resistance in the past. Next, $32 (red) has popped up a couple of times. And of course, running across the bottom is the lower level of support at $30 (green).

The Tale of the Tape: IRBT is approaching its key level of $34. A long trade could be made at that level with a stop placed under it. A short trade could be made on a break below $34 with the expectation of a fall down to the next $2 level at $32.
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Oil’s Crash is Just the First Stage of the $9 TRILLION Implosion

The Oil story is being misinterpreted by many investors.
When it comes to Oil, OPEC matters, as does Oil Shale, production cuts, geopolitical risk, etc. However, the reality is that all of these are minor issues against the MAIN STORY: the $9 TRILLION US Dollar carry trade.
 Drilling for Oil, producing Oil, transporting Oil… all of these are extremely expensive processes. Which means… unless you have hundreds of millions (if not billions) of Dollars in cash lying around… you’re going to have to borrow money.
Borrowing US Dollars is the equivalent of shorting the US DOLLAR. If the US Dollar rallies, then your debt becomes more and more expensive to finance on a relative basis.
There is a lot of talk of the “Death of the Petrodollar,” but for now, Oil is priced in US Dollars. In this scheme, a US Dollar rally is Oil negative.
Here’s the US Dollar:
 
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Tuesday, December 16, 2014

This Week in Money with Guests: Ross Clark, Rick Rule, Keith Schaefer



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Tesla Motors Inc (NASDAQ: TSLA)

Tesla Motors, Inc. designs, develops, manufactures, and sells electric vehicles and electric vehicle powertrain components. The company also provides services for the development of electric powertrain systems and components, and sells electric vehicle powertrain components to other automotive manufacturers. It markets and sells its vehicles through Tesla stores and galleries, as well as over the Internet. The company operates a network of 80 stores and galleries in North America, Europe, and Asia.
Take a look at the 1-year chart of Tesla (Nasdaq: TSLA) below with my added notations:
1-year chart of Tesla (Nasdaq: TSLA)
Over the last 5 months TSLA has created a key level of support at $220 (blue), which was also a prior resistance, and that level was also the “neckline” support for the stock’s head and shoulders (H&S) reversal pattern. Above the neckline you will notice the H&S pattern itself (red).
Remember, patterns such as an H&S need to confirm to have the meaning that they imply. Confirmation of the H&S occurred when TSLA broke below its $220 support.
The Tale of the Tape: TSLA has confirmed a head & shoulders pattern. A short trade could be entered anywhere near $220 with a stop placed above that level. A break back above $220 could negate the forecast for a move lower, thus a long position could be considered instead.
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Podcast: Where Oil Will Bottom & Where The Opportunities Lie

Sumit Roy and Drew Voros discuss the continued decimation of oil prices. (length: 7:17)
HAI's podcast is posted every Monday and looks back at the previous week's moves in commodities.

DOWNLOAD PODCAST



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Natural Gas Prices Are Going Higher

Halliburton laid off 1,000 workers in its Eastern Hemisphere division on Friday.
Many assume oil prices have the multi-national conglomerate spooked that it will need to cut its prices or face non-payment by oil drillers.
Several Energy and Capital readers have emailed us expressing similar concern for their own oil investments.
Most queries sound something like this one from Beth in New Hampshire: "I've been putting money into Continental for the last two years, do you think I should cut my losses?" (more)

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Investing in Junior Mining Stocks 5 Junior Mining Stocks to Own in 2015

It has been a tough several years for mining stocks.
Investors saw spectacular gains up through 2010, when things started getting ugly. Mining stocks are extremely volatile, so it isn’t always a pretty picture when metals are not in a bull market.
Junior mining companies — smaller companies that explore new mines for new deposits — are even more volatile. Of course, if they do strike gold, they can be incredibly profitable.
I generally consider myself a conservative investor. I recommend a well-diversified portfolio for the majority of your financial assets. But it’s not a bad idea to have some speculative plays in your portfolio to give yourself an opportunity for huge gains. (more)

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Monday, December 15, 2014

Buy Facebook :FB Now for Gains up to 76%

Today, I’m going to show you how to bag a gain of up to 76% on Facebook shares- maybe within a month!
Sounds crazy? It’s not. It happened last year – and it could happen again this year – with another hot social media stock.
First, let’s turn back the calendar to December 1, 2013. A popular social media stock called Twitter (NYSE:TWTR) just hit the market a few weeks earlier. The IPO attracted plenty of interest—yet the stock appeared stuck near $40. But you– being the savvy trader that you are– noticed the beginnings of a breakout, so you picked up shares in early December.
That’s when things got interesting…
Twitter didn’t just start to move higher—it exploded higher. By the day after Christmas, Twitter was trading north of $73. That’s a clean 76% gain in less than a month. You sold and ended the year with a fresh wad of money in your pocket. Congrats!(more)

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Andrew Maguire – This Is What Has The Gold Shorts So Terrified

kingworldnews.com / by Eric King / December 12, 2014
Today London metals trader Andrew Maguire spoke with King World News about what has the gold shorts so terrified at this point. Maguire also discussed where the sovereign buyers have large bids in place in the gold market as well as what will trigger them to raise the price of those bids. Below is what Maguire had to say in Part II of a powerful series of interviews that have now been released.
Eric King: “Andrew, where are the major countries — the sovereign buyers — aggressively bidding in the gold market?”
Maguire: “As of today the sovereign buyers are aggressively bidding at the $1,208 level. And it will be incredibly difficult to take the gold market much lower because of the unprecedented tightness I highlighted with KWN in our interview earlier today….
Continue reading the Andrew Maguire interview below…
READ MORE
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Trimble Navigation Limited (NASDAQ: TRMB)

Trimble Navigation Limited designs and distributes positioning products and applications enabled by global positioning system (GPS), optical, laser, and wireless communications technology. It serves agriculture, architecture, civil engineering, construction, environmental management, government, natural resources, transportation, and utilities industries through dealers, distributors, and authorized representatives worldwide.
Take a look at the 1-year chart of Trimble (Nasdaq: TRMB) below with my added notations:
1-year chart of Trimble (Nasdaq: TRMB)
TRMB has been in a persistent downtrend since April. During that time the stock has also formed an important trend line of resistance (red). Always remember, any (2) points can start a trend line, but it’s the 3rd test and beyond that confirm its importance. So, TRMB obviously has an important trendline of resistance, which currently sits near $28.50.

The Tale of the Tape: TRMB is currently stuck under a down trending resistance. A break above resistance should mean higher prices, thus a long trade could be made. Short traders might look to enter a trade at the resistance.
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Stock Market Turning Points


gold-eagle.com / Andre Gratian / December 14, 2014
Current position of the market
SPX: Long-term trend – Bull Market
Intermediate trend – A correction of currently indeterminate time frame has started.  There is a good chance, however, that it will be more than a short-term correction.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts.  It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends

Market Overview

For the week, SPX lost 77 points and DJIA a little over 700.  Technical warnings had been accumulating for several weeks that a correction was due and, in the last couple of letters, I suggested that it could be imminent.  Indeed it was!  Now we must shift our focus onto how much longer and deeper this correction is likely to be.  The bulls will be happy to hear that we are nearing a projection level at the same time that some positive divergence is showing in some indicators.  This has always been a good recipe for a re-bound and I would expect it to start early next week.  If this takes place, we will then try to estimate how much of a rebound it is likely to be.  Let’s check on the indicators.
Momentum:  The weekly MACD has turned down after showing some long-term negative divergence, but it remains strongly positive and, in spite of the decline, it has not yet made a bearish cross.   The daily MACD has made a bearish cross but did so only after making a new high, hence no negative divergence.  It also remains positive.
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My Top Pot Stock for 2015: OrganiGram (OTCBB: OGRMF)

Growing up, I was a bit of a square.
I never drank or did drugs. I never stayed out beyond curfew, and I rarely got anything less than a B on my report cards.
I was everything my parents wanted me to be: A good, loyal, well-disciplined young lady. And I was bored out of my mind.
Like a lot of other girls my age, when I got to college, I broke out of my shell.
I became more sociable, I got drunk at frat parties and smoked pot with my sorority sisters. I let my hair down, and I had never been happier.  (more)

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US Weekly Economic Calendar

time (et) report period ACTUAL CONSENSUS
forecast
previous
MONDAY, DEC. 15
8:30 am Empire state index Dec.   12.0 10.2
9:15 am Industrial production Nov.   0.9% -0.1%
9:15 am Capacity utilization Nov.   79.4% 78.9%
10 am Home builders' index Dec.   59 58
TUESDAY,  DEC. 16
8:30 am Housing starts Nov.   1.03 mln 1.01 mln
9:45 am Markit flash PMI Dec.   -- 54.8
WEDNESDAY, DEC. 17
8:30 am Consumer price index Nov.   -0.1% 0.0%
8:30 am Core CPI Nov.   0.2% 0;2%
8:30 am Current account 3Q   -- -$99 bln
2 pm FOMC statement        
2:30 pm Janet Yellen press conference        
THURSDAY, DEC. 18
8:30 am Weekly jobless claims Dec. 13   299,000 297,000
10 am Philly Fed Dec.
25.0 40.8
10 am Leading indicators Nov.
-- 0.9%
FRIDAY, DEC. 19
  None scheduled
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