Thursday, September 10, 2009
McAlvany Weekly Commentary: Sept 9, 2009
ECOSPASM: Inflation, Deflation, & Stagflation in One!
September 9th, 2009The Gods of the Copybook Headings by Rudyard Kipling
As it will be in the future, it was at the birth of Man
There are only four things certain since Social Progress began.
That the Dog returns to his Vomit and the Sow returns to her Mire,
And the burnt Fool’s bandaged finger goes wabbling back to the Fire;
(To read the entire poem, go to: http://www.kipling.org.uk/poems_copybook.htm )
< href="http://www.mcalvany.com/podcast/#" onclick="javascript: podPressShowHidePlayer('1','http://www.mcalvany.com/podcast/wp-content/uploads/ica2009-0909.mp3',300,30,'true'); return false;">Hide Player | Play in Popup | Download Mp3John Embry - Gold Outlook: Explosion in the Price of Gold Imminent
John Embry and Andrew Mickey
Andrew Mickey: Thanks for joining us today John. A lot has happened since we last talked in February. Basically, it looks like almost everything we looked at last time - gold, silver, agriculture, and other hard assets – continue to be out of favor. There have been “gold shoots,” but nothing really sustainable.
That’s why, today, I want to get into a few more specific topics with you. And one thing that's really hot right now is what's going on in
S&P 500 Moving Averages Show ‘Fierce’ Rally: Technical Analysis
The S&P 500’s five-month moving average climbed to 974.39 yesterday, higher than the 15-month moving average of 972.56, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.
The five-month moving average rose above the 15-month line three other times in the past two decades: March 1991, October 1994 and July 2003. Each cross foreshadowed returns of at least 16 percent during the following 18 months. (more)
A year after financial crisis, the consumer economy is dead
Historians will look to September 2008 as a watershed for the U.S. economy.
On Sept. 7, the government seized mortgage titans Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. Eight days later, investment bank Lehman Brothers filed for bankruptcy, sparking a global financial panic that threatened to topple blue-chip financial institutions around the world. In the several months that followed, governments from Washington to Beijing responded with unprecedented intervention into financial markets and across their economies, seeking to stop the wreckage and stem the damage. (more)
Top 1 Percent of Americans Reaped Two-Thirds of Income Gains in Last Economic Expansion
During those years, the Piketty-Saez data also show, the inflation-adjusted income of the top 1 percent of households grew more than ten times faster than the income of the bottom 90 percent of households.
The last economic expansion began in November 2001 and ended in December 2007, according to the National Bureau of Economic Research, which means the Piketty-Saez data essentially cover that expansion. The last time such a large share of the income gain during an expansion went to the top 1 percent of households — and such a small share went to the bottom 90 percent of households — was in the 1920s (see Figure 1). [2] (more)
Treasury Sees Millions More Foreclosures
A Treasury report showed 360,165 people had their monthly payments reduced through August, up from 235,247 through July, but a senior Treasury official conceded much more must be done to soften the impact of a severe and prolonged housing crisis.
"The recent crisis in the housing sector has devastated families and communities across the country and is at the center of our financial crisis and economic downturn," Michael Barr, assistant Treasury secretary for financial institutions, told a House Financial Services subcommittee. (more)
Is Another 9/11 Set to Unfold?
Photo: At 9:02, United Airlines flight 175 about to impact the World Trade Center south tower.
"Heart of a Soldier" tells the story of two men who, well before it happened, foretold not only of the terrorist attack of 9/11 but also the 1993 bombing in the World Trade Center parking garage that preceded it.
(more)
UK was hours from bank shutdown
Britain was within hours of a banking shutdown last autumn as the government battled to piece together a rescue plan for the stricken Halifax and Royal Bank of Scotland, it has emerged.
Treasury mandarins and Bank of England officials battled the clock to come up with a support package on the weekend of 12 October. If they had failed, the Financial Services Authority could have ordered the closure of cash machines and prevented deposits at either of the two main casualties of the global financial chaos. (more)