Saturday, April 5, 2014

Keith Schaefer – Natural Gas Prices Coming To An Inflection Point

from Financial Survival Network
Keith Schaefer is one of the best energy analysts out there. After watching the natural gas draw down this winter and record price spikes, utilities have been on a spring buying spree. In the next two weeks, we’ll find out if their spree is over or whether they’ll keep buying. This will determine whether prices stay firm or whether they’ll collapse. Oil prices have remained surprisingly steady and will probably remain so, depending upon the Saudis. Ethanol prices have been all over the board and Keith is keeping a hands-off attitude. If next winter is like this one, imagine where prices could go.
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Big Gains Ahead from One of the Greatest Growth Trends Today

It's not too late to get into one of the biggest growth trends in the world.
In June 2012, I told you several of the top-selling drugs in America were about to go on sale because their patents were expiring.
A patent grants a company the right to exclude competitors from selling their product for 20 years. Once a patent expires, it opens up the door to new competition.
In other words, pharmaceutical giants like Merck, Pfizer, and GlaxoSmithKline were about to lose "exclusivity" on some of their top-selling drugs.
I said one industry that would be a huge beneficiary was generics.  (more)
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Governments To Steal Your Bank Account? Rick Rule & Mike Maloney

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$12,000 Gold, $50,000 Gold & The Trade Of The Decade

from King World News
On the heels of another wild trading week, today a 42-year market veteran spoke with King World News about the coming chaos that investors around the world need to brace for, as well as $12,000 gold, $50,000 gold and much more. Below is the incredibly powerful piece by Egon von Greyerz, who is founder of Matterhorn Asset Management out of Switzerland, where he also includes 3 astonishing charts.
By Egon von Greyerz Founder Matterhorn Asset Management
April 4 (King World News) – $12,000 Gold, $50,000 Gold & The Trade Of The Decade
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Bull Market Leaders Are Now Leading the Way Lower

Stocks kick started the second quarter with a bang but were the first few days the start of another rally or just an oversold bounce?
For most of March the stock market corrected in a somewhat control manner. The last couple days in March the broad market was oversold and ready for the bounce so it was no big surprise. But now we must review the technical to see if the market goes higher or lower from here.
First, I want to get you up to speed on the current technical state of the broad market from my point of view.
Cycle Analysis: As of today 3 out of 4 indexes are still showing bullish cycles. The DJIA, SP500 and Russell 2K are still trending higher. The Nasdaq on the other hand is showing a bearish cycle and that sellers will likely continue to weigh on these stocks.
With the Russell 2K only a couple days away from is cycle possibly turning down you must trade with extreme caution and protect any long positions within your portfolio. Know that ¾ stocks move with the market trend, the odd will be against you when a down trend starts.
Moving Averages: Aside from cycles, price and volume, the moving averages are one of the most important indicators for my trading strategy. Currently the IWM and QQQ are trading below the 20 moving average and are underperforming the broad market, and this is worry some.
Divergent Stock Market Sectors
The past few weeks’ divergence among the bull market leading stocks and that of the broad market (blue chip stocks) has taken place. The Nasdaq, Russell 2K, and Biotech stocks have been leading the market higher, but these growth and momentum stocks seemed to hit a wall a few weeks back and are now underperforming the SP500.
This is a sign that the active investors/traders and hedge funds are rotating their money out of these higher beta stocks to lock in gains and are moving their money into the more stable blue chips in anticipation of a market correction.
Similar to how money moves in and out of gold mining stocks before the price of physical bullion price moves (in most cases), we see big money rotating out of these leading stocks first, and you should be aware that the broad market health is slowly deteriorating.
Leading Stocks are Now Lagging

Gold Stocks & Bonds Show Early Signs of a Bottom
The chart below shows possible early stages of gold stocks and bonds forming a bottom. Gold, silver and gold stocks have a lot of work to breakout and kick in to high gear. Bonds on the other hands are showing more strength.
With most traders and investors getting their head handed to them the past couple years if they had held their precious metals positions, it most likely has investors ignoring this sector this time around with a focus on more conservative plays like bonds.

Conclusion: Out of Favor Investments Will Be in Favor Soon Enough
In short, the broad stock market remains in an uptrend and getting short now is a little premature. There are some really exciting short plays setting up, but until the broad market is technically in a down trend shorting is not the direction to be trading.
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