Wednesday, April 15, 2015

Helmerich & Payne (NYSE: HP): An Oil Trade That Could Make You 24% In 8 Weeks

Contrarian investing means going against the crowd, and nowhere in the market today is there a crowd bigger than the oil and energy stock naysayers. With West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil trading around $50 per barrel, there are headlines almost daily forecasting prices moving into the $30s and even $20s.
With oil prices down more than 50% from their highs last summer, energy stocks severely lagged the broader market for the better part of the past year. It seems no one is interested in them anymore, but this is the time when contrarian ears perk up. (more)

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Tesoro Corporation (NYSE: TSO)

Tesoro Corporation engages in petroleum refining and marketing activities in the United States. The Refining segment refines crude oil and other feed stocks into transportation fuels, such as gasoline, gasoline blend stocks, jet fuel, and diesel fuel, as well as other products, including heavy fuel oils, liquefied petroleum gas, petroleum coke, calcined coke, and asphalt. The TLLP segment owns and operates a network of approximately 3,500 miles of crude oil, refined products, and natural gas pipelines; 28 crude oil and refined products truck and marine terminals; and approximately 9 million barrels of storage capacity. The Retail segment sells gasoline and diesel fuel through multi-site operator retail stations, and third-party branded dealers and distributors in the western United States.
Take a look at the 1-year chart of Tesoro (NYSE: TSO) below with my added notations:
1-year chart of Tesoro (NYSE: TSO)
Double tops are reversal patterns and are as simple as they sound: Rallying up to a point (T), selling off to a support, and then rallying back up again to approximately the same prior peak (T). TSO appears to have formed a double top price pattern (blue) over the last 2 months. As with any price pattern, a confirmation of the pattern is needed. TSO confirmed its pattern by breaking the $84 support (red) that was created by the double top pattern.

The Tale of the Tape: TSO has broken down from its double top and should be moving lower overall. A short trade could be made on any rallies back up to $84, while a long trade could be made if the stock were to break back above that level.
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How to Get Rich Today! Interview with Billionaire Jim Rogers



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Stocks To Watch: X, VGGL, KING, WUBA, SIRI, ZIOP, GPRO

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United States Steel Corporation (NYSE:X) appears ready for a breakout above key resistance at 26.07 area. If breakout above the 100-day exponential moving average occurs, I expect to see the stock move toward the 27.5-28 area.

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On my watch list for Wednesday. Viggle Inc (NASDAQ:VGGL) looks to have bottomed. The stock broke the $1.49 resistance level (20EMA) today on strong volume and could eventually rally up to test its 50-day EMA tomorrow. Looking at the technical daily chart the near-term outlook is very positive and a move to the 1.88-2 range appears likely. In addition, MACD indicates positive momentum, while RSI is also gaining strength. Let's keep an eye on her.

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King Digital Entertainment PLC (NYSE:KING) looking strong. With almost 28% of the float short, the stock should continue to move higher, despite the fact that it has already enjoyed strong gains.

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58 dot com Inc (NYSE:WUBA) hits a new 52 week high and held up very well when the nasdaq was tanking. It will likely have the attention of the swing-traders in the next days. I will wait for a pullback, if it comes.

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Over the past eight weeks, shares of Sirius XM Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ:SIRI) have been consolidating in a sideways range near its all-time high. This price action and has led to the formation of a large bull flag on its daily chart. The stock is likely to breakout to new highs in the coming sessions, so keep it in your radar screen.

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ZIOPHARM Oncology Inc.(NASDAQ:ZIOP) Strong Bullish candle on high volume today. Looks like higher prices to come. The RSI also confirms the new uptrend and the stock trades comfortably above all EMAs. Next resistance is located at $11.98, while immediate support has moved up to $10.98.

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GoPro Inc (NASDAQ:GPRO) is trading higher in post-market session following an after-hours upgrade from Piper Jaffray's Erinn Murphy. The analyst now rates GoPro shares as an Overweight, and set a $55 price target on the stock. Currently, shares are higher by 2%, trading around $45.3, they ended the regular session at $44.48. Following the investors reaction in the extended trading we should see a gap up tomorrow morning. It will be important to see if the stock will have legs to break and close above $46. A breakout above this level would constitute a technical entry for the short term trader looking for a quick trade.
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