Monday, November 2, 2009
Seven Trading Lessons from a Legend
Livermore was wealthy and broke several times over during his tumultuous life, which ended in his suicide. His ability to make and lose millions garnered him many lessons which the trading community have enshrined over the decades since his death. Yet these lessons and rules remain as pertinent today as they were in the early twentieth century.
We’ll take a look at several of his trading rules to remind us why we must have a plan in place before trading a dollar of our hard-earned money. (more)
How Goldman secretly bet on the U.S. housing crash
Goldman's sales and its clandestine wagers, completed at the brink of the housing market meltdown, enabled the nation's premier investment bank to pass most of its potential losses to others before a flood of mortgage defaults staggered the U.S. and global economies.
Only later did investors discover that what Goldman had promoted as triple-A rated investments were closer to junk. (more)
CIT failure to leave small businesses floundering
CIT filed for bankruptcy protection on Sunday, and said its creditors have already approved the century-old commercial lender's reorganization plan.[ID:nN01408863]
The bankruptcy followed a failed struggle to refinance its debt amid the credit crunch and recession, and paves the way for it to restructure. (more)
Dow's 52 Week Highs Not Confirmed
The Dow has gone on to put in a series of new 52 week highs, something that has eluded both the transports and the utilities. We personally do not place too much emphasis on the Dow Theory which focuses on the transports, we. However, to do place quite a bit of weight on the utilities as they generally lead both the industrials and the transports. At the very least the Utilities should have put in one new 52 week high and more importantly they should have done it before the industrials and or the transports. As both the transports and the utilities have not put in new highs we have what amounts to a double non confirmation signal. This suggests high probability of the Dow suffering a big correction. (more)
Wheat Tailspin Accelerating Signals 13% Drop on Record Harvests
Wheat’s steepest weekly drop since December may be just the start of a fourth-quarter slump as the biggest harvests on record turn this year into the worst for prices since 1990. Wheat will decline 13 percent to $4.30 a bushel in Chicago by the end of December, according to Emmanuel Jayet, head of agricultural-commodities research at Societe Generale in Paris. Prices had staged the biggest October rally in at least 50 years, rising 26 percent to $5.7475 on Oct. 23, after rain delayed U.S. planting. Last week’s 9.8 percent drop shows the gains were “overdone,” Jayet said.
Global output rose 12 percent to a record 682.3 million metric tons in the year through May and will total 668.1 million in the current season, the second-most ever, the U.S. Department of Agriculture said Oct. 9. The surplus will likely lower costs for General Mills Inc., the maker of Cheerios cereal, and reduce profit for flour millers including ConAgra Foods Inc. (more)
