Wednesday, September 17, 2014

Cycles Say Silver Will Be Stronger Than Gold – Charles Nenner Research

Gold continues its struggle this Tuesday and Kitco News speaks with Charles Nenner Research’s managing director David Gurwitz to find out what the cycles are telling him. Gurwitz says that although gold may go as low as the $1,120 level, he expects the metal to bounce soon. “It’s the process of bottoming and it could still go a little lower,” he says. “But we are looking to go long pretty soon.” Gurwitz also says he expects the dollar to start heading down starting next year. “We generally look at gold in dollar terms,” he says. “We think gold is going to retest its highs down the road.” Looking at silver, Gurwitz says he sees a more promising future for the industrial metal. “Silver is going to be stronger than gold, we think silver can double.” Tune in now to see what the cycles are telling him about unemployment, nonfarm payrolls, CPI, and more! 
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Winter is Coming! Here's My Favorite Seasonal Trade: Natural Gas

Over the years, I've been successful trading weather patterns as they relate to commodities such as crude oil, gasoline and grains. As unpredictable as the weather can seem, there are patterns, and traders who get ahead of the crowd can exploit them for reliable profits.
Today, I'm going to share one of my favorite seasonal trades with you, and that is the tendency for natural gas prices to rise in the winter months as the colder weather spurs demand for use in home heating.
Natural Gas Prices
Source: U.S. Energy Administration
For seven of the past 10 years, the price of natural gas has risen between the beginning of September and the end February, with an average gain of 17.6%.
The Farmers' Almanac predicts the 2014-2015 winter will again bring record cold temperatures for most of the nation. And with natural gas prices near historical lows, this would all but guarantee higher prices over the next few months. (more)

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Sanctions against Russia could spur $150 oil – Former BP chief

Western sanctions against Russia, coupled with ongoing political instability in Libya and the advance of ISIS militants in Iraq, could leave the global oil supply exposed and push up oil prices to $150 per barrel, former BP chief Tony Hayward has warned.
The former CEO of BP and now chairman of Glencore Xstrata said the recent boom in US shale production has painted an unrealistic image of the world’s global oil supply, and created a false sense in energy security.
“The world has been lulled into a false sense of security because of what’s going on in the US,” Hayward said in an interview with the Financial Times.(more)
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YY Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates an online social platform in the People’s Republic of China. The company engages users in real-time online group activities through voice, video, and text on personal computers and mobile devices; and enables users to create and organize groups of various sizes to discover and participate in a range of activities, including online games, music activities, education, live game broadcasting, and conference calls. Its principal product is YY Client, which enables users to engage in live interactions online; and provides access to user-created online social activities groups. It also offers Web-based YY that enables users to conduct real-time interactions on the Web without any downloads or installations; and Mobile YY, a mobile application.
Take a look at the 1-year chart of YY (Nasdaq: YY) below with my added notations:
1-year chart of YY (NASDAQ: YY)
YY has been trending consistently higher for the last 4 months while forming a clear trendline of support (red). However, the stock had also formed at 52-week high resistance at $90 (blue). At some point YY was going to have to break one of those two levels, and late last week the stock broke to a new high.

The Tale of the Tape: YY broke though its $90 resistance, which was also a new 52-week high. A long trade could be made on a pullback down to the $90 level with a stop placed below that level. A break back below $90 should lead to a fall down to the trendline support.
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Kohlberg Kravis Roberts & Co. (NYSE: KKR) : This Private Equity Play Yields 7.8%

It’s easy to see why the private equity business stirs up a fair bit of controversy…
These companies are able to invest in ways that certainly aren’t accessible to the average investor.
And they can use this unfair, insider advantage to their benefit time and time again.
The good news is, the average investor can trade alongside these insiders — and generate income at the same time. (more)

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Double Your Money AND Double Your Income in 10 Years (Or Less!): W.P. Carey Inc. (NYSE: WPC),Kinder Morgan Energy Partners LP (NYSE: KMP), Hannon Armstrong Sustainable Infrastructure Capital, Inc. (NYSE: HASI)

As a full-time researcher and writer about the stock market, I find it interesting that the mainstream financial news spends so little time discussing dividends, dividend focused stocks such as REITs and MLPs.
They often actually discuss dividend payments as a negative for stock investing results. This is contrary to my research that shows a combination of attractive yield and steady distribution growth may be the surest path to greater wealth and income. I have come to realize that there are two reasons why the financial press and investment advisors who appear on the financial networks either ignore or disparage dividend focused investing strategies: (more)

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