In this market, finding a stock with strong upside potential that's
also come down well off of its 52-week high isn't as easy as it may
seem. But thanks to what I call the performance protection trade, there are high-fliers that have pulled back. Stocks such as Tesla Motors (NASDAQ: TSLA) and Facebook (NASDAQ: FB) fit this description well, as does auto and equipment rental giant Hertz Global Holdings (NYSE: HTZ).
HTZ
has rewarded shareholders with a 40% gain in 2013, easily besting the
benchmark S&P 500 index's 24% year-to-date showing.
However,
at the time of its 52-week high of $27.75, made in mid-July, the stock
was up more than 70%. Shares sold off through the rest of the summer
before retesting this high in September.
Then, in late September,
HTZ suffered a huge one-day sell-off that drove it below both the 50-day
and 200-day moving averages. HTZ currently trades near $22.80, about
17% off its recent highs and right about where it traded in mid-April. (more)
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Thursday, November 14, 2013
Yes, Oil Prices Are Being Manipulated — But Not By Who You Think
Ask most Americans and they'll tell you the oil markets
are controlled by OPEC. But a recent lawsuit brought by four veteran
floor traders alleges the global oil market is being manipulated from
the waters off Scandinavia, not via the Middle East or Venezuela.
At issue is that a relatively
small amount of oil from the North Sea -- between 1.2 million and 1.4
million barrels per day -- is being used as the benchmark for the
roughly 90 million barrels that are priced daily in financial markets,
as Dan Dicker, a former oil trader and author of Oil's Endless Bid, tells me and Lauren Lyster in the accompanying video.
This Is Becoming “An Agent Of Financial Recklessness”
from King World News
On the heels of yesterday’s new all-time high closing on the Dow, and gold and silver continuing to slide lower, today KWN thought it would be interesting to share an absolutely brilliant piece from 50-year veteran Art Cashin. Cashin, who is Director of Floor Operations at UBS ($650 billion under management), warns about what is becoming “an agent of financial recklessness.” This is an important piece for KWN readers around the world.
Continue Reading at KingWorldNews.com…
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On the heels of yesterday’s new all-time high closing on the Dow, and gold and silver continuing to slide lower, today KWN thought it would be interesting to share an absolutely brilliant piece from 50-year veteran Art Cashin. Cashin, who is Director of Floor Operations at UBS ($650 billion under management), warns about what is becoming “an agent of financial recklessness.” This is an important piece for KWN readers around the world.
Continue Reading at KingWorldNews.com…
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E I Du Pont De Nemours And Co (NYSE: DD)
E. I. du Pont de Nemours and Company operates as a science and
technology based company worldwide. Its Agriculture segment provides
corn hybrid, soybean, canola, sunflower, sorghum, inoculants, wheat, and
rice seed products under the Pioneer brand; and herbicides, fungicides,
and insecticides. The company's Electronics and Communications segment
supplies materials and systems, including photopolymers and electronic
materials for photovoltaic products, consumer electronics, displays, and
advanced printing. The Industrial Biosciences segment develops and
manufactures a portfolio of enzymes. The Nutrition and Health segment
offers cultures, emulsifiers, gums, natural sweeteners, and soy-based
food ingredients. The Performance Chemicals segment offers industrial
and specialty chemical products for markets, including plastics and
coatings, textiles, mining, pulp and paper, water treatment, and
healthcare; titanium dioxide products. The Performance Materials segment
provides thermoplastic and thermoset engineering polymers, elastomers,
films, parts, and systems and solutions for the automotive original
equipment manufacturers and associated after-market industries. The
Safety and Protection segment primarily offers nonwovens, aramids, and
solid surfaces for the construction, transportation, communications,
industrial chemicals, oil and gas, electric utilities, automotive,
manufacturing, defense, homeland security, and safety consulting
industries. The Pharmaceuticals segment represents its interest in the
collaboration relating to Cozaar/Hyzaar antihypertensive drugs.
To review E.I.'s stock, please take a look at the 1-year chart of DD (E. I. du Pont de Nemours and Company) below with my added notations:
DD had been trading in a sideways range for the last 4 months. During that period of time the stock had also been bouncing within a common chart pattern known as a rectangle. Rectangle patterns form when a stock bounces between a horizontal support and resistance. A minimum of (2) successful tests of the support and (2) successful tests of the resistance will give you the pattern. DD's rectangle pattern had formed a $60 resistance (blue) and a $56 support (green). Now that the stock has broken its rectangle resistance higher prices should follow.
The Tale of the Tape: DD has broken through the resistance of its rectangle pattern. The possible long position on the stock would be on a pullback to $60. The ideal short opportunity would be on a break back below $60.
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To review E.I.'s stock, please take a look at the 1-year chart of DD (E. I. du Pont de Nemours and Company) below with my added notations:
DD had been trading in a sideways range for the last 4 months. During that period of time the stock had also been bouncing within a common chart pattern known as a rectangle. Rectangle patterns form when a stock bounces between a horizontal support and resistance. A minimum of (2) successful tests of the support and (2) successful tests of the resistance will give you the pattern. DD's rectangle pattern had formed a $60 resistance (blue) and a $56 support (green). Now that the stock has broken its rectangle resistance higher prices should follow.
The Tale of the Tape: DD has broken through the resistance of its rectangle pattern. The possible long position on the stock would be on a pullback to $60. The ideal short opportunity would be on a break back below $60.
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Axcelis Technologies (NASDAQ: ACLS) This Industry's Smallest Player Has the Biggest Potential Upside
When chip equipment maker Applied Materials (NASDAQ: AMAT)
surpassed $10 billion in annual revenue for the first time in fiscal
2011, its competitors could only sigh. The company's industry leadership
was never in doubt, but a series of acquisitions gave it such a broad
suite of offerings that rivals wondered if they could ever take market
share again.
AMAT's massive market presence eventually led its two biggest rivals, Lam Research (NASDAQ: LRCX) and Novellus Systems to join forces in 2011, but even that combined entity has yet to crack the $5 billion annual revenue barrier. KLA-Tencor (NASDAQ: KLAC) is also in AMAT's rearview mirror, with only $3 billion in annual sales. And a handful of smaller companies bring up the rear, none of which have even $1 billion in annual revenue. (Note: Only U.S. companies have been considered here.)
Lost in the crowd is little-known Axcelis Technologies (NASDAQ: ACLS), which had $400 million to $500 million in annual sales a decade ago, but has slumped badly in recent years, with sales falling to just $200 million in 2012. (more)
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AMAT's massive market presence eventually led its two biggest rivals, Lam Research (NASDAQ: LRCX) and Novellus Systems to join forces in 2011, but even that combined entity has yet to crack the $5 billion annual revenue barrier. KLA-Tencor (NASDAQ: KLAC) is also in AMAT's rearview mirror, with only $3 billion in annual sales. And a handful of smaller companies bring up the rear, none of which have even $1 billion in annual revenue. (Note: Only U.S. companies have been considered here.)
Lost in the crowd is little-known Axcelis Technologies (NASDAQ: ACLS), which had $400 million to $500 million in annual sales a decade ago, but has slumped badly in recent years, with sales falling to just $200 million in 2012. (more)
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McAlvany Weekly Commentary
Russell Napier: Strangled by the “Seen Hand”
Posted on 13 November 2013.
About this week’s show:
-Emerging markets: trigger for next crises
-Government favoritism: rationing of credit
-Gold benefits from deflation and inflation
About the guest: Russell Napier is a consultant with
CLSA Asia-Pacific Markets writing on issues affecting global equity
markets. After studying law, he began his investment career sixteen
years ago at Baillie Gifford in Edinburgh managing funds in the Japanese
then the US and finally the Asian markets. Moving to Foreign &
Colonial Emerging Markets in London he was responsible for managing
Asian portfolios. In May 1995, Russell relocated to Hong Kong to become
Asian equity strategist for CLSA, a leading Asian equity brokerage.-Emerging markets: trigger for next crises
-Government favoritism: rationing of credit
-Gold benefits from deflation and inflation
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