With the gold and silver markets heating up once again, King World News interviewed legendary trader Jim Sinclair. When asked about repeated top calls being made in the gold market Sinclair responded, “This is not what a top is made of. I’ve been around long enough, I’ve seen many, many markets, so many I don’t even want to count anymore, and this is not what tops are made out of. Tops are made out of outrageous exuberance.”
Sinclair continues:
“What most people look at, no what almost everyone looks at is a picture in time, something like looking at a still. Up comes the chart, it’s a picture in time. Very few people will focus on motion, direction over time. And you can’t predict the future unless you can see things in motion. So, to the static thinker the picture in time has to have an excuse of why the market did this or why the market did that or what technical thing happened to make it happen. While in truth, you and I know we are watching something unfold.”
You nailed ahead of time the fact that gold would be strong despite strength in the US dollar. (more)
Thursday, December 2, 2010
David Skarica: US Inflation Could Spark Global Unrest
Investors should put their money in gold or companies that do well amid higher gold prices, says David Skarica, editor of the Gold Stock Adviser newsletter and author of "The Great Super Cycle." Debt and equity markets also are full of hurdles, and mounting global criticism of U.S. fiscal and monetary policies might eventually lead to higher borrowing costs and soaring inflation, ultimately sparking unrest around the world, he warns.
Gold stocks normally trade between 40 percent and 60 percent of the price of gold, meaning that if gold is worth $1,000 an ounce, a stock index tied to the precious metal is ripe with buying opportunities when at or less than 40 percent or is too expensive when breaking 60 percent of the per-ounce price.
"Right now the ratio is only about 38 percent, and that's despite this huge run we've had in gold and gold stocks, telling us that gold equities are still cheap compared to the metal," Skarica tells Newsmax.TV.
"Gold stocks are extremely cheap," especially considering that gold is trading near $1,390 an ounce and should soon rise to around $1,700. (more)
Gold stocks normally trade between 40 percent and 60 percent of the price of gold, meaning that if gold is worth $1,000 an ounce, a stock index tied to the precious metal is ripe with buying opportunities when at or less than 40 percent or is too expensive when breaking 60 percent of the per-ounce price.
"Right now the ratio is only about 38 percent, and that's despite this huge run we've had in gold and gold stocks, telling us that gold equities are still cheap compared to the metal," Skarica tells Newsmax.TV.
"Gold stocks are extremely cheap," especially considering that gold is trading near $1,390 an ounce and should soon rise to around $1,700. (more)
4 Uranium Penny Stocks to Buy
If you’re looking for penny stock investments, chances are you focus on biotech stocks or technology picks. But don’t overlook the energy industry. While the oil majors like Exxon Mobil (NYSE: XOM) and Dow component Chevron (NYSE: CVX) are indeed some of the biggest corporations in the world by market cap, there are plenty of tiny energy penny stocks out there worth your while.
In fact, if you look outside of conventional crude oil stocks there are a number of penny stocks with big profit potential – including some with a focus on nuclear energy and uranium.
Here are four of my favorite energy penny stocks to buy right now that all focus on uranium and the nuclear power industry.
Denison Mines Corp. (DNN)
Denison Mines Corp. (AMEX: DNN) is engaged in the acquisition, exploration and development of uranium bearing properties. The company also extracts, processes, sells and reclaims uranium. Year-to-date, this penny stock has jumped an incredible +145.7%, compared to a gain of +5.6% for the Dow Jones Industrial Average. Last quarter, DNN posted a difference of six cents from its actual quarterly earnings to its original earnings estimate. Trading at $3.08, DNN has a yearly stock range of $1.08 to $3.31. (more)
30 Weeks Of Consecutive Equity Fund Outflows
No matter the amount of propaganda, the amount of manipulation, and Fed intervention, retail refuses to come back to the market. America's love affair with stocks is over, has bypassed the marriage stage and gone straight to the bitter divorce. Per ICI, the week ended November 24 saw $2.6 billion in outflows from domestic equity funds, and a total of over $91 billion year to date.
McAlvany Weekly Commentary
2010: Our Listeners Questions Answered, Part I
Posted on 01 December 2010.
Announcement! You are cordially invited to join David McAlvany at the Orlando Money Show and the Bahamas Seminar with the World Economic Summit. For more information, please visit: www.mcalvanyica.com/seminars
Nigel Farage: Europe Is Becoming An Orwelian Police State, Ruled By Unelectable Madmen, Which May Soon Be Overrun With Violence
Nigel Farage made waves recently when he told the Europarliament the truth about the sad fate of the euro experiment. Obviously, it was not taken too lightly by the career politicians who, just like our own, have made it their life mission to lead a failed economic experiment to its sad end, no matter the social cost and public suffering. Today, Farage made a repeat appearance on King World News continuing with his warning that the one most likely outcome of Europe continuing on its autopilot course will be one the culminates with "violence and extremism." To wit: “Nobody dares to admit that they got this whole thing wrong...Once people realize that who they vote for in general elections has become no more than a charade, then if they want to change things, all they are left with is civil disobedience and violence, and we’re beginning to see this already. In Greece we are seeing small terrorist style attacks that are taking place on EU buildings that are taking place against EU officials...So what happens if you rob people of their rights is they will turn to violence and they will turn to extremism, and that is why I believe these people to be so dangerous."
And some other choice quotes: (more)
Disappearing Bank Accounts
If you don't have money outside the computerized banking system, you should do so now. You just never know when the system is going to go down. At such a time, the person, who does have cash, will be calling the tune. Remember, "He who has the gold makes the rules." Below, Simon Black reports on the major malfunction at one of Australia's largest banks-RW
By Simon Black
It all started a week ago. National Australia Bank, one of the largest in the country, had a technical malfunction in its core system. Within hours, a simple problem had practically brought a large part of Australia's banking system to its knees. It was a crazy turn of events.
You see, banks don't use regular operating systems or database applications; they run specialty software that is intended to synchronize complex operations like cash deposits, overnight interbank drafts, central bank facilities, electronic transfers, credit card monitoring, and a host of sensitive data.
When something goes wrong, it can throw the entire system into disarray, and customers end up getting hurt. (more)
By Simon Black
It all started a week ago. National Australia Bank, one of the largest in the country, had a technical malfunction in its core system. Within hours, a simple problem had practically brought a large part of Australia's banking system to its knees. It was a crazy turn of events.
You see, banks don't use regular operating systems or database applications; they run specialty software that is intended to synchronize complex operations like cash deposits, overnight interbank drafts, central bank facilities, electronic transfers, credit card monitoring, and a host of sensitive data.
When something goes wrong, it can throw the entire system into disarray, and customers end up getting hurt. (more)
Second Leg of Home Price Declines Is Afoot
In September, home prices continued to slip, and the declines were very widespread. The Case-Shiller Composite 10 City index (C-10) fell 0.67% on a seasonally adjusted basis, and is up just 1.52% from a year ago. The broader Composite 20 City index (which includes the cities in the C-10) fell by 0.80% on the month and is up 0.55% from a year ago.In August, the year-over-year gains were 2.50% for the C-10 and 1.61% for the C-20, so it looks like the year-over-year gains are rolling over. Of the 20 cities, only one (Washington DC, and it was only up 0.05%) posted a gain on the month, while 19 saw prices fall. Year over year, five metro areas saw gains and 15 suffered losses. In August, there were also 19 down and just one up. It thus looks like a new downtrend in housing prices is under way.
Consider Seasonal Adjustments to Prices
There is a seasonal pattern to home prices, and thus it is better to look at the seasonally adjusted numbers than the unadjusted numbers. Most of the press makes the mistake of focusing on the unadjusted numbers.
While the 0.55% rise in the C-20 year over year in isolation is not the end of the world, it hardly makes up for the damage that was done in the popping of the housing bubble, and it is also unlikely to last. From the April 2006 peak of the housing market, the C-10 is down 29.83%, while the C-20 is off by 29.56%. (more)
Gold Headed to $2,000, Silver $60 to $75
With gold trading near $1,370 and silver breaking back above $27, King World News interviewed Sean Boyd, Chairman and CEO of Agnico Eagle to get his thoughts on where gold and silver are headed. When asked about gold specifically Sean stated, “I think having that perspective of being around the industry for a long time, if you go back ten years ago and someone had said gold was going to $2,000 then you would have thought well, if that’s the case then the world is going to be in a total mess. Well, we can see gold at $2,000 without the world being in a total mess. So I think this argument that we have to have disaster before gold is going to go up is wrong.”
Sean Boyd continues:
“We get caught up in these short-term fluctuations, and we tend to lose track of the big picture. I was just reading our 1999 annual report where we were making the case for gold when everyone had written it off and people were calling it the barbarous relic. So I just think we are gradually moving away from the concept that it was worthless, to people all of the sudden coming to the conclusion that it has a role. That is just starting in my view.
In the short-term gold has acted reasonably well. In the the next 6 months we should push our way up to $1,500, and gold will likely go through $1,500. But this is just an ongoing trend as we move higher and people start to realize the importance of gold as a currency. (more)
Sean Boyd continues:
“We get caught up in these short-term fluctuations, and we tend to lose track of the big picture. I was just reading our 1999 annual report where we were making the case for gold when everyone had written it off and people were calling it the barbarous relic. So I just think we are gradually moving away from the concept that it was worthless, to people all of the sudden coming to the conclusion that it has a role. That is just starting in my view.
In the short-term gold has acted reasonably well. In the the next 6 months we should push our way up to $1,500, and gold will likely go through $1,500. But this is just an ongoing trend as we move higher and people start to realize the importance of gold as a currency. (more)
Goldman Sachs Forecasts Gold Prices To Peak At $1,750/oz In 2012
(Kitco News) - Goldman Sachs sees gold prices peaking at $1,750 an ounce in 2012 as strong U.S. economic growth is expected in 2011 and 2012 and U.S. real interest rates will begin to rise, the bank said on Wednesday in a research note.
Goldman reiterated its forecast for gold for the next 12 months to rise to $1,690 and did not give any new trading recommendations. Their average gold price for 2012 is $1,700.
The bank said that gold prices will likely continue to trend higher in 2011, but there will be fewer catalysts for sharp price rises. Further, with downside risks likely rising as the calendar turns to 2012, they suggest investors use options to hedge risk. Specifically they suggest using a covered call option and fully finance a put option. A covered call means a trader buys a futures contract and sells a call option at a strike price above where they entered a long futures contract. The put option offers protection from falling prices.
“This strategy is especially appealing in the current environment as the gold options market continues to exhibit relatively high call skew and low put skew for medium-term options,” they said.
Goldman said with the low interest rate environment and the second quantitative easing, gold prices will continue to rise in 2011, but by 2012 a peak will be reached. “However, as we look toward 2012, we find it timely to reiterate our view that at current price levels gold remains a compelling trade, but not a long-term investment. Looked at over long horizons, the price of gold tends to revert to $450/toz in today’s dollars, and we expect that as US real rates begin to rise in 2011, we will see the cycle turn, and gold prices begin to move lower,” they said. (more)
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