Monday, August 3, 2015

A Breakout In Cotton Is Looming

Cotton Futures--- Cotton futures in the December contract are trading below its 20 and 100 day moving average hitting a 4 week low in today’s trade, however the chart structure is still poor at this time and if you been reading any of my previous blogs I have not traded cotton in 2015 as prices have gone nowhere so I’m still avoiding this market at the current time.
Cotton prices are at major support and there could be a possible recommendation coming up in the next couple of days especially if the chart structure or monetary risk is reduced as concerns about China slowing down is putting pressure on cotton prices currently. The problem with China is that they are the largest importer of cotton in the world and hold around 50% of the world reserves so the reality is they won’t be importing much cotton therefore reducing demand as it looks to be another outstanding crop in the southern part of the United States as harvest will begin in about two months increasing worldwide supplies so keep an eye on this market as we could be in a short position later next week.
Traders are awaiting the August USDA crop report which should send volatility back into this market as there’s very little volatility at the current time. TREND: LOWER –CHART STRUCTURE: POOR

No comments:

Post a Comment