Saturday, February 7, 2015

Use the Fund Driven Rally to Sell Soybeans

We had been noticing for the past week how open interest was increasing rather dramatically in both corn and soybean futures. The COT data had confirmed that funds were holding a large net short position in soybean futures. It was fund buying that finally drove soybean prices over 35 cents higher on Tuesday, February 3rd. It appears that fund buying, in tandem with a sharp rise in crude oil, copper, corn and wheat finally exhausted the sell paper resting above the market, resulting in a sharp one-day rally. If the rally continues a couple more sessions, we'll be interested in selling the May soybean contract and/or establishing bearish option strategies. In addition, for our producer/hedger clients, we'll be looking at adding to our short November 2015 hedges.  (more)

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