We had been noticing for the past week how open interest was increasing
rather dramatically in both corn and soybean futures. The COT data had
confirmed that funds were holding a large net short position in soybean
futures. It was fund buying that finally drove soybean prices over 35
cents higher on Tuesday, February 3rd. It appears that fund
buying, in tandem with a sharp rise in crude oil, copper, corn and wheat
finally exhausted the sell paper resting above the market, resulting in
a sharp one-day rally. If the rally continues a couple more sessions,
we'll be interested in selling the May soybean contract and/or
establishing bearish option strategies. In addition, for our
producer/hedger clients, we'll be looking at adding to our short
November 2015 hedges. (more)
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