Friday, August 2, 2013

Gold is Finally Ready to Launch

Gold appears to have wakened from what has been a very challenging 10 month decline. Ever since last September’s rally failed (bull trap) to take out the all-time high set back in 2011, it has literally been straight downhill for gold. But the signs of a trend change are everywhere now, and this is evident technically in the charts and within the changing composition of the Cycles. Be warned we are due a $50 pullback this week towards a Daily Cycle Low. However beyond that, all indications point to a substantial rally about to take hold. According to my Cycles analysis, we’re looking at a 10 week gold rally back to the $1,520-50 region.
The Weekly Cycle
There are plenty of reasons to get excited here, as the early developments of this new Weekly Cycle point to a longer term trend change. Gold is now 4 good weeks into a Weekly Cycle (these Cycle average 20 weeks) which was confirmed once it broke above the declining trend-line and the Weekly Swing Low point (Above $1,301). The technical indicators show strength is building while the slow moving weekly oscillators are beginning to bullishly cross. There is no way of knowing for sure how far this Cycle will run, but the early indications are very encouraging as the Cycles on every time-frame are turning higher.

With a new Cycle, we’re on the eve of yet another significant rally. We know from past experience that big Right Translated Weekly Cycles can easily gain 25% before topping. When we look at the weekly chart there is some volume resistance at the $1,400 area, but besides that it’s clear sky back up to the $1,520-50. It’s at that area where gold was supported numerous times in the past before eventually collapsing, and it’s at that level where resistance will now be found. That area is where plenty of trapped longs can still be found and it’s where this coming Weekly Cycle rally will top. (more)
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