Gold appears to have wakened from what has been a very challenging 10
month decline. Ever since last September’s rally failed (bull trap) to
take out the all-time high set back in 2011, it has literally been
straight downhill for gold. But the signs of a trend change are
everywhere now, and this is evident technically in the charts and within
the changing composition of the Cycles. Be warned we are due a $50
pullback this week towards a Daily Cycle Low. However beyond that, all
indications point to a substantial rally about to take hold. According
to my Cycles analysis, we’re looking at a 10 week gold rally back to the
$1,520-50 region.
The Weekly Cycle
There are plenty of reasons to get excited here, as the early
developments of this new Weekly Cycle point to a longer term trend
change. Gold is now 4 good weeks into a Weekly Cycle (these Cycle
average 20 weeks) which was confirmed once it broke above the declining
trend-line and the Weekly Swing Low point (Above $1,301). The technical
indicators show strength is building while the slow moving weekly
oscillators are beginning to bullishly cross. There is no way of knowing
for sure how far this Cycle will run, but the early indications are
very encouraging as the Cycles on every time-frame are turning higher.
With a new Cycle, we’re on the eve of yet another significant rally. We
know from past experience that big Right Translated Weekly Cycles can
easily gain 25% before topping. When we look at the weekly chart there
is some volume resistance at the $1,400 area, but besides that it’s
clear sky back up to the $1,520-50. It’s at that area where gold was
supported numerous times in the past before eventually collapsing, and
it’s at that level where resistance will now be found. That area is
where plenty of trapped longs can still be found and it’s where this
coming Weekly Cycle rally will top. (more)
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