Chinese investors are holding their collective breaths to see if the
banking crisis predicted two years ago by renowned Chinese economist Li
Zuojun will come to fruition in the next couple of months. Li's
astounding accuracy in predicting China's economy has led to him earning
the nickname "China's most successful doomsayer."
Though far from perfect, a lot of what he said here rings true. But the
interesting insight is that he forecasts that the incoming regime will
want to take its lumps early, in 2013, so as to minimize blame ("it was
the old crew's fault") and maximize praise for subsequent recovery...
He notes three other drivers (aside from this political one) including
external flows and credit expansion, and fears social instability should
the status quo be maintained...
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