streettalklive.com / By Lance Roberts /
I
have seen numerous articles as of late discussing how the average
American family has finally delevered their household balance sheet at
last. This would be good news as lower debt levels means more personal
savings which would lead to productive investment. It would also mean
more consumption that would provide stronger end demand to businesses.
Both of these outcomes are necessary for sustained economic growth.
The chart below has been used repeatedly to argue the deleveraging case
for the economy.
At
first glance the case of such deleveraging is clear. Households have
develeraged, however, household debt to GDP is a bit misleading because
GDP includes all activity of the economy including corporations and
government. What we really want to know is how has the average American
family is fared in this process. This is important to know considering
that Personal Consumption currently makes up more than 70% of the
economy as shown in the first chart below.
READ MORE
No comments:
Post a Comment