AAPL shares have been in free fall mode all October spooking
investors with a $120 drop from the all-time high in September. As well
all know, though it's hard to follow without a
proven trading strategy to keep us focused but the key is that you must buy when others are selling and then sell when everyone is buying.
Apple shares really have helped in holding the overall stock market
up in the past but recently it has been a big drag on the broad market.
Taking a look at the chart below you can see my analysis and thoughts of
this giant.
The red horizontal line shows the key level where high volume traded
in the past. For the market to reset (flush out investors/traders) it
must shake as many longs out before it can start rising again. By the
price breaking below that level which also happens to be a Century
Number $600, most of the stops were placed down around this level. The
volume spike of 40,000,000 shares clearly shows it triggered stops once
that $600 level was broken. We want stops run because it give more power
to the next rally/bounce.
NASDAQ Index:
The NASDAQ has formed a similar chart pattern and is heavily weighted
with AAPL shares. Trading NQ futures, QQQ, QLD or the XLK exchange
traded fund as a much more affordable way to play a bounce/rally in the
coming weeks.
Russell 2000 Index:
I really like the Russell 2000 index because small cap stocks can
rally hard and fast outperforming the large caps like AAPL, SP500,
NASDAQ and DOW. This index is looking ripe for a bounce in the coming
days which could trigger the next major rally to new highs. You can plan
this index through TF futures contract, IWM, TNA, UMA exchange traded
funds.
Trading Conclusion:
While this setup looks very promising because the election is almost
over and the Santa Clause rally is just around the corner. Know that
some of the biggest drops in the market happens during times when the
market is running the stops. It is a natural tendency to take big
positions which things look great, but that is not how you do it... Take
calculated position sizes knowing indexes could fall another 2-3% before
putting in a real washout bottom.
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