
Here's a fairly simple investment premise: if the stock market rises +10% or 15% in the next six months, one sector will rise +30% or even +50%. That's because a rising stock market tends to bring out increased interest from individual investors. And they bring lots more business to online brokers. Indeed, I just wrote how individual investor sentiment is now at
its highest level in nearly four years, and these folks are getting bullish simply because the market has been on the rebound since late August.
Need more proof? The major online brokers just reported an impressive sequential spike in trading volume, as measured by Daily Average Revenue Trading (DART).
E*Trade (Nasdaq: EFTC) and
TD Ameritrade (Nasdaq: AMTD) just saw +14% to +15% sequential spikes in October, while
Charles Schwab (Nasdaq: SCHW),
Interactive Brokers (Nasdaq: IBKR) and
TradeStation (Nasdaq: TRAD) saw mid single-digit sequential increases.
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