Friday, March 13, 2015

Martin Armstrong – Martin’s Movie is Going Viral Around the Globe

from Financial Survival Network
Martin Armstrong has always been controversial, but he’s always been his own person. When the US Government demanded he turn over his software he refused, much to his detriment. The rest is history that is finally being told in the movie The Forecaster, the story of his life and eventual incarceration. But Martin is anything but bitter. He just wants the truth to come out, which is why it’s a European production. It’s coming to the US in April. Check his site, for the dates and times. Not to be missed.
Neither is his forecast for the Euro and the rest of the economy. He’s sticking to his forecast of vastly higher stock prices, although the timetable is perhaps a little longer than initially predicted. Either way, we’re in for one hell of a party starting in the third quarter of this year. Don’t believe it, look at the price of the Euro, which broke the critical 1.10 support level on 3-10-15, all of which Martin forecast long ago.
Click Here to Listen to the Audio
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Historical REIT Spreads: Dividend Yields vs. U.S. Treasuries

One of the simplest ways to value a REIT is based on its dividend yield relative to alternatives. Because REITs are a yield investment by definition -- REITs have to pay out at least 90% of their income as a dividend -- comparing their yields to the 10-Year U.S. Treasury is a good way to understand their relative valuation.
I found some historical dividend data for a popular REIT index and compared it to historical U.S. Treasury yields over the last 15 years. Not surprisingly, REIT dividend yields have largely kept a tight spread to risk-free yields, with REITs offering 1.28% more annual yield on average.
Of course, there were booms and busts. During the years 2004 to 2005, the general view that real estate was a great inflation-protected investment that couldn't go down in value led many investors to overpay. Dividend yields fell below the yield on U.S. Treasuries. The potential for capital gains blurred the reality that, over the long haul, real estate is all about cash flow. (more)

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3 Reasons to Buy BlackBerry Ltd: BlackBerry Ltd. (TSX:BB), (NASDAQ:BBRY)

In an industry that is powering forward, one company has been left behind.
Smartphones sales are exploding. In the last decade, these souped-up handsets have revolutionized how we communicate.
But BlackBerry Ltd. (TSX:BB)(NASDAQ:BBRY), which started this sea change years ago, has been kicked to the curb. Consumers have dropped their once beloved ‘Crackberry’ handsets in favour of Apple iOS and Google Android devices. As a result, BlackBerry shares have plunged 87% over the past five years.
Behind the scenes, new CEO John Chen is engineering something of a turnaround. The company is once again on solid financial footing and there are several catalysts that could send shares higher.
Here are three reasons why investors should be bullish on BlackBerry. (more)

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Canadian Dollar vs US Dollar – David Gurwitz – March 10, 2015



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World Top 10 Gold Miners Face Negative Free Cash Flows

The world’s biggest gold miners moved to combined negative cash flow in Q4 2014.
by Lawrence Williams
Mine Web

We are indebted again to precious metals analysis consultancy, Metals Focus, for bringing to our attention that the world’s top gold miners had moved into a combined Negative Cash Flow (NCF) position during the final quarter of last year. This is after three consecutive quarters where they had recorded positive Free Cash Flow (FCF) – that is after taking into account all elements of costs including capital expenditures.
For several years, Mineweb ran a campaign to push the gold mining sector to report FCF figures (South Africa’s Gold Fields was probably the only Tier 1 gold miner at the time which did) but eventually most have come round to so doing – helped by the relatively new reporting metric of All In Sustaining Costs (AISC), to which most big gold miners now subscribe, which gets close to reporting the FCF figure.
Continue Reading at MineWeb.com…
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Thursday, March 12, 2015

Nimble Storage Inc (NYSE: NMBL)

Nimble Storage, Inc. provides flash-optimized hybrid storage platform. The company’s software and storage systems handle various mainstream applications, including virtual desktops, databases, email, collaboration, and analytics. It offers systems that provide adaptive performance for high-input/output and high-capacity mainstream business applications and environments, such as Exchange, Oracle, SharePoint, SQL Server, virtual desktop infrastructure, and server virtualization. The company sells its products through a network of value added resellers and distributors to a range of industries comprising cloud-based service providers, education, financial services, healthcare, manufacturing, state and local government, and technology worldwide. Nimble Storage, Inc. was incorporated in 2007 and is headquartered in San Jose, California.
Take a look at the 1-year chart of Nimble (NYSE: NMBL) below with the added notations:
1-year chart of Nimble (NYSE: NMBL)
NMBL fell right off the cliff back in March, April and May before finally settling into a very long, sideways trend that has lasted about 10 months. During the sideways move the stock has shown a tendency to find repeated support at $25 (blue). Whenever that level was to break, the stock would fall to the next level down at $22 (red). NMBL is currently sitting right at $25.

The Tale of the Tape: NMBL has key levels at $22 and $25. A trader could enter a long position at $25 with a stop placed under the level. However, a short trade could be made instead if the stock were to break below $25 with the expectation of a fall down to $22. Another long trade could be considered if the fall to $22 were to happen.
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High Yield Bond ETFs: iShares iBoxx $ High Yield Corporate Bond ETF (HYG), PowerShares Fundamental High Yield Corporate Bond (PHB), Market Vector High Yield Municipal (HYD)

Yields on long-term Treasuries have fallen to very low levels. Partially as a result, we do not expect funds that invest in such debt to produce exceptional total returns again over the next 12 months.
Other types of investment-grade US bonds, including municipals and corporates, yield only slightly more than Treasuries, or even less. Their yields, too, are much lower than they were a year ago.
The yields of high-yield US corporate bonds are moderately more appealing. The iShares iBoxx $ High Yield Corporate Bond ETF (HYG) recently had a 30-day SEC yield of 5.6%.
While not very high on an absolute basis, that’s not too skimpy relative to a yield of less than 2% on a 10-Year Treasury bond. Unless the US economy falls off a cliff, we expect high-yield bond funds to produce total returns in-line with their interest payouts in 2015, so, 5% or 6%. (more)

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