Tuesday, October 27, 2015

Silver Analysis COT Chart

Let’s start first with the daily chart.
Silver has had a good start to the month of October but looks like it has run into a pretty solid wall of overhead resistance as we wind down the month. The sellers have come out in force near the $16 level and in the process, have managed to prevent the bulls from besting the 200 day moving average. As you can see on the chart, that moving average has held the market in check. (more)

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Bottom Fishing in Brazil: Petrobras $PBR, Brazil iShares ETF $EWZ

In retrospect, it was a clear sign of a market top…
A few years ago, I was waiting to speak as an energy specialist was wrapping up his presentation. He closed with a recommendation of Brazil’s energy giant Petrobras (PBR), boldly predicting that its market value could reach more than a trillion dollars.
While Petrobras stock reached $71 in 2007, it now trades under $5.
And just last month, Brazil itself lost the coveted investment grade status it earned in 2008. (more)

Larry Berman: A sobering look at investing in real estate

ANALYSIS: The goal of today’s post and of the Berman’s Call housing panel debate in Vancouver, Calgary, and Toronto is to attempt to enlighten and perhaps shed a point of view on the housing sector in Canada as an investment. Please, please, please don’t go out and sell your house--we all need a place to live. But if you are speculating or investing in real estate it might be helpful to join the discussion @LarryBermanETF and #bermaneducation.
My guest today is Rob Carrick of the Globe and Mail who will be participating in our Real Estate Panel at our Toronto Berman’s Call tour event on November 29. Rob has been a personal finance columnist with the G&M since 1998 and is a great advocate for Canadians. (more)

Shutterstock Inc (NYSE: SSTK)

Shutterstock, Inc. operates as an online marketplace for commercial digital content imagery. It offers various photographs covering a range of subjects, including animals/wildlife, the arts, backgrounds/textures, beauty/fashion, buildings/landmarks, business/finance, celebrities, education, food/drink, healthcare/medical, holidays, nature, objects, people, religion, science, sports/recreation, technology, transportation; illustrations and vector art; curated premium imagery; and video footage for users engaged in video advertisements, commercial motion pictures, television programming, video games, interactive applications, and other video-based media.
Take a look at the 1-year chart of Shutterstock (NYSE: SSTK) below with added notations:
1-year chart of Shutterstock (NYSE: SSTK)
SSTK broke its $55 level of support back in July and the stock has been declining ever since. However, over the past two months the stock has fallen into a common pattern known as a rectangle. A minimum of (2) successful tests of the support and (2) successful tests of the resistance will give you the pattern.
SSTK’s rectangle pattern had formed a $35 resistance (blue) and a $29 support (red). At some point the stock had to break one of those two levels, and last week SSTK broke the $29 support.

The Tale of the Tape: SSTK broke down from its rectangle pattern. The ideal short opportunity would be on a rally up to or near the prior $29 support. A break back above $29 could negate the forecast for a move higher.

Monday, October 26, 2015

Blackberry $BBRY, Apple $AAPL, Facebook $FB


BlackBerry Ltd (NASDAQ:BBRY) after a big surge early this month, the stock has been consolidated in a very good pattern, creating a flag formation on the daily chart. This is typically a bullish continuation pattern. Friday's move it seems to have broken the flag's upper boundary, however we need a clear violation next week, followed by a break of the intermediate resistance at 7.45. Based on the technical chart, I see a high probability for a continuation of current momentum and a move toward the 8-8.25 area. BlackBerry has already opened-up pre-orders for its Android smartphone, known as the Priv, a high-end QWERTY slider phone with a fantastic battery life and great camera. Blackberry Priv might be the most secure Android phone ever. This could be a good catalyst for shares.


Apple Inc.(NASDAQ:AAPL) broke out of a large sideways channel pattern on solid volume, closing at the highest price in almost two months. If momentum continues, we could see the stock hit 130 over the next couple of sessions, but keep mind, Apple will report earnings on Tuesday afternoon, so everything can happen.



Facebook Inc (NASDAQ:FB) recorded a new high in Friday's session. Short-term outlook for the stock is bullish. Buy the stock in dips with a stop-loss at $98.88. The daily technical chart looks very Bullish with all EMAs going up and MACD on top of "0". Long setup.
  

Tahoe Resources Inc (NYSE: TAHO)

Tahoe Resources Inc., together with its subsidiaries, explores for and produces precious metals in the Americas. The company primarily produces silver, as well as gold, lead, and zinc. Its principal project is the Escobal project located in Southeast Guatemala. The company was formerly known as CKM Resources Inc. and changed its name to Tahoe Resources Inc. in January 2010. Tahoe Resources Inc. was incorporated in 2009 and is headquartered in Reno, Nevada.
Take a look at the 1-year chart of Tahoe (NYSE: TAHO) below with added notations:
1-year chart of Tahoe (NYSE: TAHO)
After declining steadily over the course of the past year, TAHO started trading in a mostly sideways move. While in this sideways move, the stock formed two important price levels to be aware of. The first level to notice is the resistance at $10 (red). The other level TAHO created would be the $7.50 support (green).

The Tale of the Tape: TAHO is trading between two key price levels. The possible long positions on the stock would be either on a pullback to $7.50 or on a breakout above $10. The ideal short opportunity would be on a break below $7.50.

US Weekly Economic Calendar

time (et) report period ACTUAL forecast previous
MONDAY, OCT. 26
10 am New home sales Sept.
550,000 552,000
TUESDAY,  OCT. 27
8:30 am Durable goods orders Sept.   -1.5% -2.3%
10 am Consumer confidence index Oct.   101.0 103.0
WEDNESDAY, OCT. 28
8:30 am Advanced trade in goods Sept.   -$64.8 bln -$67.2 bln
THURSDAY, OCT. 29
8:30 am Weekly jobless claims Oct. 17   N/A N/A
8:30 am Gross domestic product 3Q   2.1% 3.9%
FRIDAY, OCT. 30
8:30 am Personal income Sept.
0.2% 0.3%
8:30 am Consumer spending Sept.   0.1% 0.4%
8:30 am Core Inflation Sept.   0.2% 0.1%
8:30 am Employment cost index 3Q   0.6% 0.2%
10 am Consumer sentiment index Oct.   -- 92.1