Thursday, February 26, 2015

One Of The Greatest Danger Signals Is Now Flashing RED!

Today one of the greatest danger signals is flashing RED!
DANGER – From Investors Intelligence:  “A major worry is now signaled from the spread between the bulls and bears. It jumped to 45.4%. Differences over 30% are a worry and above 40% signal major caution.” (see chart below)
Sentiment Chart

SOURCE
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The 10 Highest Dividend Yields in the S&P/TSX 60: BCE, CM, CPG, CVE, PBA, TAC, ARX, BCE, IPL, NA, PPL,TA

Once upon a time, you actually received interest when you lent out money—but now everything has changed.
Today, in Europe at least, investors have to pay for the privilege of lending money to the government. Bond yields in a number of countries—including France, Germany, and Switzerland—are now negative.
That’s why dividend stocks can be so tantalizing. If you can build a portfolio that yields 4% to 6%, you’re well on your way to generating respectable income. (more)

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Chen Lin – Using Austrian Economics to Make Money



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The Most Important Commodity For Housing Is Screaming “Recession”



zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden on 02/25/2015 16:53
While Crude Oil and Dr. Copper are often cited as economic indicators, as we noted previously, in factLumber prices are the most correlated with ISM and GDP of all industrial commodities (h/t @Not_Jim_Cramer). That is a problem. Lumber prices are tumbling – breaking to 18-month lows today. We have seen this picture before, and it did not end well…
READ MORE
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Has the China RRR cut put a bottom in copper?


In a week of reports from major mining companies including Rio Tinto, Market Analyst Jasper Lawler looks at the outlook for copper given the recent sharp decline in prices and the action taken by the Chinese central bank.
Jasper covers
• The difficulty of China’s economic transition
• Improved production at mining companies
• The sharp sell-off in copper in January and subsequent rebound
• The impact of Chinese fiscal and monetary policy
• The impact of the USD and oil prices on copper
Copper rebounded from 5 ½ year lows last week to record its biggest weekly gain since August on the back of new stimulus measures in China and a rebound in oil prices.(more)

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Wednesday, February 25, 2015

Time To Buy Russia? RSX, RSXJ, ERUS

Yes, Russia has a litany of negatives against it — from stagflation and recession, to open conflict with neighboring countries, economic sanctions, ratings agency downgrades, a sharply declining currency, and a megalomaniacal leader.
So you might be wary. But Russian market exchange-traded funds (ETFs) are among the best performers year to date. They’re up 20% — and 40% from lows in December. These kinds of returns show the value of thinking outside the box as an investor, and going against the crowd.
But it’s still not too late to buy Russia.(more)

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Time Warner Inc (NYSE: TWX)

Time Warner Inc. operates as a media and entertainment company in the United States and internationally. The company operates in four segments: Turner, Home Box Office, Warner Bros., and Time Inc. The Turner segment operates cable networks; digital media properties; free-to-air networks; and entertainment and news networks that offer sports, movies, classic films, reality programming, and news. The Home Box Office segment provides premium pay and basic tier television services comprising HBO and Cinemax; and sells its original programming via DVDs, Blu-ray Discs, and electronic sell-through. The Warner Bros. segment produces and distributes feature films, television programming, videogames, and other programming; distribute home video products; and licenses rights to its feature films, television programming, and characters. The Time Inc. segment publishes magazines, including People, Sports Illustrated, InStyle, Time, Real Simple, Southern Living, Entertainment Weekly, and Fortune, as well as titles and books; licenses its magazines for print or digital publication to publishers; operates Websites, such as People.com, SI.com, and Time.com.
Take a look at the 1-year chart of Warner (NYSE: TWX) below with added notations:
1-year chart of Warner (NYSE: TWX)
Minus the gaps higher and lower last summer, TWX has been on a steady trend higher from its April low. Twice over that time the stock has hit that same resistance at $87.50 (red) and pulled back down significantly both times. The stock seems to be on its way back up there, and if TWX can finally break through that $87.50 resistance the stock should be headed higher. A close above that resistance would also constitute a new 52-week high.

The Tale of the Tape: TWX has a 52-week resistance at $87.50. The possible long position on the stock would be on a breakout above that level with a stop placed under it.
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