I have pointed out earlier, gold is forming a possible short-term
top. It is on the verge of completing a bearish ‘Head and Shoulder’
pattern. The pattern is confirmed if gold closes below $1220/oz. The
downside pattern target for this setup is $1138/oz.
If gold starts to rally and breaks out to the upside, then we should see the $1396 level be reached based on technical analysis.
I will open a new long gold position when the time feels right. With
technical analysis strongly suggesting gold and silver have bottomed,
New breakouts to the upside in metals and mining stocks can be bought.
On the other hand, silver has formed an almost perfect cup and handle
pattern and has broken out of it. It has reached its first target
objective; chances are that silver will either consolidate or pullback
after having met its target or move up to $18.70/oz. levels, which is
the pattern target of the ‘Cup and Handle’ pattern formation. However,
new buying is not advised at current levels due to a poor risk-reward
ratio.
If we take a look and monitor the gold/silver ratio closely,
recently, the ratio had touched its resistance of the past 20 years.
Every time the ratio has returned from the resistance, the minimum it
has retraced is to the levels of 45.
There are no reasons to believe that it will be any different this
time around. Hypothetically, if gold were to remain at $1236/oz. and if
the ratio corrects to 45, silver will reach $27.5/oz., which is a 62%
increase from current levels.
Hence, it is prudent to stay with silver for a better return compared
to gold once price has a pause to regroup before the next rally.
How to Trade Gold & Silver Conclusion:
Buying gold and silver offer different rate of returns to the
investors. If an investor is able to time both the precious metals, then
the total returns will be ‘astronomically high’ in the future.
My timing ‘cycles’ provide signals both for the short-term and the
long-term. The price action of both gold and silver along with my cycles
have been showing VERY strong “Cycle Skew”.
This cycle skew is telling us that precious metals are now in a strong
uptrend and is another confirming indicator that support much higher
prices long term.
During the first half of a bull market trading price patterns and
upside breakouts tend to work very well. Because interest in the sector
is growing and more buyers continue to enter that market, price pattern
breakouts are the last chance to get a position before price has its
next rally higher.
No comments:
Post a Comment