Cotton Futures--- Cotton futures in the December
contract settled last Friday in New York at 63.32 while currently
trading at 62.00 as I’m now recommending a short position while placing
your stop loss above the 10 day high which currently stands at 63.85
risking about 200 points or $1,000 per contract plus slippage and
commission. Prices are trading below their 20 and 100 day moving average
telling you that the short-term trend is to the downside as excellent
weather in the southern part of the United States is increasing harvest
activity bringing in ample supplies coupled with weak demand
continuing to hamper prices.
The U.S dollar is up sharply this
afternoon continuing its bullish momentum which is a negative towards
commodity and cotton prices as the agricultural markets look very weak
presently so continue to play this to the downside while taking
advantage of any rallies as the risk/reward is highly your favor as
excellent chart structure is allowing you to lower monetary risk.
The
next major level of support is between 60/61 and if that is broken
look out to the downside in my opinion as I tried shorting cotton
several times over the last several months and have been unsuccessful
so maybe the third time is the charm. TREND: LOWER–CHART STRUCTURE: EXCELLENT
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