If there was ever any doubt that the majority of buying by the hedge
fund category in the gold market over the past 3-4 weeks has been of the
nature of short covering, this week’s COT should put that theory to
rest.
Since the third week of July, the hedge fund category alone has
covered or lifted 40,000 short positions. That against the addition of
only 16,000 or so new long positions over the same time span. By a
better than 2:1 margin, hedge funds have been covering shorts, not
instituting fresh purchases of gold.
In the following chart, I have combined the speculative category (
hedge funds, large reportables and small specs) outright long and short
positions and overlaid them upon a chart showing the price of gold. (more)
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