Earlier this year, Deutsche Bank’s chief
international economist Torsten Sløk circulated a presentation that
painted a fairly dire portrait of the Canadian economy. The presentation
shows that debt levels are hitting record levels and sky-high home
prices are cooling off, increasing pressures on the Canadian financial
system and labour markets.
Let’s take a look at the five most important headwinds facing the Canadian economy today.
1. Canadian household debt is higher than ever
In the early 1990s both U.S. and Canadian households started to take
on an ever-increasing amount of debt. Starting at roughly 80% in 1990,
household debt increased to 125% of household income in both countries
by 2009. After the financial crisis, however, U.S. household debt to
income decreased dramatically to its current level of 100%. Canadian
household debt continues to increase dramatically to today’s nosebleed
level of 150%. With the U.S. economy still reeling from its massive
deleveraging cycle, Canada’s economy has the potential to be even worse. (more)
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