Commercial Metals Company manufactures, recycles, and markets steel
and metal products, and related materials and services in the United
States and internationally. The Americas Recycling segment processes
scrap metals for use as a raw material by manufacturers of new metal
products. The Americas Mills segment operates 5 steel mills producing
reinforcing bars, angles, flats, rounds, small beams, fence-post
sections, and other shapes. The Americas Fabrication segment operates
fence post manufacturing plants, construction-related product
facilities, and plants that bend, weld, cut, and fabricate steel. The
International Mill segment engages in mill, recycling, and fabrication
operations through the operation of two rolling minimills that produce
reinforcing bar (rebar) and merchant products. The International
Marketing and Distribution segment processes, sells, and distributes
steel products, ferrous and nonferrous metals, and other industrial
products.
Take a look at the 1-year chart of Commercial Metals (NYSE: CMC) below with my added notations:
Starting in September, CMC declined into January, and from there the
stock started a 5-month rally. During the decline, and subsequent rally,
CMC created a very clear level of resistance at $17 (green). A break
above that $17 level should mean higher prices for the stock, and on
Friday CMC broke that level. And for confirmation, the stock broke out
on a major increase in volume.
The Tale of the Tape: CMC broke through its key
level of resistance at $17. A long trade could be entered on a pull back
down to that level. However, a break back below $17 could negate the
forecast for a higher move and would be an opportunity to get short the
stock.
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Tuesday, June 30, 2015
Ford Motor Company (NYSE: F) 114% Profit on a 6.4% Move
Carmakers reported surprisingly strong U.S. light-vehicle sales in May
with a seasonally adjusted annualized rate of 17.71 million units, the
highest since 2005. Aided by five weekends, including the usual Memorial
Day blowouts, daily sales of 62,558 units were 5.5% higher than the
same month last year.
Besides great weather for car shopping, manufacturers have benefited lately from stronger employment, low gasoline prices and increasing credit availability.
But you wouldn't know it to look at their stock prices. (more)
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Besides great weather for car shopping, manufacturers have benefited lately from stronger employment, low gasoline prices and increasing credit availability.
But you wouldn't know it to look at their stock prices. (more)
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Buy These 3 Dips as the Market Slips: Purefunds ISE Cyber Security ETF (HACK), SPDR S&P Bank ETF (KBE), Powershares QQQ Trust (QQQ)
The speculative nature of short selling suggests that the shorts were
probably prepping for a Greece-influenced selloff weeks ago. The most
recent short interest data indicates this is the case, as a few of the
widely traded index ETFs saw larger than normal increases in short
positions.
Knowing where the short sellers have increased their positions can be a key component of making the right buys on major corrections like the one we’re seeing today, courtesy of Greece.
The mechanics are simple: If short sellers are increasing their positions ahead of a pullback, it means the positions are likely to have been “presold” — thus, there are likely to be fewer sellers in the market on a heavily shorted position. (more)
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Knowing where the short sellers have increased their positions can be a key component of making the right buys on major corrections like the one we’re seeing today, courtesy of Greece.
The mechanics are simple: If short sellers are increasing their positions ahead of a pullback, it means the positions are likely to have been “presold” — thus, there are likely to be fewer sellers in the market on a heavily shorted position. (more)
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Monday, June 29, 2015
Stocks To Watch: NTRS, GIGA, MSFT, WBAI
Northern Trust Corporation
(NASDAQ:NTRS) is butting up against 78.88 resistance, which is its
all-time high. A break through this key resistance level could lead to
$80-80.5, projected by the upper channel line. Thie price has been in an
orderly bullish up-channel since early Frebruary. Worth watching for a
breakout.
It looks like Giga-tronics,
Incorporated (NASDAQ:GIGA) is starting to turn back up and indicators
are giving the first bullish signs. On Friday it closed just slightly
below its 50-day EMA, which if broken could accelerate the stock toward
its June highs around the 2.20 area. A volatility squeeze seems eminent.
You want to watch the stock closely as GIGA can move quickly and you
want to be ready for this move once it happens.
Microsoft Corporation (NASDAQ:MSFT)
after topping in April, the stock has been in decline, making new lower
lows and lower highs.The stock has a strong support at about $45 and the
100-day EMA is being defended as well. Ñext week the Bulls need to hold
price above this key level on daily closing basis or the Bears will
likely keep pressing for the gap fill. Keep the stock on your trading
screen for Monday.
Here's a potential breakdown play -
500 dot com Ltd (NYSE:WBAI). Daily technical chart shows a rising wedge
pattern with a negative MACD divergence implying that a trend reversal
is on the cards.
Canadian Dollar overvalued by 10%, dragging on Canadian growth: CIBC
CIBC World Markets says the loonie has been overvalued by 10 per cent
since the recession, which has saddled Canadians with the equivalent of
a 90 basis point higher interest rate from the Bank of Canada.
“Oil’s tumble has brought the Canadian dollar down with it,” said Nick Exarhos and Avery Shenfeld, economists at CIBC World Markets. “But our currency is still richer than it may look.”
The loonie has recently been trading at 81 cents against the U.S. dollar, and is down some 6 per cent against the greenback so far this year. (more)
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“Oil’s tumble has brought the Canadian dollar down with it,” said Nick Exarhos and Avery Shenfeld, economists at CIBC World Markets. “But our currency is still richer than it may look.”
The loonie has recently been trading at 81 cents against the U.S. dollar, and is down some 6 per cent against the greenback so far this year. (more)
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Visa Inc (NYSE: V)
Visa Inc., a payments technology company, operates as a retail
electronic payments network worldwide. The company facilitates commerce
through the transfer of value and information among financial
institutions, merchants, consumers, businesses, and government entities.
It owns and operates VisaNet that is involved in the authorization,
clearing, and settlement of payment transactions; and provision of fraud
protection for account holders and assured payment for merchants. The
company also offers a range of issuer processing services for
participating issuers of Visa debit, prepaid, and ATM payment products.
In addition, it provides electronic payment, risk management, and
payment security solutions to online merchants; digital goods
transactions services in online games, digital media, and social
networks; and mobile financial services for mobile network operators and
financial institutions in developing economies.
Take a look at the 1-year chart of Visa (NYSE: V) below with my added notations:
V has created a couple of important price levels to watch. First off, the stock has formed a relatively clear resistance at $70 (red), which would also be a 52-week high breakout if V could manage to move above it. In addition, the stock is climbing a short term, up-trending support level (green) over the last 5 months. These two levels combined have V stuck within a common chart pattern known as an ascending triangle. Eventually, V will have to break one of those (2) levels.
The Tale of the Tape: V has an up trending support and a 52-week resistance level to watch. A long trade could be made on a pullback to the support, or on a break above $70. A break below the up trending support could be an opportunity to enter a short trade.
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Take a look at the 1-year chart of Visa (NYSE: V) below with my added notations:
V has created a couple of important price levels to watch. First off, the stock has formed a relatively clear resistance at $70 (red), which would also be a 52-week high breakout if V could manage to move above it. In addition, the stock is climbing a short term, up-trending support level (green) over the last 5 months. These two levels combined have V stuck within a common chart pattern known as an ascending triangle. Eventually, V will have to break one of those (2) levels.
The Tale of the Tape: V has an up trending support and a 52-week resistance level to watch. A long trade could be made on a pullback to the support, or on a break above $70. A break below the up trending support could be an opportunity to enter a short trade.
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The Chinese Stock Bubble Bursts: $SSEC
When financial authorities are in full-blown panic, they cut rates.
Take a quick glance at this weekly chart of the Shanghai stock market:
1. Uptrend broken: check
2. MACD rolled over into a sell signal: check
3. Stochastic breaks down: check
Any questions on what's happening to the Chinese stock market bubble?
Those still entertaining hopes the bubble hasn't burst might want to ponder the frantic flailings of Chinese authorities as A Desperate China Cuts Key Policy Rates.
When financial authorities are in full-blown panic, they cut rates. When financial authorities are in full-blown panic, they deny being in a panic, which proves they are in a full-blown panic.
A reasonable technical
target is the 200-week moving average, roughly 50% of the recent high.
"Impossible," say recent buyers of Chinese stocks. Yes, of course it is.
The authorities will never let the market decline by 50%. As always,
this time it's different.
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US Weekly Economic Calendar
time (et) | report | period | ACTUAL | CONSENSUS forecast |
previous |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
MONDAY, JUNE 29 | |||||
10 am | Pending home sales | May | -- | 3.4% | |
TUESDAY, JUNE 30 | |||||
9 am | Case-Shiller home price index | April | -- | ||
9:45 am | Chicago PMI | June | -- | 46.2 | |
10 am | Consumer confidence | June | 97.4 | 95.4 | |
WEDNESDAY, JULY 1 | |||||
8:15 am | ADP employment report | June | -- | 201,000 | |
9:45 am | Markit PMI | June | -- | 54.0% | |
10 am | ISM | June | 53.0% | 52.8% | |
10 am | Construction spending | May | 0.6% | 2.2% | |
TBA | Motor vehicle sales | June | 17.2 mln | 17.8 mln | |
THURSDAY, JULY 2 | |||||
8:30 am | Weekly jobless claims | June 27 | 273,000 | 271,000 | |
8:30 am | Nonfarm payrolls | June | 230,000 | 280,000 | |
8:30 am | Unemployment rate | June | 5.4% | 5.5% | |
8:30 am | Average hourly earnings | June | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
10 am | Factory orders | May | -0.2% | -0.4% | |
FRIDAY, JULY 3 | |||||
None scheduled Independence Day |
Saturday, June 27, 2015
Joy Global Inc. (NYSE: JOY)
Joy Global Inc. manufactures and services mining equipment for the
extraction of coal, copper, iron ore, oil sands, gold, and other
minerals. The Underground Mining Machinery segment produces armored face
conveyors, battery haulers, continuous chain haulage systems,
continuous miners, conveyor systems, feeder breakers, flexible conveyor
trains, hard rock mining products, high angle conveyors, long wall
shearers, powered roof supports, road headers, roof bolters, and shuttle
cars. The Surface Mining Equipment segment produces blasthole drills,
conveyor systems, electric mining shovels, feeder breakers, high angle
conveyors, walking draglines, and wheel loaders. The company sells its
products and services directly to mining companies through a network of
sales and marketing personnel worldwide. Joy Global Inc. was founded in
1884 and is headquartered in Milwaukee, Wisconsin.
Take a look at the 1-year chart of Joy (NYSE: JOY) with the added notations:
JOY was in a solid downtrend from August of last year until March of this year. After the stock finally bottomed, JOY ended up finding repeated support at $38.00 (green) over the following 4 months. Now that the stock is at that support level again, traders should be able to expect some sort of bounce, most likely back up to the $41 resistance (red). However, if the $38.00 support were to break, lower prices should follow.
The Tale of the Tape: JOY has an important level of support at $38.00. A trader could enter a long position at $38.00 with a stop placed under the level. If the stock were to break below the support a short position could be entered instead.
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Take a look at the 1-year chart of Joy (NYSE: JOY) with the added notations:
JOY was in a solid downtrend from August of last year until March of this year. After the stock finally bottomed, JOY ended up finding repeated support at $38.00 (green) over the following 4 months. Now that the stock is at that support level again, traders should be able to expect some sort of bounce, most likely back up to the $41 resistance (red). However, if the $38.00 support were to break, lower prices should follow.
The Tale of the Tape: JOY has an important level of support at $38.00. A trader could enter a long position at $38.00 with a stop placed under the level. If the stock were to break below the support a short position could be entered instead.
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Chart of the Day: Ashbury Automotive Group (ABG)
The Chart of the Day goes to the Ashbury Automotive Group
(ABG). I found the automotive and truck dealership stock by sorting today's All
Time High list for the stocks with the highest technical buy signals, then used
the Flipchart feature to review the charts. Since the Trend Spotter signaled a
buy on 5/18 the stock gained 6.99%.
Asbury Automotive Group is one of the largest automotive
retailers in the United States. They sell, finance and service a diverse range
of foreign and domestic automobile brands.
The status of Barchart's Opinion trading systems are listed
below. Please note that the Barchart Opinion indicators are updated live during
the session every 10 minutes and can therefore change during the day as the
market fluctuates.
technical indicators:
100% Barchart
technical buy signals
Trend Spotter buy
signal
Above its 20, 50 and
100 day moving averages
10 new highs and up
8.21% in the last month
Relative Strength
Index 70.61%
Barchart computes a
technical support level at 91.46
Recently traded at
92.87 with a 50 day moving average of 86.97
Fundamental factors:
Market Cap $ 2.53
billion
P/E 19.86
Revenue expected to
grow 10.70% this year and another 5.90% next year
Earnings estimated to
increase 25.20% this year, an additional 11.00% next year and continue to
increase at an annual rate of 16.55% for the next 5 years
Wall Street analysts
issued 2 strong buy, 2 buy, 4 hold, 1 under perform and a sell recommendation
on the stock
The 50-100 Day MACD Oscillator has been a reliable technical
trading strategy and should continue to be used for entry and exit points on
this stock.
How High Are Corn Prices Going?
Corn futures in the December contract are sharply higher up 4 out of
the last 5 trading sessions settling last Friday at 3.68 a bushel while
currently trading at 4.02 rallying about $.35 on massive flooding in the
Midwestern part of the United States causing production concerns
sending prices that we’ve not seen since April 8th hitting a 10 week
high.
Corn futures are trading above their 20 and 100 day moving average forming a triple bottom in Monday’s trade around the 3.65 level, however I’m still sitting on the sidelines as the chart structure is absolutely horrific at the current time as the 10 day low is almost $.40 away which does not meet my criteria to enter, however I’m certainly not recommending any type of short position as that would be countertrend trading.
Traders are awaiting next Tuesday’s USDA acres report which will show estimates lowering uncertainty in this market because at the current time estimates are around 89 million acres but nobody really knows what the report will state due to the wet conditions especially in the state of Iowa so expect high volatility next week. Tuesday will give us some type of estimate of what production could be and if you are a farmer as I’ve talked about in previous blogs if prices were 4.25/4.50 I would definitely take advantage of that situation and sell your cash crop due to the fact that carryover levels are extremely high as there’s no supply problems despite this weather scare.
As I write this article in central Illinois the corn crop here is outstanding and is already about 4 feet tall green and lush so this is only affecting certain areas of the Midwest but as a speculator sit on the sidelines and wait for better chart structure to develop. TREND: HIGHER--CHART STRUCTURE: POOR
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Corn futures are trading above their 20 and 100 day moving average forming a triple bottom in Monday’s trade around the 3.65 level, however I’m still sitting on the sidelines as the chart structure is absolutely horrific at the current time as the 10 day low is almost $.40 away which does not meet my criteria to enter, however I’m certainly not recommending any type of short position as that would be countertrend trading.
Traders are awaiting next Tuesday’s USDA acres report which will show estimates lowering uncertainty in this market because at the current time estimates are around 89 million acres but nobody really knows what the report will state due to the wet conditions especially in the state of Iowa so expect high volatility next week. Tuesday will give us some type of estimate of what production could be and if you are a farmer as I’ve talked about in previous blogs if prices were 4.25/4.50 I would definitely take advantage of that situation and sell your cash crop due to the fact that carryover levels are extremely high as there’s no supply problems despite this weather scare.
As I write this article in central Illinois the corn crop here is outstanding and is already about 4 feet tall green and lush so this is only affecting certain areas of the Midwest but as a speculator sit on the sidelines and wait for better chart structure to develop. TREND: HIGHER--CHART STRUCTURE: POOR
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Friday, June 26, 2015
Lion Biotechnologies Inc (NASDAQ: LBIO)
Lion Biotechnologies, Inc., a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical
company, focuses on developing and commercializing cancer immunotherapy
products to harness the power of a patient’s immune system to eradicate
cancer cells. The company’s lead product includes LN-144, an adoptive
cell therapy using tumor-infiltrating lymphocytes (TIL), which are T
cells derived from patients tumors for the treatment of patients with
refractory metastatic melanoma. It has a patent license agreement with
the National Institutes of Health to develop, manufacture, and
commercialize TIL therapies for the treatment of cervical, head and
neck, bladder, lung, ovarian cancer, breast cancer, and colorectal
cancers, as well as melanoma; cooperative research and development
agreement with the National Institutes of Health and the National Cancer
Institute to develop adoptive cell immunotherapies that are designed to
destroy metastatic melanoma cells using a patient’s tumor infiltrating
lymphocytes; and manufacturing services agreement with Lonza
Walkersville, Inc. to manufacture, package, ship, and perform quality
assurance and quality control of TIL therapy.
Take a look at the 1-year chart of Lion (NASDAQ: LBIO) below with the added notations:
LBIO rallied off of its $5, November low making its way all the way up to a $15 high in March. In addition, over the last 6 months the $10 price level (blue) has become very important to the stock. Not only was $10 a key resistance in January and March, but that level has also been an important support since the end of March.
The Tale of the Tape: LBIO has a key level at $10. A trader could enter a long position on a break above $10 with a stop placed under the level. However, if traders are bearish on LBIO, a short trade could be made instead on a rally up to $10.
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Take a look at the 1-year chart of Lion (NASDAQ: LBIO) below with the added notations:
LBIO rallied off of its $5, November low making its way all the way up to a $15 high in March. In addition, over the last 6 months the $10 price level (blue) has become very important to the stock. Not only was $10 a key resistance in January and March, but that level has also been an important support since the end of March.
The Tale of the Tape: LBIO has a key level at $10. A trader could enter a long position on a break above $10 with a stop placed under the level. However, if traders are bearish on LBIO, a short trade could be made instead on a rally up to $10.
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Stocks To Watch: FUEL, GOGO, GRPN, GEVO
Rocket Fuel Inc (NASDAQ:FUEL) The
stock made an awesome move breaking out of a major resistance line
(50EMA) with volume backed confirmation. I went long as its quite
possible we should see a short term move near $10.5/share. The technical
chart shows bullish sign with +DI line on top of -DI line and MACD
rising. There could be good upside in FUEL so watch the stock closely on
Friday.
Gogo Inc (NASDAQ:GOGO) broke through
resistance at $23.10 accompanied with high volume. We should be able to
see some decent upside movement for the bulls here. Next resistance
lies at $25
Groupon Inc (NASDAQ:GRPN) is already
at extremely oversold conditions with daily RSI (9) at 23. The MACD
indicator has stabilized and volatility is dropping. On watch for a
potential bounce.
Gevo, Inc. (NASDAQ:GEVO) Volume
starts to pick up again (mainly in the final hour of trading). Could
make a huge move to the upside. Keep it on your watch list. A break of
$4 with force might give stock room to $4.36.
Is This The Chart That Scared Yellen Capital Out Of Biotechs? :IBB
Nope - no bubble here at all...
"wrong" or "early" or "other"... Biotechs driven by fun-durr-mentals like everything else.
As Bloomberg reports, perhaps there is a limit it this insanity...
Be careful...
"wrong" or "early" or "other"... Biotechs driven by fun-durr-mentals like everything else.
As Bloomberg reports, perhaps there is a limit it this insanity...
Demand for options tied to declines in an exchange-traded fund tracking the companies rose to the highest level in three years relative to bullish ones, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. The Nasdaq Biotechnology Index has risen 549 percent since March 2009, including a 3.8 percent advance last week.* * *
Interest in bearish options on drug developers has jumped in the last year after the group was called out as overvalued by Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen on two occasions. Biotechs are selling stock at a pace not seen in a decade and one concern is that something will disrupt the money spigot.
“The sector is dependent on capital that might shy away at the first sign of weakness,” Goldman Sachs derivatives strategists Katherine Fogertey and John Marshall wrote in a June 17 client note. “Recent pipeline setbacks have increased concern of this going forward.”
Biotech companies are doing follow-on stock offerings at the fastest pace in more than 10 years. In the first quarter, biotech and pharmaceutical companies used 93 share sales to reap $18.7 billion, three times more than in 2014, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.
Be careful...
“Biotech stocks have had a speculative fervor to them for some time now,” Todd Lowenstein, who helps manage $16 billion at HighMark Capital Management Inc. in Los Angeles, said by phone. “Of any part of the market, this is the one with the most bubble-like characteristics, without question.”Or Buy buy buy...
“The customer base for biotech won’t stop buying,” Warren, who manages more than $100 million at Exton, Pennsylvania-based Warren, said by phone. “This sector is probably the best-placed to get any kind of growth, and it’s not going to go away quickly.”Please share this article
Bill Barrett Corporation (NYSE: BBG)
Bill Barrett Corporation, an independent energy company, acquires,
explores for, and develops oil and natural gas resources in the United
States. It primarily holds interests in the Denver-Julesburg basin, the
Uinta oil program in the Uinta Basin, and the Gibson Gulch area in the
Piceance basin in the Rocky Mountain region of the United States. The
company was founded in 2002 and is headquartered in Denver, Colorado.
Take a look at the 1-year chart of Barrett (NYSE: BBG) with the added notations:
Like most energy related stocks, BBG fell on hard times during the summer and fall. Even recently the stock tested its 52-week low. However, yesterday BBG actually broke back above the prior level of support at $8 (green). That break should mean higher prices for the stock in the short-term, at minimum.
The Tale of the Tape: BBG had a key level of support at $8 that it has now broke back above. A trader could enter a long position at $8 with a stop placed under the level. If the stock were to break below $8 a short position could be entered instead.
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Take a look at the 1-year chart of Barrett (NYSE: BBG) with the added notations:
Like most energy related stocks, BBG fell on hard times during the summer and fall. Even recently the stock tested its 52-week low. However, yesterday BBG actually broke back above the prior level of support at $8 (green). That break should mean higher prices for the stock in the short-term, at minimum.
The Tale of the Tape: BBG had a key level of support at $8 that it has now broke back above. A trader could enter a long position at $8 with a stop placed under the level. If the stock were to break below $8 a short position could be entered instead.
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Thursday, June 25, 2015
Neurocrine Biosciences, Inc. (NASDAQ: NBIX)
Neurocrine Biosciences, Inc. discovers and develops pharmaceuticals
for the treatment of neurological and endocrine-related diseases and
disorders in the United States. The company’s products in clinical
development stage include elagolix, which is in Phase III study for
endometriosis; elagolix that is in Phase IIb study for uterine fibroids;
Corticotropin-Releasing Factor Receptor1 Antagonist, which is in Phase
I/II study for congenital adrenal hyperplasia and stress-related
disorders; and Vesicular Monoamine Transporter 2 Inhibitor (VMAT2) that
is in Phase III study for movement disorders, as well as Phase I study
for tourette syndrome. Its research programs comprise VMAT2 for movement
disorders, bipolar disorders, and schizophrenia; gonadotropin-releasing
hormone (GnRH) antagonists for men’s and women’s health, and oncology;
antiepileptic drugs for epilepsy, essential tremor, and pain; and G
Protein-Coupled receptors for other conditions. The company also
develops pharmaceutical products for tardive dyskinesia, and other
neurological and endocrine-related diseases and disorders.
Take a look at the 1-year chart of Neurocrine (NASDAQ: NBIX) below with added notations:
NBIX started from a $12 low back in July of last year and rallied from that low up to a $45 high in March. From there, the stock hit $45 as resistance a few more times forming a solid 52-week high resistance at $45 (blue). Last week the stock broke through that level, which should lead to higher prices overall.
The Tale of the Tape: NBIX broke its 52-week resistance at $45. The possible long position on the stock would be on a pullback down to that level with a stop placed under it. A break back below $45 could negate the forecast for a move higher.
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Take a look at the 1-year chart of Neurocrine (NASDAQ: NBIX) below with added notations:
NBIX started from a $12 low back in July of last year and rallied from that low up to a $45 high in March. From there, the stock hit $45 as resistance a few more times forming a solid 52-week high resistance at $45 (blue). Last week the stock broke through that level, which should lead to higher prices overall.
The Tale of the Tape: NBIX broke its 52-week resistance at $45. The possible long position on the stock would be on a pullback down to that level with a stop placed under it. A break back below $45 could negate the forecast for a move higher.
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Wednesday, June 24, 2015
Greece Deal Rumors Send Dollar Soaring
In a continuation of the news from yesterday ( please keep in mind
what I said about key markets being completely NEWS-DRIVEN at the moment
), the market is reacting to the potential for a deal between Greece
and its creditors.
When the only thing keeping the safe haven trades alive begins to fade in importance to traders, they will dump them like a bad habit. That is what they are now doing to gold, bonds, the yen, and you might as well throw silver into the mix.
Silver in particular seems to be the be the most vulnerable here because all of the other industrial metals have been getting beaten with an ugly stick while it has managed to stay afloat. With copper, platinum and palladium falling apart, there is no fundamental reason for silver to stage any sort of strong rally. Without Greece, it loses its support.
Continue Reading at TraderDan.com…
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When the only thing keeping the safe haven trades alive begins to fade in importance to traders, they will dump them like a bad habit. That is what they are now doing to gold, bonds, the yen, and you might as well throw silver into the mix.
Silver in particular seems to be the be the most vulnerable here because all of the other industrial metals have been getting beaten with an ugly stick while it has managed to stay afloat. With copper, platinum and palladium falling apart, there is no fundamental reason for silver to stage any sort of strong rally. Without Greece, it loses its support.
Continue Reading at TraderDan.com…
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Buy The Technology Select Sector SPDR (NYSE:XLK)
Stocks are finally breaking out!
The Russell 2000 small-cap index? Check. Midcap stocks? Double check. Blistering biotechs? Triple check. In fact, The Biotech iShares continued to reach for new highs Monday after last week’s jolt.
There are still some weak spots out there, like utilities. But if you’re taking the time to zero-in on the strongest stocks in the strongest sectors, you’re absolutely thrashing the major averages this year.
And you don’t even have to be a great stock picker to beat this market. Those biotech iShares I just mentioned? They’re up 20% in just about 5 months. No stock picking genius required there. The S&P 500? Up about 5% over the same timeframe.
And the S&P 500 is playing catch-up to these early breakouts to start off the week. So it’s time to look for the stocks that could make the move from mediocre to market leader. And the best place to look is large-cap tech stocks…
So today we’re hitching our wagon to one of the strongest stocks in the biz. It’s been resting most of the year, but now this sleeping giant is storming back and could be on its way to record highs this summer…
Some of the most recognizable names in the tech space hit the snooze button back in the spring—and they still have yet to wake up from their naps. The Technology Select Sector SPDR (NYSE:XLK) has bested the S&P 500 over the past five months or so. But it’s not setting the world on fire.
So if you’re looking for excitement this hasn’t been the place to find it…
Here are some of the biggest snoozers: Apple, the largest holding in
XLK, has gone nowhere since March. Microsoft is flat on the year.
Verizon is up a few bucks—but has fallen off over the past six weeks.
But not all of these big techies are playing Sleeping Beauty. In fact, it looks like some of these stocks are starting to wipe the crust out of their eyes. And Mr. Market is pouring a few of these lagging tech stocks a hot cup of coffee as I type…
How about Facebook? Yup, the ol’ Facebook is a major tech player now. And shares are looking strong, up 5% so far this month and quickly closing in on its highs. The social media landscape has already started to fracture. Traders are taking the weak names to the woodshed, while the best of the best (like Facebook) march higher. And it’s not the only tech stock waking from its slumber…
Google, the king of search, is also getting up off the mat. This stock is now up five days in a row and punching through a trading range it’s been trapped in since April.
I think Monday’s move higher is just the beginning of another push to new highs for Google. This stock has flat-lined for way too long. Even today it’s trading at prices we haven’t seen since October. And shares remain well below the all-time highs near $615 set more than a year ago…
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The Russell 2000 small-cap index? Check. Midcap stocks? Double check. Blistering biotechs? Triple check. In fact, The Biotech iShares continued to reach for new highs Monday after last week’s jolt.
There are still some weak spots out there, like utilities. But if you’re taking the time to zero-in on the strongest stocks in the strongest sectors, you’re absolutely thrashing the major averages this year.
And you don’t even have to be a great stock picker to beat this market. Those biotech iShares I just mentioned? They’re up 20% in just about 5 months. No stock picking genius required there. The S&P 500? Up about 5% over the same timeframe.
And the S&P 500 is playing catch-up to these early breakouts to start off the week. So it’s time to look for the stocks that could make the move from mediocre to market leader. And the best place to look is large-cap tech stocks…
So today we’re hitching our wagon to one of the strongest stocks in the biz. It’s been resting most of the year, but now this sleeping giant is storming back and could be on its way to record highs this summer…
Some of the most recognizable names in the tech space hit the snooze button back in the spring—and they still have yet to wake up from their naps. The Technology Select Sector SPDR (NYSE:XLK) has bested the S&P 500 over the past five months or so. But it’s not setting the world on fire.
So if you’re looking for excitement this hasn’t been the place to find it…
But not all of these big techies are playing Sleeping Beauty. In fact, it looks like some of these stocks are starting to wipe the crust out of their eyes. And Mr. Market is pouring a few of these lagging tech stocks a hot cup of coffee as I type…
How about Facebook? Yup, the ol’ Facebook is a major tech player now. And shares are looking strong, up 5% so far this month and quickly closing in on its highs. The social media landscape has already started to fracture. Traders are taking the weak names to the woodshed, while the best of the best (like Facebook) march higher. And it’s not the only tech stock waking from its slumber…
Google, the king of search, is also getting up off the mat. This stock is now up five days in a row and punching through a trading range it’s been trapped in since April.
I think Monday’s move higher is just the beginning of another push to new highs for Google. This stock has flat-lined for way too long. Even today it’s trading at prices we haven’t seen since October. And shares remain well below the all-time highs near $615 set more than a year ago…
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Tuesday, June 23, 2015
RDUS Radius Health Measuring Gap – Potential Technical Price Target 100 US Dollar
Thursday RDUS – Radius Health released good news and the stock gapped higher. As I outlined in my previous post Getting exposure to high quality set-ups like RDUS – Radius Health is the way to go. This simply increases the odds for good things to happen.
Assuming RDUS will close strong, this will leave a strong white candle on the chart and a clearly visible gap. My best guess would be for it to be a measuring gap. These often tend to occur right in the middle of a move. In this case this would imply a technical price target slightly above 100$. If my analysis is correct the gap won’t be filled until the target is acquired. Right now, for position traders RDUS is a great stock to hold. Especially if you entered using the stop buy I suggested earlier. As long as the stock stays strong and acts well, ride the uptrend.
$489,379 Per Month Trading Dirt Cheap Stocks
Assuming RDUS will close strong, this will leave a strong white candle on the chart and a clearly visible gap. My best guess would be for it to be a measuring gap. These often tend to occur right in the middle of a move. In this case this would imply a technical price target slightly above 100$. If my analysis is correct the gap won’t be filled until the target is acquired. Right now, for position traders RDUS is a great stock to hold. Especially if you entered using the stop buy I suggested earlier. As long as the stock stays strong and acts well, ride the uptrend.
$489,379 Per Month Trading Dirt Cheap Stocks
Changyou.Com Ltd (NASDAQ: CYOU)
Changyou.com Limited develops and operates online games in the
People’s Republic of China. It is primarily involved in the development,
operation, and licensing of massively multi-player online games, which
are interactive online games that might be played simultaneously by
various game players; Web-based games, which are played over the
Internet using a Web browser; and mobile games that are played on mobile
devices and require an Internet connection. The company also owns and
operates Web properties and software applications for PCs and mobile
devices, including the 17173.com Website, an information portals for
game players in China; the wan.com Website, a games portal that provides
a collection of Web games of third-party developers to game players;
RaidCall, which provides online music and entertainment services,
primarily in Taiwan; and the Dolphin Browser, a gateway to a host of
user activities on mobile devices, with its users in Europe, Russia, and
Japan.
Take a look at the 1-year chart of Changyou.com (NASDAQ: CYOU) below with added notations:
After rallying nicely from mid-October until the beginning of May, CYOU has been trading mostly sideways over the last 2 months. During the sideways move the stock has formed a common pattern known as a rectangle. A minimum of (2) successful tests of the support and (2) successful tests of the resistance will give you the pattern.
CYOU’s rectangle pattern has formed a resistance at $35 (red) and a $31 support (green). At some point the stock will have to break one of the two levels.
The Tale of the Tape: CYOU is trading within a rectangle pattern. The possible long positions on the stock would be either on a pullback to $31 or on a breakout above $35. The ideal short opportunity would be on a break below $31.
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Take a look at the 1-year chart of Changyou.com (NASDAQ: CYOU) below with added notations:
After rallying nicely from mid-October until the beginning of May, CYOU has been trading mostly sideways over the last 2 months. During the sideways move the stock has formed a common pattern known as a rectangle. A minimum of (2) successful tests of the support and (2) successful tests of the resistance will give you the pattern.
CYOU’s rectangle pattern has formed a resistance at $35 (red) and a $31 support (green). At some point the stock will have to break one of the two levels.
The Tale of the Tape: CYOU is trading within a rectangle pattern. The possible long positions on the stock would be either on a pullback to $31 or on a breakout above $35. The ideal short opportunity would be on a break below $31.
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Buy DJ-UBS Grains Total Return Sub-Index ETN (JJG), or the MLCX Grains Index TR ETN (GRU) & Go Long Agriculture
So, how should you play the 2015-2016 El Niño?
You could trade the more active, nearby grain futures contracts and roll them upon expiration. But, if you aren’t willing to do that, there are always agriculture and grain indices ETNs that are more user friendly. Check out the DJ-UBS Grains Total Return Sub-Index ETN (JJG), or the MLCX Grains Index TR ETN (GRU), both of which track the performance of agriculture futures.
http://etfdb.com/factsheets/JJG/
The good news is that agriculture futures prices are currently quite low, so it’s a good time to get in.
But don’t wait for Mother Nature to do her thing, because she can be fickle.
Look out for future GIEWS reports, which monitor the condition of major food crops across the globe to assess production prospects.
It would also be smart to check out the newly developed FAO-Agricultural Stress Index System, which detects agricultural areas with a high likelihood of water stress (drought) at the global level.
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You could trade the more active, nearby grain futures contracts and roll them upon expiration. But, if you aren’t willing to do that, there are always agriculture and grain indices ETNs that are more user friendly. Check out the DJ-UBS Grains Total Return Sub-Index ETN (JJG), or the MLCX Grains Index TR ETN (GRU), both of which track the performance of agriculture futures.
http://etfdb.com/factsheets/JJG/
The good news is that agriculture futures prices are currently quite low, so it’s a good time to get in.
But don’t wait for Mother Nature to do her thing, because she can be fickle.
Look out for future GIEWS reports, which monitor the condition of major food crops across the globe to assess production prospects.
It would also be smart to check out the newly developed FAO-Agricultural Stress Index System, which detects agricultural areas with a high likelihood of water stress (drought) at the global level.
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Bed Bath & Beyond Inc. (BBBY): BBBY Stock Issues Death Cross – Sell Now
Bed Bath & Beyond Inc. (BBBY)
— This retail chain operates 1,500 superstores that sell domestic home
furnishings. Competition in a difficult retail environment, a higher tax
rate, unfavorable exchange rates, high employee benefit packages, the
encroachment of e-commerce and price transparency are squeezing
operating margins.
Credit Suisse Equity Research noted EBITDA growth was only 1.3% in the fourth quarter of fiscal 2014 (ended Feb. 28) and down for the full year. Credit Suisse and S&P Capital IQ recently lowered their earnings and price targets on BBBY stock.
Management’s goal is to open 30 new stores with the intent of increasing square footage by 1% to 3%, but the risk of an unexpected decline in consumer spending and the trend toward online shopping makes this approach risky.
BBBY stock broke down in early April from a triple-top at about $78. The stock descended into a channel down with resistance at its 50-day moving average, now at $71.24, and the descending resistance line.
Last week, the 50-day moving average crossed down through the 200-day moving average, a long-term negative signal called a death cross, ending a rally at the 50-day moving average on Friday.
On-balance-volume has been trending lower since January, indicating the bear market in BBBY stock is far from over. Insider selling has been high for the past 12 months and very high in the past three months. Nasdaq.com shows 21 insider sells representing 307,707 shares in the past 90 days and zero insider buys.
Sell BBBY stock if you own it. Traders may want to sell shares short at $71 with a downside target of $63 for an 11% profit.
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Credit Suisse Equity Research noted EBITDA growth was only 1.3% in the fourth quarter of fiscal 2014 (ended Feb. 28) and down for the full year. Credit Suisse and S&P Capital IQ recently lowered their earnings and price targets on BBBY stock.
Management’s goal is to open 30 new stores with the intent of increasing square footage by 1% to 3%, but the risk of an unexpected decline in consumer spending and the trend toward online shopping makes this approach risky.
BBBY stock broke down in early April from a triple-top at about $78. The stock descended into a channel down with resistance at its 50-day moving average, now at $71.24, and the descending resistance line.
Last week, the 50-day moving average crossed down through the 200-day moving average, a long-term negative signal called a death cross, ending a rally at the 50-day moving average on Friday.
On-balance-volume has been trending lower since January, indicating the bear market in BBBY stock is far from over. Insider selling has been high for the past 12 months and very high in the past three months. Nasdaq.com shows 21 insider sells representing 307,707 shares in the past 90 days and zero insider buys.
Sell BBBY stock if you own it. Traders may want to sell shares short at $71 with a downside target of $63 for an 11% profit.
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Monday, June 22, 2015
Marin Katusa – Making Money in Junior Minors is All About Management and Patience
from Financial Survival Network
Marin Katusa now has his own website KatusaResearch.com where he shares his thoughts and research about the resource sector. Marin has been extremely successful investor. We discussed where we are in the cycle and what an investor needs to do to pick the winners in this depressed sector. The last time Marin and I spoke, he called the coming downturn. He thinks it’s going to continue for a while but there’s hope. As long as able managers such as Keith Neumeyer stick around, there’s potential for large gains ahead. * Contains sponsored material.
Click Here to Listen to the Audio
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Marin Katusa now has his own website KatusaResearch.com where he shares his thoughts and research about the resource sector. Marin has been extremely successful investor. We discussed where we are in the cycle and what an investor needs to do to pick the winners in this depressed sector. The last time Marin and I spoke, he called the coming downturn. He thinks it’s going to continue for a while but there’s hope. As long as able managers such as Keith Neumeyer stick around, there’s potential for large gains ahead. * Contains sponsored material.
Click Here to Listen to the Audio
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Stocks To Watch: ISIL, CBAY, HDS, FB
( click to enlarge )
Intersil Corp (NASDAQ:ISIL) broke
the downtrend line last week on decent volume and looks like it is
taking a little breather here before moving back above the $13.70 zone
which would be the next buy point. If momentum continues as I expect
next week, I think there are lot of profits left on the table for
traders to capitalize on. Options traders are buying calls. A quick look
at the technical daily chart :
1) MACD lines are going up
2) RSI still above the neutral 50 level at 54, buyers strength still persists.
3) CMF is positive
4) The +DI crossed up through the -DI las week - Bullish.
5) OBV still climbing.
6) The accumulation/distribution indicator shows the stock is under strong accumulation
Honestly speaking, there is some upside potential, which makes it worth watching for the next few days. Keep watching the stock.
1) MACD lines are going up
2) RSI still above the neutral 50 level at 54, buyers strength still persists.
3) CMF is positive
4) The +DI crossed up through the -DI las week - Bullish.
5) OBV still climbing.
6) The accumulation/distribution indicator shows the stock is under strong accumulation
Honestly speaking, there is some upside potential, which makes it worth watching for the next few days. Keep watching the stock.
( click to enlarge )
CymaBay Therapeutics Inc
(NASDAQ:CBAY) formed a bullish candle on the daily technical chart and
reversed higher on solid volume from the key long-term support level.
The stock is on the cusp of a move higher that could take it to the
100-day EMA at 4.20 pretty easily.
( click to enlarge )
HD Supply Holdings Inc (NASDAQ:HDS)
tagged a new 52-week high on Friday but closed poorly. Shareholders may
remain invested with a stop-loss at $33.80 (20EMA).
( click to enlarge )
Facebook Inc (NASDAQ:FB) has been
consolidating the past few days and just recently started inching above
most of the consolidation zone. Volume is starting to pick up and there
could be a decent short squeeze if it clears the 83.20 level. On watch.
HPQ Stock Could be a Bottom Fisher’s Dream
Hewlett-Packard Company (HPQ) — This leading maker of computers, printers and servers has a large service and support network.
On May 21, Hewlett-Packard reported fiscal second-quarter earnings of $0.87 per share, beating the consensus estimate by a penny. However, revenue of $25.5 billion fell slightly short of expectations due mostly to foreign currency effects and weather-related issues. But analysts are confident that cost-cutting will bring positive returns. (more)
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On May 21, Hewlett-Packard reported fiscal second-quarter earnings of $0.87 per share, beating the consensus estimate by a penny. However, revenue of $25.5 billion fell slightly short of expectations due mostly to foreign currency effects and weather-related issues. But analysts are confident that cost-cutting will bring positive returns. (more)
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15 Stocks on the Verge of Signaling 'Buy'
As Chief Investment Strategist of Profitable Trading's Alpha Trader service, I've noticed a clear trend emerging over the past few weeks.
When I ran my algorithms to screen the market for our next big winners, two things leapt out at me -- and both are bullish signs.
First, the number of stocks I've been recommending to subscribers is running at twice its "normal" rate. (more)
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When I ran my algorithms to screen the market for our next big winners, two things leapt out at me -- and both are bullish signs.
First, the number of stocks I've been recommending to subscribers is running at twice its "normal" rate. (more)
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US Weekly Economic Calendar
time (et) | report | period | ACTUAL | CONSENSUS forecast |
previous |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
MONDAY, JUNE 22 | |||||
8:30 am | Chicago Fed national activity index | May | -- | -0.12 3-month | |
10 am | Existing home sales | May | 5.25 mln | 5.04 mln | |
TUESDAY, JUNE 23 | |||||
8:30 am | Durable goods orders | May | -1.1% | -1.0% | |
9 am | FHFA home prices | April | -- | 5.2% yoy | |
9:45 am | Markit PMI flash | June | -- | 54.0 | |
10 am | New home sales | May | 525,000 | 517,000 | |
WEDNESDAY, JUNE 24 | |||||
8:30 am | GDP | 1Q | -0.2% | -0.7% | |
THURSDAY, JUNE 25 | |||||
8:30 am | Weekly jobless claims | June 20 | 271,000 | 267,000 | |
8:30 am | Personal income | May | 0.5% | 0.4% | |
8:30 am | Consumer spending | May | 0.8% | 0.0% | |
8:30 am | Core inflation | May | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
FRIDAY, JUNE 26 | |||||
10 am | Consumer sentiment | June | 94.6 | 94.6 | |
Saturday, June 20, 2015
3 ETFs for a Greek Default: GLD, EPV, VIX
If a new bailout agreement isn’t ironed out between Athens and the European establishment soon, it’s very we’ll see a Greek default on $1.8 billion in bundled debt payments to the International Monetary Fund at the end of the month.
This is the final act of a long simmering crisis.
If things go belly up and there is a Greek default, here are three ETFs that should be big winners in the fallout. (more)
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Bond funds worldwide post biggest outflows in two years: BofA
Investors worldwide pulled $10.3 billion out of bond funds in the week ended June 17 after a spike in yields earlier this month spooked debt investors, data from a Bank of America Merrill Lynch Global Research report showed on Friday.
It marked the biggest weekly outflows from the funds in two years, according to the report, which also cited data from fund-tracker EPFR Global. Investment-grade bond funds posted $2.1 billion in outflows, marking their first outflows in 78 weeks, while riskier high-yield bond funds posted $4 billion in outflows to mark their biggest withdrawals since last December. (more)
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Technical Aspects of Corn Futures Turning Bullish
After
a protracted downturn, it is now looking that the technical picture is
turning bullish for corn futures. Several major downtrend lines have now
been broken, as futures have been able to bounce from the lows that were made in September.
I
suspect the double bottom breakout sell signal to the downside at the
365-367 that was made earlier this year will be violated to the upside.
There are several reasons why this is likely. For one thing, the follow
through to the downside when the breakout first occurred has been
limited. In addition, there appears to be only limited volume on
weakness.
CORN FUTURES - WEEKLY.
Chart provided by QST
How to Find Safe, Profitable Gold Producers GDX, KGC, NGD, EGO, DGC.TO
It has been a brutal last few years for the gold sector...
Gold prices are down 38% since they peaked in 2011... And gold
producers are down with them. The Market Vectors Gold Miners Fund (GDX) –
which holds the shares of most major gold producers – peaked two weeks
after the gold price in 2011. Since then, it's down 72%.
But as we've shown you in these pages, the gold sector is likely to bottom soon. That means resource investors have a great opportunity right now to buy gold producers while they're dirt-cheap...(more)
Friday, June 19, 2015
Buy TSLA as Musk Readies His Million-Vehicle March
If there’s one thing all of Wall Street should have learned by now, it’s don’t bet against Tesla Motors (TSLA) and its genius CEO Elon Musk.
So, when Musk sets his sights on a million Tesla’s on the road by 2020, you had better check your rear view mirror — because a Tesla is probably about to pass you.
According to the Wall Street Journal, Tesla’s million-vehicle march was part of a forecast from Tesla’s chief technical officer, JB Straubel, during a conference Monday in Washington, D.C. (more)
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So, when Musk sets his sights on a million Tesla’s on the road by 2020, you had better check your rear view mirror — because a Tesla is probably about to pass you.
According to the Wall Street Journal, Tesla’s million-vehicle march was part of a forecast from Tesla’s chief technical officer, JB Straubel, during a conference Monday in Washington, D.C. (more)
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Radius Health Inc (NASDAQ: RDUS)
Radius Health, Inc., a biopharmaceutical company, focuses on
developing therapeutics for patients with osteoporosis and other serious
endocrine-mediated diseases in the United States. The company’s lead
product comprises abaloparatide SC (BA058), a novel synthetic peptide
analog of parathyroid hormone-related protein that is in Phase III
clinical development for use in the reduction of fractures in
postmenopausal osteoporosis; and Abaloparatide-TD, a line extension of
abaloparatide-SC in the form of a transdermal patch that has completed
Phase II clinical trial, which is used to increase bone mineral density.
Take a look at the 1-year chart of Radius (NASDAQ: RDUS) below with added notations:
RDUS embarked on an amazing rally in August of 2014, which took the stock all the way up to a high at $50 in February. From there, the stock hit $50 as resistance several more times forming a solid 52-week high resistance at $50 (green). Yesterday the stock broke through that level on strong volume, which should lead to higher prices overall.
The Tale of the Tape: RDUS broke its 52-week resistance at $50. The possible long position on the stock would be on a pullback down to that level with a stop placed under it. A break back below $50 could negate the forecast for a move higher.
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Take a look at the 1-year chart of Radius (NASDAQ: RDUS) below with added notations:
RDUS embarked on an amazing rally in August of 2014, which took the stock all the way up to a high at $50 in February. From there, the stock hit $50 as resistance several more times forming a solid 52-week high resistance at $50 (green). Yesterday the stock broke through that level on strong volume, which should lead to higher prices overall.
The Tale of the Tape: RDUS broke its 52-week resistance at $50. The possible long position on the stock would be on a pullback down to that level with a stop placed under it. A break back below $50 could negate the forecast for a move higher.
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5 Reasons Why Canada Is in Serious Trouble
Earlier this year, Deutsche Bank’s chief
international economist Torsten Sløk circulated a presentation that
painted a fairly dire portrait of the Canadian economy. The presentation
shows that debt levels are hitting record levels and sky-high home
prices are cooling off, increasing pressures on the Canadian financial
system and labour markets.
Let’s take a look at the five most important headwinds facing the Canadian economy today.
1. Canadian household debt is higher than ever
In the early 1990s both U.S. and Canadian households started to take on an ever-increasing amount of debt. Starting at roughly 80% in 1990, household debt increased to 125% of household income in both countries by 2009. After the financial crisis, however, U.S. household debt to income decreased dramatically to its current level of 100%. Canadian household debt continues to increase dramatically to today’s nosebleed level of 150%. With the U.S. economy still reeling from its massive deleveraging cycle, Canada’s economy has the potential to be even worse. (more)
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Let’s take a look at the five most important headwinds facing the Canadian economy today.
1. Canadian household debt is higher than ever
In the early 1990s both U.S. and Canadian households started to take on an ever-increasing amount of debt. Starting at roughly 80% in 1990, household debt increased to 125% of household income in both countries by 2009. After the financial crisis, however, U.S. household debt to income decreased dramatically to its current level of 100%. Canadian household debt continues to increase dramatically to today’s nosebleed level of 150%. With the U.S. economy still reeling from its massive deleveraging cycle, Canada’s economy has the potential to be even worse. (more)
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