Over the past couple of months, there’s been a general belief that
oil prices have bottomed out at US$50 per barrel. There’s also been a
belief that prices will rebound, perhaps in the second half of this
year. After all, producers are cutting back on drilling, and low prices
may lead to increased demand.
Those forecasts are not looking too good right now. Despite reduced
drilling, production remains very healthy. Demand has not been able to
pick up the slack. The oil price has fallen to US$43, well below the
supposed US$50 support level, and there’s plenty more room for this
number to fall. (more)
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