The ‘supercycle’ that drove commodities higher has now reversed
by Howard Gold
Market Watch
Remember
the commodities supercycle, that seemingly endless 2000s commodities
boom? It drove oil, gold, copper and other commodities to record levels.
The supercycle was driven by exploding demand from China and other
emerging countries, supply bottlenecks caused by years of not developing
wells and mines, and rock-bottom interest rates that inflated demand
for hard assets all around the world.
But now gold, oil and other commodities are well off their peaks, so
far off, in fact, and for so long that they can only be described as in a
supercycle in reverse, or a secular bear market.
If that’s true — and I’m pretty sure it is — investors who piled in
to commodities are in for a bruising decade ahead unless they take
profits or cut their losses.
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