Thursday, October 30, 2014

No Plans for Normalization: Fed Ends QE, Will Hold Rates Low for “Considerable Time”, Will Reinvest Proceeds


globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com / Mike “Mish” Shedlock / October 29, 2014
Inquiring minds may wish to slog through today’s FOMC Press Release on Monetary Policy but it’s really not worth the time it takes to read it.
Here are a few details, generally expected
  • The Committee judges that there has been a substantial improvement in the outlook for the labor market since the inception of its current asset purchase program.
  • The Committee today reaffirmed its view that the current 0 to 1/4 percent target range for the federal funds rate remains appropriate.
  • The Committee anticipates, based on its current assessment, that it likely will be appropriate to maintain the 0 to 1/4 percent target range for the federal funds rate for a considerable time following the end of its asset purchase program this month, especially if projected inflation continues to run below the Committee’s 2 percent longer-run goal, and provided that longer-term inflation expectations remain well anchored.
  • If incoming information indicates faster progress toward the Committee’s employment and inflation objectives than the Committee now expects, then increases in the target range for the federal funds rate are likely to occur sooner than currently anticipated. Conversely, if progress proves slower than expected, then increases in the target range are likely to occur later than currently anticipated.
  • The Committee currently anticipates that, even after employment and inflation are near mandate-consistent levels, economic conditions may, for some time, warrant keeping the target federal funds rate below levels the Committee views as normal in the longer run.
Reinvesting Principal Payments
The Fed also released a Statement Regarding Purchases of Treasury Securities and Agency Mortgage-Backed Securities.
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