In the past, we’ve discussed at length the structural problems facing
Crude. So the pressure the energy markets are under, both from the
demand and supply sides, should come as no surprise. This double whammy
to the Crude market is not likely to be resolved overnight;
demand-supply issues require time to work through a market.
Through hydraulic fracking and a massive influx of investment
capital, the US has again become a major oil producer. But it’s the
speed with which new supply from the US has come on line that has taken
the market by surprise and rocked prices.
The 4 million plus barrels of extra oil that the US is suddenly
producing is causing a problem for exporters like Saudi Arabia, who now
need to find new markets for their oil. Most of the world’s oil is not
sold in futures contracts for delivery one to three months out. Rather
oil contracts are long term in nature, made over 1 to 3 year periods.
And the competition for existing oil markets has been fierce, forcing
suppliers to drastically cut their prices relative to spot. (more)
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