Wednesday, August 6, 2014

US Dollar, bullish or Bearish?

By that, I am referring to the US Dollar, as portrayed by the USDX. The greenback is once again knocking on the door at the top of a nearly year long trading range. That door is up near the 81.65 level. The bottom of the range is near 79. 

The week is not over yet but this far the last month has seen the Dollar firm and garnering strength as more and more traders/investors are coming around to the view that the Fed will be the first among the Western industrialized nations to raise interest rates. Today’s Service Sector ISM reading did nothing to disabuse them of that notion as it was very strong; stronger than expected in actuality. 

Here’s the chart… 

If the Dollar can manage to finally put up a Weekly CLOSE above that zone noted, it can easily run another full point and should be able to even make a push to 83. We’ll see what we get come Friday of this week.

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