Take a look at the 1-year chart of PacWest (Nasdaq: PACW) below with the added notations:
There is a lot going on with the chart of PACW, so let’s start with the channel. The stock has formed a relatively clear down-channel pattern over the last 2 months. When it comes to channels, remember that any (3) points can start the channel, but a 4th point or more confirms it. You can see that PACW has several points of channel resistance and support (blue).
Next, PACW has held a very important level of support at around $38 (green) since November. The stock’s down-channel is forcing the stock back to $38 again, and that might provide another bounce higher. However, the stock’s formation of a head and shoulders (H&S) pattern (gray) could be setting the stock up for a breakdown.
The Tale of the Tape: PACW has a key level of support at $38. A trader could enter a long position at $38 with a stop placed under the level. A long trade could also be made if the stock breaks the channel resistance. However, if the stock were to break below the $38 support, which would confirm the H&S pattern, a short position would be recommended instead.
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