Wednesday, July 9, 2014

Why Bond Investors May Soon Head for the Exits

The spike in interest rates last week was just the beginning of a major rally.
 
Two weeks ago, we said interest rates were setting up for a surprise move. They had been falling all year. And most analysts were expecting rates to continue even lower, or at least remain at their depressed levels. But we said rates looked poised to rally. Last week, they started a new uptrend.
 
And that's bad news for bonds...
 
Take a look at this chart of the 30-year Treasury bond yield...
 
30-year treasury bond yield
 
As you can see, the 30-year Treasury yield broke above the blue down-trending resistance line in early June. It tested that line as support two weeks ago. Support held, and rates blasted higher last week.  (more)
 
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