Benevolent weather and falling demand (
in anticipation of weaker prices ahead ) has led to heavy selling
across the entirety of the grain floor this morning. The result is that
my grain index has notched a 42 month low! This is very welcome news for
the livestock and poultry industry as well as for consumers who can
expect to see lower food prices ahead ( assuming of course that the
trade will eventually pass through the savings).
I should also note here, that according
to the most recent Commitment of Traders data through 7-1-2014, Managed
Money or Hedge Funds still remain as net longs in the corn market in
spite of the fact that corn futures scored a 4 year low today. Also this
same category remain net long in soybeans as well even though they have
been caught on the wrong side of the market and are now in the process
of liquidating long positions at a very rapid clip ( not to mention
starting to build shorts).
This
informs us that if this category decides to get aggressively short, we
have further downside to go across the corn and bean markets. (more)
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