America’s
sprawling 401(k) pension system will turn cash flow negative in 2016,
threatening disruption for asset managers and selling of equities,
according to analysis by Cerulli Associates, a research house.
The $3.5 trillion system attracted fresh contributions of $300
billion in 2012, with $276 billion either withdrawn as cash by retirees
or rolled over into individual retirement accounts (IRAs), Cerulli
estimated.
However, by 2016 it forecasts that inflows will be $364 billion and
outflows $366 billion, with the deficit only widening year on year after
that as the core of the baby-boomer generation retires.
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