Thursday, April 10, 2014

Gold Is About To Rally 200 Points

The bottoming process in Gold continues to progress nicely. We came into the year with little or no Gold bulls on The Street. I seem to recall blog post after blog post detailing the losses that gold investors have had to endure over the past few years. In addition, the media was constantly questioning the long-time Gold bulls and calling them out because gold hadn’t gone up every year as it did for a decade. Rather than focusing on a potential bottom, it was all about the lower prices.
Well, that sort of pessimism is exactly how bottoms are born. So far this is playing out nicely. Today we’re looking at two charts of Gold, one is a daily and the other is a longer-term weekly to help put things in perspective.
Here is a daily bar chart of Gold prices. It’s easy to see the double bottom that got going right around New Year’s after Gold successfully retested last summer’s lows. Momentum was also putting in a much higher low, barely hitting oversold conditions on the second bottom:
4-9-14 gc daily
There are two more things I’d like to point out here. After a 200 point rally in Gold to start the year, prices have pulled back in a healthy way down to those converging moving averages. The red line represents the 200 day simple moving average and the blue line represents the 50 day. Also notice that on this pull back, momentum failed to reach any oversold conditions. This is generally a bullish characteristic.  (more)

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