Friday, March 7, 2014

It’s Time To Own Coal Stocks: KOL, CNX, JOY, BTU

Whenever the word “Coal” comes up in conversation, a reaction of disgust has become the standard. The reasons range from, “It’s dirty” to, “We don’t need it” to, “Obama” (whatever that means)…..But I don’t know anyone who likes this space. Not a single person in fact. I bet I probably grossed some people out with this headline alone.
So as we like to do around here, when no one likes them it’s probably time to look a little bit closer. We’ll focus our attention today on shares of the Market Vectors Coal ETF $KOL. The first thing that stands out to me is the beautiful 5-wave pattern from the 2011 highs down to last year’s lows:
3-5-14 kol
The next thing that sticks out to me is the potential double bottom formation down here near 17.25. This is a weekly candlestick chart. Look how on the second low last month, momentum (measured using a 14-period RSI) was putting in a much higher low. That bullish divergence stands out after a 5-wave decline.  (more)
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