Lately
we’ve been writing about why we expected the rebound in precious
metals to continue without any serious setbacks. After a major low,
sentiment can remain muted for several months even in contrast to the
improving market action. Yet, a look at history shows that rebounds from
major lows can continue unabated and unscathed for more than a year.
The rebound in precious metals thus far appears to be following this
script. It has received a further boost with the breakout in Gold
yesterday and as of now, the breakout in the gold miners.
First, let’s take a look at Gold. The chart below highlights the
importance of $1350-$1360 which was major trendline resistance since
April 2013 and November 2012. With the breakout past $1360, the next key
target is $1420. Gold has weekly resistance at $1400 so keep that in
mind as well. If Gold can takeout $1420 convincingly on a weekly basis
then it could have legs to $1500.
Today we have the gold miners, both GDX and GDXJ breaking out of
their consolidations. For several weeks both markets held in tight
consolidations which appear to bullish flag continuation patterns. GDX’s
upside target is $31 while GDXJ could reach $53. The 400-day moving
averages could intersect with these targets to form strong resistance.
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