The Gold Cycle might be confusing to read, but there is no such lack
of clarity with Crude. The current action makes analysis
straightforward because we now have a textbook Cycle low in place. Very
few Daily Cycles make it beyond 45 days, and this slightly longer Cycle
was likely compensating for a shorter 1st Daily Cycle.
This deep in a Cycle, key reversals in price almost always turn out
to be new Cycles. We have seen a solid Swing Low result in a clean
break of the down-trend, and price end the week with a close above the
10dma. In addition, our technical indicators turned higher, perfectly
supporting a new Cycle.
With a 3rd Daily Cycle now in play, we should be prepared to see at
least 10 sessions higher before we entertain the possibility of a Left
Translated Cycle. With normal Crude Investor Cycles, we typically see
just 3 Daily Cycle span a total of 20-24 weeks. Excepting the last IC,
which was an extended 32 weeks, all recent Crude Cycles have been
reliably within that range. (more)
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