The Facebook generation may be
about to come to an end if Princeton University researchers are correct.
A new study predicts “a rapid decline in Facebook activity in the next
few years.” The study, conducted by two researchers in Princeton’s
Department of Mechanical and Aerospace Engineering, applies the same
model used in the study of disease to extrapolate future adoption and
abandonment of social networks.
In the case of Facebook (FB),
the researchers used MySpace as a case study for a social network whose
use spread rapidly, like a disease, and then quickly died out when the
number of new users declined. The study finds that Facebook is “just
beginning to show the onset of an abandonment phase.” The researchers
believe that abandonment will accelerate to
the point that Facebook could lose 80% of its users between 2015 and
2017.
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