While prices are rising, investors need to maximize their gains. When
prices turn down, investors need to minimize their losses. The problem
many investors face is worrying about a bear market during the bull
market. Worries can be stopped by switching to cash, but then investors
miss gains, and failing to take advantage of market gains destroys
potential wealth.
We do believe that it is OK to worry about the
state of the market. However, we don't believe it is OK to act on those
worries without a plan. Investment actions should be based on plans that
react to the market, and the 10-month moving average (MA) is the
simplest way we know to do this.
Before we explain why, this chart of SPDR S&P 500 (NYSE: SPY) can help highlight the importance of this indicator. (more)
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