by Pater Tenebrarum
Acting Man
SocGen Thinks CHF is the ‘Next Safe Haven to Fall’
The Swiss franc has become a ‘safe haven asset’ during the euro
area’s debt crisis, along with a number of other peripheral European
currencies, especially the Scandinavian ones. Similar to the central
banks in Scandinavian countries, the Swiss National Bank (SNB) thereupon
instituted a major inflationary policy, including in this particular
case not only ‘ZIRP’, but also the enforcement of a floor rate versus
the euro, so as to avert ‘deflation’ and ‘damage to the export industry’
– in other words, the SNB decided to risk the value of its currency as
well as the formation of a major asset bubble for misguided
mercantilistic reasons. Nevertheless, buyers continued to pile into the
CHF (one wonders what they were thinking?), thereby ‘forcing’ the SNB to
continue to defend its peg by letting the printing press run 24/7.
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