Most of the time, analysts make calls that are either pitifully late
or laughably safe. I mean, is it really a bold call to downgrade Apple
(NASDAQ: AAPL) after it has already fallen 30%? Or, how about upping
your target on Tesla Motors (NASDAQ: TSLA) after an 80% spike? Now, I am
not saying that calls like these are wrong, just that they aren't very
prescient, nor are they very bold.
There are, however, a few
analyst calls that are both potentially early, and anything but safe,
and I think these are the calls that merit traders' attention. The
latest call of this sort comes to us from JPMorgan (NYSE: JPM)
commodities analyst Colin Fenton, who now recommends investors
overweight the commodities sector.
In a note to clients, Fenton
wrote the following: "Our analysis concludes that it is in the best
interests of most commodity index investors to buy immediately. For the
first time in more than 2 years, we recommend an overweight allocation
to commodities. In our own methodology, we define this allocation as a
5% to 7% net long exposure in an institutional portfolio, up from the 3%
to 5% directionally neutral exposure we have been recommending."
Now,
it's one thing to raise your exposure to a sector that's doing well,
but when it comes to commodities, that sector has been virtually
slaughtered. (more)
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