Wednesday, May 15, 2013

Railroad Industry Stock Outlook - May 2013: UNP NSC KSU CSX CP CNI

Consistent with the current macroeconomic trends, railroads started the year on a mixed note. Going by the rail traffic report for the first quarter 2013, growth in automotive and petroleum products’ shipments was steady while coal and grain shipments continued to cast a shadow over the rail freight industry.

According to the Association of American Railroads’ (AAR) rail traffic report, cumulative performance of the North American railroads (including U.S., Canadian and Mexican railroads) have fallen 1.5% year over year in the first quarter of the year. The biggest contributor to this decline was grain, which dropped 11%. Coal volumes followed closely, falling around 7%.

Going by the quarterly performance of the class 1 railroad, we see continued lower volumes from most of these carriers. One of the largest class 1 railroads in North America -- Union Pacific Corp. ( UNP - Analyst Report ) -- registered first quarter volume decline of 2% year over year. Another major railroad CSX Corp. ( CSX - Analyst Report ) also reported a similar level of decline in its volumes. Going forward, Canadian counterpart, Canadian Pacific Railway Ltd. ( CP - Analyst Report ) also experienced lackluster growth trend with flat volume growth on a year-over-year basis. (more)

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