Since 2011 when gold and silver started another major bull market correction the best position has been to move to cash or sell/write options against your positions to protect your investment until the next trend resumes.
If you take a look at the chart below of gold you will notice that in
2008 we had a similar breakdown in price which purged the market of
investors who where long gold. And if you compare the last two
breakdowns they look very much the same. If price holds true then much
higher prices are likely to unfold at the end of 2013.The key here is for the price to move and hold above the major resistance line. If it can do that then we are looking at a possible breakout to $2600 – $3500 gold. With that being said gold and silver may just be starting a bear market. Depending what the price of gold does when my resistance level is touched, my outlook may change from bullish to bearish.
Also with last weeks economic numbers getting better in the USA I do have concerns that gold may be starting a bear market but we will not know for several more months yet.
How to Trade Gold Daily Technical Chart:
Major technical damage has been done to the chart of gold. This can be seen as bullish or bearish price action but until price and volume pattern unfolds which puts the odds on the bullish or bearish side I remain neutral.How to Trade Silver Daily Technical Chart:
Silver is in the same position as gold. The question is if this is a shakeout or breakdown…How to Trade Gold Mining Stocks Monthly Chart:
Gold mining stocks
broke down a couple months ago and continue to sell off. If precious
metals continue to move lower then mining stocks will continue their
journey down. The chart below made in February and it has in most part
played out as expected. While I do not try to pick bottoms (catch
falling knives) I do like to watch for them so I am prepared for a new
position when the time and chart become bullish.
How to Trade Gold, Silver and Mining Stocks Conclusion:
In short, precious metals continue to be in a down trend. While they look to be trying to bottom it is important to remember that the largest moves take place in the last 10% of a trend. So we may be close to a bottom but there could be sharply lower prices yet.The time will come when another major buy or short signal forms and when it does we will be getting involved. The exciting part is that it could be just around the corner.Please share this article
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