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Friday, April 12, 2013
Sam Zell: “The Stock Market Feels Like The Housing Market Of 2006″
Instead of the endless procession of “different this time”,
“buy-the-dip”, “money-on-the-sidelines” asset-gathering, Muppet-fleecers
that CNBC so typically trots out, Sam Zell graced them with his
presence and the truth was allowed a voice for a few minutes. Joined by
David Rosenberg, who clarifies the insanity that engulfs US equities,
explaining in wonderment that it is “not surprising the market rises
even in the face of bad ISMs, worse jobs, and worst NFIB data, because
Japan and the US are embarking on a gargantuan quantitative easing that is the lynchpin behind the stock market.” It is not about being bullish, or bearish, or agnostic, it is understanding the driver of this market – and that is not the economy, not earnings, “it is the mother of all liquidity-driven rallies.” Maria B, soundbite in hand, is slammed for her “glibness” at not fighting the Fed
but it is Sam Zell’s brutal honesty that shocks even the money-honey.
“This is a very treacherous market,” Zell explains – thanks to the giant
tsunami of liquidity, “the problems of 2007 haven’t been dealt with,”
and given the poor macro data and earnings, “we are suffering through another irrational exuberance,” leaving the entire CNBC audience speechless when he concludes, “the stock market feels like the housing market of 2006.” Maria B:
“So don’t fight the Fed?“
Rosenberg:
“That’s a pretty glib comment for what
is going on. You could have fought the Fed in 2000 and 2009 and done
quite well… [thanks to the Fed] the market will tend to drift up - until something breaks.” (more)
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