Thursday, January 24, 2013

Complacency Index at 69 Month Low!

by Dan Norcini
Trader Dan Norcini

The following chart of the Volatility Index or the VIX as it is more commonly referred to is stunning. With today’s further decline, the index has now reached levels last seen in APRIL 2007!
The VIX is a measurement of sentiment. It tends to rise and spike sharply during periods of fear or unease and decline during periods of complacency.
What we are basically seeing with today’s move is investor complacency is at EXACTLY the same level SIX MONTHS BEFORE THE BOTTOM FELL OUT OF THE US EQUITY MARKETS in late 2007. I remind you that at that time, hardly a bear could be found anywhere with the exception of a few sharp traders/investors, managers who were warning of extreme overvaluations.
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