The apparently critical-when-its-going-up-but-ignore-it-when-it-is-falling index of the cost of dry bulk goods transportation has ‘crashed’ in the last few weeks to its lowest level since January 2009 (back below 1000 according to today’s levels). Whether this is seasonal output differences or weather impacts, it seems clear that lower steel output in China and a decline in European imports is having its impact on global trade. The index has fallen for 19 days in a row, down almost 50%, its largest drop since the harrowing period of Q4 2008.
The change over the past 19 days (of freefall) is almost 50%, its largest drop since Q4 2008…
and only the third largest ever monthly percentage drop in dry bulk rates…
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