2010 Market Outlook

At the start of every year we put together our best research and analysis and then formulate a forecast based on the most likely outcomes. Unlike others who simply say what they think will happen, we sit down and analyze the fundamental, technical and sentiment evidence and opine on what is most likely to happen, what might happen and what won't happen. We take a lot of pride in this, as we believe we are one of the few that puts forth actionable research and makes it available to the public.

Heading into 2010 we've seen a range of forecasts and opinions. The econo-bears like Michael Panzner and David Rosenberg, while very prescient on the economy, continue to expect new lows or a retest of 2009 lows. Some bulls see the strong recovery as a sign that we are in a new bull market and that the market is leading the economy. Few seem to take the middle ground. Maybe that is because such a forecast isn't worth reporting in the media. That being said, before we think what is likely, let us think what is not likely. (more)