S&P 500 Retreat Signaled by ‘Bearish Wedge’: Technical Analysis

The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index may drop at least 7.5 percent based on a “bearish ascending wedge” pattern, according to Tom McNally, a money manager at Wilbanks, Smith & Thomas.

Drawing a so-called “bottom trend line” from the S&P 500’s 12-year low on March 9 and a “top trend line” from its close on May 8, at the time a four-month high, creates a nearly complete bearish ascending wedge, McNally said. The pattern usually signals stocks are about to retreat and hasn’t preceded a rally in at least five years, he said. (more)