Wednesday, July 1, 2009

Chart Presentation: Commodities vs. Equities


We are going to get ‘macro’ once again today. At right we show a chart comparison between the CRB Index (commodity prices) and the share price of Coca Cola (KO). Coke has been scaled in semi-log.

Following the commodity bull market of the 1970’s the trend shifted in the early 1980’s away from inflation. From roughly 1980 through into 1998- 99 the share price of Coke rose at very close to a constant and compounding rate.

The point is that once the trend for commodity prices turned lower the offset was a protracted positive trend for large cap consumer-type stocks.

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