Tuesday, June 30, 2015

Commercial Metals Company (NYSE: CMC)

Commercial Metals Company manufactures, recycles, and markets steel and metal products, and related materials and services in the United States and internationally. The Americas Recycling segment processes scrap metals for use as a raw material by manufacturers of new metal products. The Americas Mills segment operates 5 steel mills producing reinforcing bars, angles, flats, rounds, small beams, fence-post sections, and other shapes. The Americas Fabrication segment operates fence post manufacturing plants, construction-related product facilities, and plants that bend, weld, cut, and fabricate steel. The International Mill segment engages in mill, recycling, and fabrication operations through the operation of two rolling minimills that produce reinforcing bar (rebar) and merchant products. The International Marketing and Distribution segment processes, sells, and distributes steel products, ferrous and nonferrous metals, and other industrial products.
Take a look at the 1-year chart of Commercial Metals (NYSE: CMC) below with my added notations:
1-year chart of Commercial Metals (NYSE: CMC)
Starting in September, CMC declined into January, and from there the stock started a 5-month rally. During the decline, and subsequent rally, CMC created a very clear level of resistance at $17 (green). A break above that $17 level should mean higher prices for the stock, and on Friday CMC broke that level. And for confirmation, the stock broke out on a major increase in volume.

The Tale of the Tape: CMC broke through its key level of resistance at $17. A long trade could be entered on a pull back down to that level. However, a break back below $17 could negate the forecast for a higher move and would be an opportunity to get short the stock.
Please share this article

Ford Motor Company (NYSE: F) 114% Profit on a 6.4% Move

Carmakers reported surprisingly strong U.S. light-vehicle sales in May with a seasonally adjusted annualized rate of 17.71 million units, the highest since 2005. Aided by five weekends, including the usual Memorial Day blowouts, daily sales of 62,558 units were 5.5% higher than the same month last year.

Besides great weather for car shopping, manufacturers have benefited lately from stronger employment, low gasoline prices and increasing credit availability.

But you wouldn't know it to look at their stock prices. (more)

Please share this article

Buy These 3 Dips as the Market Slips: Purefunds ISE Cyber Security ETF (HACK), SPDR S&P Bank ETF (KBE), Powershares QQQ Trust (QQQ)

The speculative nature of short selling suggests that the shorts were probably prepping for a Greece-influenced selloff weeks ago. The most recent short interest data indicates this is the case, as a few of the widely traded index ETFs saw larger than normal increases in short positions.

Knowing where the short sellers have increased their positions can be a key component of making the right buys on major corrections like the one we’re seeing today, courtesy of Greece.
The mechanics are simple: If short sellers are increasing their positions ahead of a pullback, it means the positions are likely to have been “presold” — thus, there are likely to be fewer sellers in the market on a heavily shorted position. (more)

Please share this article

Monday, June 29, 2015

Stocks To Watch: NTRS, GIGA, MSFT, WBAI


Northern Trust Corporation (NASDAQ:NTRS) is butting up against 78.88 resistance, which is its all-time high. A break through this key resistance level could lead to $80-80.5, projected by the upper channel line. Thie price has been in an orderly bullish up-channel since early Frebruary. Worth watching for a breakout.


It looks like Giga-tronics, Incorporated (NASDAQ:GIGA) is starting to turn back up and indicators are giving the first bullish signs. On Friday it closed just slightly below its 50-day EMA, which if broken could accelerate the stock toward its June highs around the 2.20 area. A volatility squeeze seems eminent. You want to watch the stock closely as GIGA can move quickly and you want to be ready for this move once it happens.


Microsoft Corporation (NASDAQ:MSFT) after topping in April, the stock has been in decline, making new lower lows and lower highs.The stock has a strong support at about $45 and the 100-day EMA is being defended as well. Ñext week the Bulls need to hold price above this key level on daily closing basis or the Bears will likely keep pressing for the gap fill. Keep the stock on your trading screen for Monday.


Here's a potential breakdown play - 500 dot com Ltd (NYSE:WBAI). Daily technical chart shows a rising wedge pattern with a negative MACD divergence implying that a trend reversal is on the cards.

Canadian Dollar overvalued by 10%, dragging on Canadian growth: CIBC

CIBC World Markets says the loonie has been overvalued by 10 per cent since the recession, which has saddled Canadians with the equivalent of a 90 basis point higher interest rate from the Bank of Canada.

“Oil’s tumble has brought the Canadian dollar down with it,” said Nick Exarhos and Avery Shenfeld, economists at CIBC World Markets. “But our currency is still richer than it may look.”

The loonie has recently been trading at 81 cents against the U.S. dollar, and is down some 6 per cent against the greenback so far this year. (more)

Please share this article

Visa Inc (NYSE: V)

Visa Inc., a payments technology company, operates as a retail electronic payments network worldwide. The company facilitates commerce through the transfer of value and information among financial institutions, merchants, consumers, businesses, and government entities. It owns and operates VisaNet that is involved in the authorization, clearing, and settlement of payment transactions; and provision of fraud protection for account holders and assured payment for merchants. The company also offers a range of issuer processing services for participating issuers of Visa debit, prepaid, and ATM payment products. In addition, it provides electronic payment, risk management, and payment security solutions to online merchants; digital goods transactions services in online games, digital media, and social networks; and mobile financial services for mobile network operators and financial institutions in developing economies.
Take a look at the 1-year chart of Visa (NYSE: V) below with my added notations:
1-year chart of Visa (NYSE: V)
V has created a couple of important price levels to watch. First off, the stock has formed a relatively clear resistance at $70 (red), which would also be a 52-week high breakout if V could manage to move above it. In addition, the stock is climbing a short term, up-trending support level (green) over the last 5 months. These two levels combined have V stuck within a common chart pattern known as an ascending triangle. Eventually, V will have to break one of those (2) levels.

The Tale of the Tape: V has an up trending support and a 52-week resistance level to watch. A long trade could be made on a pullback to the support, or on a break above $70. A break below the up trending support could be an opportunity to enter a short trade.
Please share this article

The Chinese Stock Bubble Bursts: $SSEC

When financial authorities are in full-blown panic, they cut rates.
Take a quick glance at this weekly chart of the Shanghai stock market:
1. Uptrend broken: check
2. MACD rolled over into a sell signal: check
3. Stochastic breaks down: check
Any questions on what's happening to the Chinese stock market bubble?
Those still entertaining hopes the bubble hasn't burst might want to ponder the frantic flailings of Chinese authorities as A Desperate China Cuts Key Policy Rates.
When financial authorities are in full-blown panic, they cut rates. When financial authorities are in full-blown panic, they deny being in a panic, which proves they are in a full-blown panic.
A reasonable technical target is the 200-week moving average, roughly 50% of the recent high. "Impossible," say recent buyers of Chinese stocks. Yes, of course it is. The authorities will never let the market decline by 50%. As always, this time it's different.
Please share this article