Greece Deal Rumors Send Dollar Soaring

In a continuation of the news from yesterday ( please keep in mind what I said about key markets being completely NEWS-DRIVEN at the moment ), the market is reacting to the potential for a deal between Greece and its creditors.

When the only thing keeping the safe haven trades alive begins to fade in importance to traders, they will dump them like a bad habit. That is what they are now doing to gold, bonds, the yen, and you might as well throw silver into the mix.

Silver in particular seems to be the be the most vulnerable here because all of the other industrial metals have been getting beaten with an ugly stick while it has managed to stay afloat. With copper, platinum and palladium falling apart, there is no fundamental reason for silver to stage any sort of strong rally. Without Greece, it loses its support.

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Charles Biderman Explains His New ETF to Bob Pisani: TTFS, FCFI

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Buy The Technology Select Sector SPDR (NYSE:XLK)

Stocks are finally breaking out!
The Russell 2000 small-cap index? Check. Midcap stocks? Double check. Blistering biotechs? Triple check. In fact, The Biotech iShares continued to reach for new highs Monday after last week’s jolt.
There are still some weak spots out there, like utilities. But if you’re taking the time to zero-in on the strongest stocks in the strongest sectors, you’re absolutely thrashing the major averages this year.
And you don’t even have to be a great stock picker to beat this market. Those biotech iShares I just mentioned? They’re up 20% in just about 5 months. No stock picking genius required there. The S&P 500? Up about 5% over the same timeframe.
And the S&P 500 is playing catch-up to these early breakouts to start off the week. So it’s time to look for the stocks that could make the move from mediocre to market leader. And the best place to look is large-cap tech stocks…
So today we’re hitching our wagon to one of the strongest stocks in the biz. It’s been resting most of the year, but now this sleeping giant is storming back and could be on its way to record highs this summer…
Some of the most recognizable names in the tech space hit the snooze button back in the spring—and they still have yet to wake up from their naps. The Technology Select Sector SPDR (NYSE:XLK) has bested the S&P 500 over the past five months or so. But it’s not setting the world on fire.
So if you’re looking for excitement this hasn’t been the place to find it…

Here are some of the biggest snoozers: Apple, the largest holding in XLK, has gone nowhere since March. Microsoft is flat on the year. Verizon is up a few bucks—but has fallen off over the past six weeks.
But not all of these big techies are playing Sleeping Beauty. In fact, it looks like some of these stocks are starting to wipe the crust out of their eyes. And Mr. Market is pouring a few of these lagging tech stocks a hot cup of coffee as I type…
How about Facebook? Yup, the ol’ Facebook is a major tech player now. And shares are looking strong, up 5% so far this month and quickly closing in on its highs. The social media landscape has already started to fracture. Traders are taking the weak names to the woodshed, while the best of the best (like Facebook) march higher. And it’s not the only tech stock waking from its slumber…
Google, the king of search, is also getting up off the mat. This stock is now up five days in a row and punching through a trading range it’s been trapped in since April.
I think Monday’s move higher is just the beginning of another push to new highs for Google. This stock has flat-lined for way too long. Even today it’s trading at prices we haven’t seen since October. And shares remain well below the all-time highs near $615 set more than a year ago…
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RDUS Radius Health Measuring Gap – Potential Technical Price Target 100 US Dollar

Thursday RDUS – Radius Health released good news and the stock gapped higher. As I outlined in my previous post Getting exposure to high quality set-ups like RDUS – Radius Health is the way to go. This simply increases the odds for good things to happen.

Assuming RDUS will close strong, this will leave a strong white candle on the chart and a clearly visible gap. My best guess would be for it to be a measuring gap. These often tend to occur right in the middle of a move. In this case this would imply a technical price target slightly above 100$. If my analysis is correct the gap won’t be filled until the target is acquired. Right now, for position traders RDUS is a great stock to hold. Especially if you entered using the stop buy I suggested earlier. As long as the stock stays strong and acts well, ride the uptrend.

$489,379 Per Month Trading Dirt Cheap Stocks

Changyou.Com Ltd (NASDAQ: CYOU)

Changyou.com Limited develops and operates online games in the People’s Republic of China. It is primarily involved in the development, operation, and licensing of massively multi-player online games, which are interactive online games that might be played simultaneously by various game players; Web-based games, which are played over the Internet using a Web browser; and mobile games that are played on mobile devices and require an Internet connection. The company also owns and operates Web properties and software applications for PCs and mobile devices, including the 17173.com Website, an information portals for game players in China; the wan.com Website, a games portal that provides a collection of Web games of third-party developers to game players; RaidCall, which provides online music and entertainment services, primarily in Taiwan; and the Dolphin Browser, a gateway to a host of user activities on mobile devices, with its users in Europe, Russia, and Japan.
Take a look at the 1-year chart of Changyou.com (NASDAQ: CYOU) below with added notations:

After rallying nicely from mid-October until the beginning of May, CYOU has been trading mostly sideways over the last 2 months. During the sideways move the stock has formed a common pattern known as a rectangle. A minimum of (2) successful tests of the support and (2) successful tests of the resistance will give you the pattern.
CYOU’s rectangle pattern has formed a resistance at $35 (red) and a $31 support (green). At some point the stock will have to break one of the two levels.

The Tale of the Tape: CYOU is trading within a rectangle pattern. The possible long positions on the stock would be either on a pullback to $31 or on a breakout above $35. The ideal short opportunity would be on a break below $31.
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Buy DJ-UBS Grains Total Return Sub-Index ETN (JJG), or the MLCX Grains Index TR ETN (GRU) & Go Long Agriculture

So, how should you play the 2015-2016 El Niño?

You could trade the more active, nearby grain futures contracts and roll them upon expiration. But, if you aren’t willing to do that, there are always agriculture and grain indices ETNs that are more user friendly. Check out the DJ-UBS Grains Total Return Sub-Index ETN (JJG), or the MLCX Grains Index TR ETN (GRU), both of which track the performance of agriculture futures.

http://etfdb.com/factsheets/JJG/

The good news is that agriculture futures prices are currently quite low, so it’s a good time to get in.

But don’t wait for Mother Nature to do her thing, because she can be fickle.
Look out for future GIEWS reports, which monitor the condition of major food crops across the globe to assess production prospects.

It would also be smart to check out the newly developed FAO-Agricultural Stress Index System, which detects agricultural areas with a high likelihood of water stress (drought) at the global level.

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Bed Bath & Beyond Inc. (BBBY): BBBY Stock Issues Death Cross – Sell Now

Bed Bath & Beyond Inc. (BBBY) — This retail chain operates 1,500 superstores that sell domestic home furnishings. Competition in a difficult retail environment, a higher tax rate, unfavorable exchange rates, high employee benefit packages, the encroachment of e-commerce and price transparency are squeezing operating margins.
Credit Suisse Equity Research noted EBITDA growth was only 1.3% in the fourth quarter of fiscal 2014 (ended Feb. 28) and down for the full year. Credit Suisse and S&P Capital IQ recently lowered their earnings and price targets on BBBY stock.
Management’s goal is to open 30 new stores with the intent of increasing square footage by 1% to 3%, but the risk of an unexpected decline in consumer spending and the trend toward online shopping makes this approach risky.
BBBY stock broke down in early April from a triple-top at about $78. The stock descended into a channel down with resistance at its 50-day moving average, now at $71.24, and the descending resistance line.
Last week, the 50-day moving average crossed down through the 200-day moving average, a long-term negative signal called a death cross, ending a rally at the 50-day moving average on Friday.
On-balance-volume has been trending lower since January, indicating the bear market in BBBY stock is far from over. Insider selling has been high for the past 12 months and very high in the past three months. Nasdaq.com shows 21 insider sells representing 307,707 shares in the past 90 days and zero insider buys.
Sell BBBY stock if you own it. Traders may want to sell shares short at $71 with a downside target of $63 for an 11% profit.
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